ATL: INVEST 98L - Discussion

[EquusStorm]

And with low clouds streaming in from seemingly every direction on the compass, I kind of wish slightly less emphasis would be placed on scatterometer data in favor of satellite indications. Maybe I'm wrong on that but the low and mid level clouds really do make it look very nearly closed.

[Aric Dunn]

And with low clouds streaming in from seemingly every direction on the compass, I kind of wish slightly less emphasis would be placed on scatterometer data in favor of satellite indications. Maybe I'm wrong on that but the low and mid level clouds really do make it look very nearly closed.

the scatt data is very helpful to a point. but under certain circumstances where there are known issues then yes take the scatt data and use satellite to fill in the gaps.

[Hammy]

And with low clouds streaming in from seemingly every direction on the compass, I kind of wish slightly less emphasis would be placed on scatterometer data in favor of satellite indications. Maybe I'm wrong on that but the low and mid level clouds really do make it look very nearly closed.

the scatt data is very helpful to a point. but under certain circumstances where there are known issues then yes take the scatt data and use satellite to fill in the gaps.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't the scatterometers measure seafoam or something?

Given the resolution, along with the fairly small size and fast movement, it's entirely likely that it did in fact miss the full wind motion as (similar with the models and smaller systems) it can't fully resolve it. Either way it's in my unofficial book as a 40kt subtropical storm.

[Monsoonjr99]

Florence's TCR might be interesting...

[Ubuntwo]

Florence's TCR might be interesting...

What does that have to do with 98L? If you are suggesting that Florence's TCR might show Florence regenerating, since this is not part of the main system of Florence, it would have its own TCR as "Unnamed Tropical Storm"

[cycloneye]

Shower activity has changed little in organization near an area of
disturbed weather located about 300 miles south-southwest of
Halifax, Nova Scotia. This system is expected to merge with a
frontal system and move north-northeastward over increasingly colder
waters overnight, and no additional development is forecast. For
more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

[EquusStorm]

[Ubuntwo]

https://horsesnhurricanes.files.wordpress.com/2018/09/goes14452018271ztkzvh.jpg

Looks like it did have a closed circ. Almost certain we'll see an unnamed TS/STS in this year's TCR

[EquusStorm]

I'd like to think so. Hope they really look into it closely. The loop really does remind one of a closed surface remnant low.

Here's a better one. Definitely closed at THIS point, but a mere remnant