Tropical Storm Alberto

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Tampa_God
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 333
Age: 34
Joined: Wed May 31, 2006 7:27 pm
Location: New Port Richey/Trinity, FL

#41 Postby Tampa_God » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:08 am

Same thing I was thinking tailgater. One just SW of Cuba and another just W of the convection.
0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3643
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#42 Postby drezee » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:08 am

Other interesting observations:

Buoy 42056's pressure hasn't risen in about 3 hours, but it should be risising because the center is moving away and the time of day. This would suggest to me one of two things:

1. One of those rotating centers is coming toward the buoy

2. The system is deepening at a good clip

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=E&tz=STN
Last edited by drezee on Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:14 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
wzrgirl1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1245
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:44 am
Location: Pembroke Pines, Florida

#43 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:09 am

Does anyone have a link to any new model runs.....thanks!!
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#44 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:10 am

Yep, I drew it right - the NHC forecast is for a second landfall at Cape Hatteras.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Stratusxpeye
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 686
Joined: Tue Jun 07, 2005 10:40 am
Location: Tampa, Florida
Contact:

#45 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:10 am

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... shtml?5day

The first Track NHC Map of the year. Here we go
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#46 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:10 am

tailgater wrote:Is this an error or do we have 2 centers http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MZBZ.html
Check out the pressure.
Yes TD 1 has multiple centers rotating in the main center as do alot of TD's when they first form...
SATELLITE
AND RADAR DATA SHOW AT LEAST TWO SMALL-SCALE VORTICITY CENTERS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGER CIRCULATION...WITH THE ADVISORY POSITION
BEING THAT OF THE OVERALL MEAN CENTER.
Last edited by brunota2003 on Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
wzrgirl1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1245
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:44 am
Location: Pembroke Pines, Florida

#47 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:11 am

drezee wrote:Other interesting observations:

Buoy 42056's pressure hasn't risen in about 3 hours, but it should be risising because the center is moving away and the time of day. This would suggest to me one of two things:

1. One of those rotating centers is coming toward the buoy

2. The system is deepening at a good clip

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN


Can someone tell me when measuring wind speeds what m/s stands for? I know mi/h is miles per hour and kt. is knots and mb is millibars. But when looking at this buoy and a hurricane intensity scale that I have in measures it in m/s........thanks!!
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#48 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:11 am

000
WHXX01 KWBC 101307
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE (AL012006) ON 20060610 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060610 1200 060611 0000 060611 1200 060612 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
A98E 21.0N 85.3W 22.7N 86.1W 24.4N 86.5W 25.7N 86.4W
LBAR 21.0N 85.3W 23.1N 86.2W 25.4N 86.5W 27.4N 85.7W
SHIP 30KTS 35KTS 40KTS 44KTS
DSHP 30KTS 35KTS 40KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060612 1200 060613 1200 060614 1200 060615 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
A98E 26.9N 85.5W 28.8N 82.4W 32.3N 76.1W 40.8N 61.7W
LBAR 29.1N 83.2W 32.5N 74.4W 40.8N 61.8W .0N .0W
SHIP 47KTS 55KTS 59KTS 55KTS
DSHP 47KTS 42KTS 45KTS 41KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 21.0N LONCUR = 85.3W DIRCUR = 340DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 19.0N LONM12 = 85.2W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 17.8N LONM24 = 85.4W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#49 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:12 am

wzrgirl1 wrote:
drezee wrote:Other interesting observations:

Buoy 42056's pressure hasn't risen in about 3 hours, but it should be risising because the center is moving away and the time of day. This would suggest to me one of two things:

1. One of those rotating centers is coming toward the buoy

2. The system is deepening at a good clip

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN


Can someone tell me when measuring wind speeds what m/s stands for? I know mi/h is miles per hour and kt. is knots and mb is millibars. But when looking at this buoy and a hurricane intensity scale that I have in measures it in m/s........thanks!!


m/s is meters per second. Multiply by 2.24 to get miles per hour, and by 1.94 to get knots.
0 likes   

User avatar
jdray
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 846
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 10:07 pm
Location: NE Florida

#50 Postby jdray » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:13 am

So I think I might be missing work tuesday.
Dont like to drive across bridges when the winds are 40+mph....

