Tropical Storm Alberto

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rockyman
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Tropical Storm Alberto

#1 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:51 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables

Not official...but NRL has chanced to NONAME1
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cycloneye
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:56 am

It's a big sign ussually when they put NONAME is a TD but let's wait for a text or first advisorie to make it official.If that occurs this will be the main thread of discussion for TD#1.

Backup site of NRL has it to as a TD.

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#3 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:57 am

Thanks, Luis! I'm rarely first at anything these days...so I jumped the gun a little :)
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#4 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:57 am

Sometimes there are errors. It still says invest on the back up site. But I believe it will be upgraded to a TD or TS by 11am anyway.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#5 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:58 am

Image
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:58 am

Thunder44 wrote:Sometimes there are errors. It still says invest on the back up site.


Not anymore. :)
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#7 Postby Dustin » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:59 am

it is for me, the storm does not look very organized since it is getting sheared, and most of it is over cuba...
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#8 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:00 am

cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:Sometimes there are errors. It still says invest on the back up site.


Not anymore. :)


Just saw it.
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#9 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:02 am

let's see what the model plots come out with... that's usually another sign
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#10 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:03 am

6Z GFS, no major changes... still Cedar Key and still weak.

Image
(click to go to model run)
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#11 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:08 am

Cedar key is really tiny and does not take well to any storm surge at all. I keep hearing ppl say it'll turn sooner than later though so i would place it somewhere from tampa to cedar key or extreme eastern panhandle. That is if everything stays pretty much the same.
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#12 Postby bucman1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:08 am

Problem is all the heavy convection is to the east and se.
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#13 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:11 am

Stratusxpeye wrote:Cedar key is really tiny and does not take well to any storm surge at all. I keep hearing ppl say it'll turn sooner than later though so i would place it somewhere from tampa to cedar key or extreme eastern panhandle. That is if everything stays pretty much the same.


ceder key is a very very small fishing village!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#14 Postby bucman1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:14 am

Any time frame on when the tropical system will threaten the west coast of FLA-I'm heading back to Tampa Tuesday morning?
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#15 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:17 am

bucman1 wrote:Any time frame on when the tropical system will threaten the west coast of FLA-I'm heading back to Tampa Tuesday morning?


I don't think the system is moving much right now........your best bet would be to wait and see what recon finds as to the wind speeds, direction,etc.
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#16 Postby bucman1 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:22 am

Thank you for your insight-keep me updated as I am in Indianapolis on business-Just want to keep the family updated.
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#17 Postby djones65 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:22 am

At 0900 UTC 10 June 2006 a ship with call sign KSO49 I believe reported east winds (90 degrees) at 35 knots and a pressure of 1001 mb. The ship was located 75 miles north of the suspected system center near 22N and 85.8W (roughly).
At 0600 UTC 10 June 2006 a ship with call sign C6LU4 about 80 miles east of the center reported south winds (180 degrees) at 42 knots with a 1012 mb pressure.
Of course these synoptic reports need to be verified, but if true it looks like we have Alberto on our hands instead of a depression. However, the system is definitely sheared with the visible imagery showing a center about 25 miles west of the main convective cover.
Here's the link for the ship reports:
http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_se ... t=A&time=8
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#18 Postby Scorpion » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:24 am

1001 mb? Pretty low for a TD.
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#19 Postby djones65 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:25 am

Most models take the system towards northern Florida late Monday night and early Tuesday. But the models are still "all over the place," and I don't think anyone has a lot of confidence in them yet. So waiting until the center becomes better defined and the models become more clustered would be the wisest choice.
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#20 Postby TampaFl » Sat Jun 10, 2006 7:26 am

ISle Of Youth Radar, Cuba

Definate banding & getting better organized.


http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/02I.Juventud/pdeMAXw01a.gif



Robert 8-)
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