Tropical Storm Alberto

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brunota2003
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#1801 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:54 pm

Ok...I must say once again...Please dont tick Alberto off...as he may throw us on another wild ride...however I must say that Alberto has lost most of my interest as he doesnt look nowhere near as impressive as he did about 14 hours ago...he is milking it right now...
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#1802 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:55 pm

I agree, but I also agree with the NHC....the dewpoints are almost 80 degrees ahead of system..I think she has one more shot at developing some convection if she can fight off the shear....
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#1803 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:57 pm

Comments, anyone?
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CHRISTY

#1804 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:58 pm

Guys here is a good visible so you can see that alberto is nothing but a naked swirl for the moment.

Image
Last edited by CHRISTY on Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1805 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:58 pm

Old satellite image, dear....
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#1806 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:59 pm

CHRISTY wrote:Guys here is a good visible so you can see that alberto is nothing but a naked swirl for the moment.

Image
I wouldn't quite call it naked. It still has way more convection than it did last night, and you can see rain surrounding the circulation on radar.
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#1807 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:01 pm

2315Z=7:15 PM EDT; LET ME SAY IT AGAIN--OLD SATELLITE IMAGE!!!
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#1808 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:05 pm

What type of wind reports are we getting out of Florida at this time?
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#1809 Postby cpdaman » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:05 pm

it's an old visible shot, what tipped u off to that , maybe cause the moon is shining not the sun
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#1810 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:07 pm

[quote="Sean in New Orleans"]What type of wind reports are we getting out of Florida at this time?[/quote]

Most wind reports are in the twenties and thirties with gusts occasionally in the forties...
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#1811 Postby TampaFl » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:09 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:What type of wind reports are we getting out of Florida at this time?


ASUS42 KTBW 130310
RWRFL
FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1100 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.


FLZ001>010-012>015-130400-
PANHANDLE FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
PENSACOLA MOCLDY 74 70 87 N9 29.86R
PENSACOLA NAS PTCLDY 73 70 90 NW7 29.86R
MILTON NAS MOCLDY 71 67 87 NW5 29.86S
CRESTVIEW PTCLDY 74 68 81 CALM 29.86F
VALPARAISO MOCLDY 77 70 78 VRB3 29.84
MARY ESTHER PTCLDY 76 69 76 NE6 29.84R
DESTIN PTCLDY 78 69 73 NE8 29.83S
PANAMA CITY CLOUDY 75 68 78 E12 29.81F
TYNDALL AFB MOCLDY 72 70 94 NE10 29.82S
APALACHICOLA RAIN 69 68 96 NE14 29.78S

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL
AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER
(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)
29.2N 88.2W 79 60/ 2/ 2 1010.1F 11/10 11/10
28.8N 85.6W 76 81 20/ 25/ 29 1006.6R 10/11 7/11
28.5N 84.5W 78 78 120/ 19/ 23 995.8F 15/10 8/10

$$
FLZ011-016>039-130400-
NORTH FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
MARIANNA CLOUDY 74 66 76 E8 29.86R
TALLAHASSEE RAIN 70 68 94 NE9 29.83F
PERRY N/A 69 68 96 NE10G22 29.80F
CROSS CITY N/A 70 69 97 E17G29 29.78F
GAINESVILLE LGT RAIN 69 65 86 E12 29.86F
MAYPORT NAS LGT RAIN 70 66 87 S5 29.96 FOG
JACKSONVILLE LGT RAIN 70 67 90 E7 29.95S
JAX NAS CLOUDY 71 66 84 E7 29.95S
JAX CRAIG RAIN 70 67 90 SE6 29.97R FOG
ST AUGUSTINE CLOUDY 73 68 83 E10 29.93F

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL
AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER
(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)
KEATON BEACH 69 60/ 15/ 19 1008.8F
31.4N 80.9W 76 80 190/ 16/ 19 1014.7R 5/ 5
30.0N 80.5W 76 80 150/ 8/ 10 1014.4F 3/ 4 2/ 4
ST AUGUSTINE 77 77 100/ 15/ 17 1013.4F

$$
FLZ040-043>046-052-053-057-058-063-130400-
CENTRAL FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
OCALA MOCLDY 70 66 88 E8 29.84F
THE VILLAGES N/A 70 70 100 E13 29.84S
LEESBURG CLOUDY 75 71 87 E16 29.86S
SANFORD CLOUDY 74 69 85 E10 29.88F
ORLANDO EXEC CLOUDY 75 72 90 E10 29.88F
ORLANDO INTL CLOUDY 78 76 93 SE15 29.87F
WINTER HAVEN CLOUDY 78 74 87 SE16G23 29.86S

$$
FLZ041-047-054-059-064-130400-
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
DAYTONA BEACH CLOUDY 77 66 68 E9 29.92F
JFK SPACE CTR CLOUDY 79 75 89 SE9G17 29.91S
PATRICK AFB CLOUDY 79 77 94 SE15 29.90F FOG
MELBOURNE CLOUDY 80 76 87 SE16 29.90S
VERO BEACH MOCLDY 80 75 84 SE13 29.91S HAZE
FT PIERCE MOCLDY 81 74 79 SE10 29.92S

