Tropical Storm Beryl

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CronkPSU
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#881 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:04 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Looks like a Mass. Landfall is now obvious, but the question is: Will she make landfall as a Tropical or Extratropical system?


that really doesn't matter though except for us weather geeks who like to title things
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Eyewall

#882 Postby Eyewall » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:07 am

I'd say extra-tropical because the storm will be over increasingly cooler waters and will be very close to the front..hence cooler air getting to the center of the system
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#883 Postby Eyewall » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:11 am

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#884 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:13 am

As long as the waters are warmer and warm air is being sent up into the core of the system and the core is warmer than it surrounds it is still considered warm core... thus a transition would not take place until the core was as cool as the air around the system.
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#885 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:16 am

At 32.8N/72.7W as of 1610Z. 3-hr movement 021 degrees at 9.5 kts.

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl18.gif
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#886 Postby conestogo_flood » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:17 am

It's dying? Boo!
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#887 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:17 am

looks like epsilon kinda
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#888 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:18 am

wxman57 wrote:At 32.8N/72.7W as of 1610Z. 3-hr movement 021 degrees at 9.5 kts.

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl18.gif


AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST OR ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY AND ABOUT 220
MILES...355 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.


They seem to agree with you.

By the way how is work going?
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#889 Postby Stephanie » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:24 am

The sun is out now here in Atlantic City and it's still breezy with the winds coming out of the NNW at 16 mph.
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Eyewall

#890 Postby Eyewall » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:29 am

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

strong winds are not far from the coast!
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#891 Postby abryant.ma » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:39 am

yeah, beryl is definately weakening.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html
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#892 Postby Eyewall » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:52 am

I'd say i could be down to 25-30 knots by the time it makes landfall
could be a remnant low
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#893 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:54 am

I highly doubt it...The storm is either at 60 or 55mph right now, and should be about 50mph at landfall
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#894 Postby abryant.ma » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:05 pm

yeah i agree, it is still pretty organized and i storm doesn't drop off like that.
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#895 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:At 32.8N/72.7W as of 1610Z. 3-hr movement 021 degrees at 9.5 kts.

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl18.gif


Your lattitude position is incorrect. Should be around 38N.
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Jim Cantore

#896 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:25 pm

A friend of mine down the shore reported a few small rainbands with gusty winds coming over this morning
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#897 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:27 pm

Barely, any convection left with Beryl, but she still looks remarkably organized on the Visible.
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Jim Cantore

#898 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:50 pm

Is it just me or does it almost LOOK like shes eating dry air, with the moisture and convection vanishing.
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#899 Postby wxman57 » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:51 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:At 32.8N/72.7W as of 1610Z. 3-hr movement 021 degrees at 9.5 kts.

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl18.gif


Your lattitude position is incorrect. Should be around 38N.


Right, I meant 38.8N. 1730Z position 39.0N/72.6W.

Here's a 1745Z image. You can see the center right on 39N:
http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/beryl19.gif
Last edited by wxman57 on Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#900 Postby abryant.ma » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:52 pm

yes, it does look that way yet, she still pretty organized.
hmmm.. she doesnt want to quit! :eek:
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