EPAC: INVEST 91E

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Sciencerocks
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#61 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon May 27, 2019 4:04 pm

Image

looks to be a broad Low level circulation but with westerly shear keeping the convection displaced...Within my opinion I'd put it more like 30/30%.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#62 Postby Tailspin » Mon May 27, 2019 7:19 pm

The farther 91E drifts offshore, there will be likely an opportunity for its development later in the week.
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GFS 00Z https://imgur.com/jEEWijL
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#63 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 28, 2019 1:17 pm

A weak area of low pressure located over the far eastern Pacific
continues to produce showers and thunderstorms over portions of
Costa Rica, Nicaragua, and the adjacent Pacific waters. This
system is expected to move inland over Central America on Wednesday
and development appears unlikely. Even though development is not
anticipated, locally heavy rains are likely to continue over
portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next
several days. These rains could cause flash flooding and mudslides
in areas of mountainous terrain.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#64 Postby TorSkk » Tue May 28, 2019 2:32 pm

91E INVEST 190528 1800 10.7N 88.5W EPAC 25 1008

Once again on BT
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#65 Postby Kingarabian » Tue May 28, 2019 8:40 pm

Circulation wise, it's pretty much there. Just no sustained organized convection yet. LLC has been pretty evident for the past 12 hours I must say. Has 24-30 hours left.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#66 Postby plasticup » Wed May 29, 2019 6:07 am

Sciencerocks wrote:https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6316/TuooBi.gif

looks to be a broad Low level circulation but with westerly shear keeping the convection displaced...Within my opinion I'd put it more like 30/30%.

Looks better than ATL Andrea ever did!
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