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL
AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER
(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)
28.5N 80.2W 80 79 140/ 14/ 14 1013.7F 2/ 4 2/ 8
29.0N 78.5W 78 83 90/ 10/ 12 1015.1F 4/ 7 3/ 7

$$
FLZ042-048>051-055-056-060-061-130400-
WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BROOKSVILLE RAIN 77 73 88 E18G37 29.79F FOG
CLEARWATER HVY RAIN 81 75 83 S29G38 29.77F FOG
TAMPA LGT RAIN 78 75 90 S15G22 29.79S FOG
VANDENBERG CLOUDY 79 75 89 S13G21 29.80S
MACDILL AFB LGT RAIN 79 75 89 S22G39 29.78S
ST PETERSBURG RAIN 80 76 87 S26G35 29.77R FOG
SARASOTA RAIN 81 74 79 S28G36 29.79R

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL
AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER
(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)
CEDAR KEY 72 90/ 32/ 38 1007.7F
28.5N 84.5W 78 78 120/ 19/ 23 995.8F 15/10 8/10
VENICE 82 82 150/ 31/ 36 1009.3F
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CHRISTY

#1812 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:10 pm

Guys i fixed the image now you can see that alberto still has a bit to go before he is onshore. my bad with the old image.
Last edited by CHRISTY on Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1813 Postby cpdaman » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:11 pm

this thing is a 50 mph storm why the .9 multiplier for winds i thought it was .8 or .75 MAKE no MISTAKE with a storm off shore that could strengthen at nite, they don't want to lull the public into seeing it is done just because it weakened, which should be obvious, to everyone NOT just the one in charge of the .9 MULTIPlier

besides the public's perception of them upping the winds and then reducing them (which is nearly impossible to predict )would just make the public perceive them as not having as good a handle on this storm, since this can't be pinpointed in there forecast
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#1814 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:12 pm

There you go....you fixed the image...yeah..he's got a long way to go...a good 100 to 150 miles I would say....
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#1815 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:13 pm

Brent wrote:This storm looks absolutely horrid. I SERIOUSLY doubt it even has 70 mph winds now, and it's going downhill from here. All the significant stuff is already onshore.


I don't know. But something was causing those 21ft seas earlier this evening at buoy 42036 earlier tonight.
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#1816 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:14 pm

I don't see how he can fight off the shear to do much of anything more. Don't get me wrong, NHC has it right imo, with the possibility of a surge to just over hurricane strength with the diurnal maximum coming up, but if it does I think it will be short lived and in a very limited area.

The bouy noted is almost at the center of Alberto. That is why it is showing lower wind speeds and much lower pressure. Bouy to the N near Appalachicola is showing winds at 40 knots.
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#1817 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:16 pm

[quote="vbhoutex"]I don't see how he can fight off the shear to do much of anything more. Don't get me wrong, NHC has it right imo, with the possibility of a surge to just over hurricane strength with the diurnal maximum coming up, but if it does I think it will be short lived and in a very limited area.

The bouy noted is almost at the center of Alberto. That is why it is showing lower wind speeds and much lower pressure. Bouy to the N near Appalachicola is showing winds at 40 knots.[/quote]

[b]Your probably right....it would have very little time to strengthen or gain any t-storms...[/b]
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#1818 Postby clfenwi » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:29 pm

vbhoutex wrote:I don't see how he can fight off the shear to do much of anything more. Don't get me wrong, NHC has it right imo, with the possibility of a surge to just over hurricane strength with the diurnal maximum coming up, but if it does I think it will be short lived and in a very limited area.

The bouy noted is almost at the center of Alberto. That is why it is showing lower wind speeds and much lower pressure. Bouy to the N near Appalachicola is showing winds at 40 knots.


Noticed, though that the anemometer at that station is 35 meters up
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#1819 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Jun 13, 2006 12:01 am

It looks like Alberto is moving more in a NNE direction now.
Anyway, he still has a very nice well defined circulation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html
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#1820 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Tue Jun 13, 2006 12:14 am

I don't wanna go to bed! What is he flares up again like last night? :eek:
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