ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

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xironman
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#21 Postby xironman » Wed Oct 09, 2019 12:01 pm

Interesting setup. Obviously the subtropical low to the south is going to be absorbed by the strong extratropical low to the north. I think this would give that low a boost of moisture and maybe a bit more chance of taking on tropical characteristics itself. But the sea surface temps are quite low, so maybe not.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#22 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 09, 2019 12:48 pm

Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the
United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low
pressure that is producing gale-force winds. This system is
forecast to strengthen as a non-tropical low off the east coast of
the United States during the next day or so. Environmental
conditions are expected to be unfavorable for significant
subtropical or tropical cyclone development through the end of the
week as it meanders offshore the United States. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal
flooding, and rough surf to portions of the mid-Atlantic and
northeastern United States coasts through late week. Additional
information on this system can also be found in local products and
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina is becoming poorly
defined. Upper level winds remain only marginally favorable for some
additional development today. By tonight, the system is forecast to
merge with the low off the east coast of the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#23 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Oct 09, 2019 4:55 pm

Definitely still not ts now.. lol


Anyway.... onto the next phantom storm please
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#24 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 10, 2019 12:32 pm

Cloudiness and showers located off the northeast coast of the United
States are associated with a non-tropical area of low pressure that
is producing storm-force winds. Environmental conditions are
expected to be unfavorable for significant subtropical or tropical
cyclone development over the next couple of days while it meanders
offshore of the United States. Subtropical or tropical cyclone
formation after that time is not anticipated due to strong
upper-level winds. Regardless of development, this system is
expected to bring strong winds, coastal flooding, and rough surf to
portions of the mid-Atlantic and northeastern United States coasts
through late week. Additional information on this system can also
be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#25 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Oct 10, 2019 7:37 pm

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located off the northeastern and
mid-Atlantic coasts of the United States is producing widespread
showers, a few thunderstorms, and storm-force winds. The low is
expected to continue meandering off the coast during the next
couple of days, but environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for significant subtropical or tropical development,
particularly after upper-level winds increase over the weekend.
Strong winds, coastal flooding, heavy rainfall, and rough surf are
expected to continue affecting portions of the mid-Atlantic and
northeastern United States coasts through Saturday. Additional
information on this system can also be found in local products and
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#26 Postby Hurricanehink » Thu Oct 10, 2019 8:17 pm

Well there’s something there, and convection is firing. It’ll be meandering for a few days, which might be enough time for Subtropical Storm Melissa. Given the proximity to the East Coast, there is an outside chance it could get named for the sake of warning purposes (TS Warning).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#27 Postby xironman » Fri Oct 11, 2019 6:53 am

Kind of a subtropical look to it

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

#28 Postby tolakram » Fri Oct 11, 2019 7:57 am

Invest 92L appears to have been deactivated. Invest 93L is now up for this area.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=120656
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