:)
0 likes   

User avatar
wzrgirl1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1245
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:44 am
Location: Pembroke Pines, Florida

#51 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:14 am

mtm4319 wrote:
wzrgirl1 wrote:
drezee wrote:Other interesting observations:

Buoy 42056's pressure hasn't risen in about 3 hours, but it should be risising because the center is moving away and the time of day. This would suggest to me one of two things:

1. One of those rotating centers is coming toward the buoy

2. The system is deepening at a good clip

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN


Can someone tell me when measuring wind speeds what m/s stands for? I know mi/h is miles per hour and kt. is knots and mb is millibars. But when looking at this buoy and a hurricane intensity scale that I have in measures it in m/s........thanks!!


m/s is meters per second. Multiply by 2.24 to get miles per hour, and by 1.94 to get knots.



ok....thanks a ton!!! :)
0 likes   

User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3643
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#52 Postby drezee » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:14 am

wzrgirl1 wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:
wzrgirl1 wrote:
drezee wrote:Other interesting observations:

Buoy 42056's pressure hasn't risen in about 3 hours, but it should be risising because the center is moving away and the time of day. This would suggest to me one of two things:

1. One of those rotating centers is coming toward the buoy

2. The system is deepening at a good clip

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN


Can someone tell me when measuring wind speeds what m/s stands for? I know mi/h is miles per hour and kt. is knots and mb is millibars. But when looking at this buoy and a hurricane intensity scale that I have in measures it in m/s........thanks!!


m/s is meters per second. Multiply by 2.24 to get miles per hour, and by 1.94 to get knots.



ok....thanks a ton!!! :)


or just click on this link instead

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=E&tz=STN
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#53 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:14 am

jdray wrote:So I think I might be missing work tuesday.
Dont like to drive across bridges when the winds are 40+mph....

:)
Most of the time dont they close bridges when winds hit 40 MPH? They do around here for tropical systems...
0 likes   

User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

#54 Postby tailgater » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:15 am

drezee wrote:Other interesting observations:

Buoy 42056's pressure hasn't risen in about 3 hours, but it should be risising because the center is moving away and the time of day. This would suggest to me one of two things:

1. One of those rotating centers is coming toward the buoy

2. The system is deepening at a good clip

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=STN

That buoy has e to ene wave direction.
0 likes   

User avatar
jdray
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 846
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 10:07 pm
Location: NE Florida

#55 Postby jdray » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:16 am

brunota2003 wrote:
jdray wrote:So I think I might be missing work tuesday.
Dont like to drive across bridges when the winds are 40+mph....

:)
Most of the time dont they close bridges when winds hit 40 MPH? They do around here for tropical systems...


They are supposed to, Frances and Jeanne closed a couple of bridges, but not all.
They basically close them as necessary.
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#56 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:18 am

i think i can now say south florida is probably in the clear.atleast looking much better.
0 likes   

User avatar
wzrgirl1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1245
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 6:44 am
Location: Pembroke Pines, Florida

#57 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:19 am

CHRISTY wrote:i think i can now say south florida is probably in the clear.atleast looking much better.



yes........we will get some rain out of this though......much needed
0 likes   

rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#58 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:19 am

Drudgereport is reporting TD1 as the top story with a flashing siren :roll:

http://drudgereport.com
0 likes   

User avatar
seaswing
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 561
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 11:56 am
Location: High Springs, FL/just NW of Gainesville

#59 Postby seaswing » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:19 am

jdray wrote:So I think I might be missing work tuesday.
Dont like to drive across bridges when the winds are 40+mph....

:)


I am 60 mi. NE of Cedar Key... UF closes when winds are 45 mph. Possibly a closure Monday afternoon..... Kuckily after Frances and Jeanne I had lots of tree work done. Still could have problems if Tornados hit but looks like (right now anyway) I could have a rough start to my week although we REALLY need the rain... :roll:
0 likes   

User avatar
ronjon
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4671
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 5:17 pm
Location: Hernando Beach, FL

#60 Postby ronjon » Sat Jun 10, 2006 8:19 am

Expect tropical storm watches to be issued for portions of the FL panhandle and west coast later today given the 36 hour criteria used for issuance.
0 likes   


Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 36 guests