WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)

stormtruth · #141 Postby **stormtruth** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:29 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:they are really going to dodge a bullet. This looked like it could come in as a strong 160mph hurricane. I'm guessing it will make landfall at about 125-130mph.

I'd still call that getting hit by a bullet.

HurricaneHunter914 · #142 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:31 pm

Hey Hurakan, don't you have some avatar changing to do?

#143 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:38 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Hey Hurakan, don't you have some avatar changing to do?

Right now it's really hard to change the avatar because you need certan amount of pixels and the size. I just gave up and will remain with my "Hurricane Warning Flag." Before it was really easy to change your avatars, and that's why I was able to change it after every major storm. Time changes!!!

f5 · #144 Postby f5 » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:42 pm

kind of like Katrina its impossable to get a CAT 5 landfall when you got dry air coming off the mainland

HurricaneHunter914 · #145 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:44 pm

What I noticed though was that on the WC of FL most hurricanes that are about to make landfall strengthen instead of weaken:Charley and Wilma. Not to get off topic.

whereverwx · #146 Postby **whereverwx** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 10:57 pm

Luckily the heat content is low... although, storms like this are probably--most likely--common over there.

bob rulz · #147 Postby **bob rulz** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 11:02 pm

Category 5 typhoons are common in the West Pacific, but I don't think they come that close to China very often.

marcane_1973 · #148 Postby **marcane_1973** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 11:02 pm

It is worse beacuse since a erc is taking place the winds are going to spread out alot further from the center just like Katrina did. It was the same situation with Katrina right before landfall. It has gotten bigger as well even though a lot of the reds are gone. There will be more widespread damge now.

wxdude67 · #149 Postby **wxdude67** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 11:03 pm

You are right, if they don't interact with islands, they usually recurve away.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #150 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:10 am

10:10pm pst

Latest shows that the cloud tops have warmed even more...With the eye warming. But since the t numbers which said 6.0=115 knots came in. A new band of red has formed around the eye. So I'm keeping the winds at 125 knots for now. New 85h data shown that this was not going through a EWRC. Even so they are 4 hours old. Its likely this was dry air that weaken the storm. Already the northwestern Part of the system is making landfall.

Now 125 knots
6 120 knots making landfall
12 100 knots inland
24 50 knots inland

mobilebay · #151 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:26 am

calamity wrote:Luckily the heat content is low... although, storms like this are probably--most likely--common over there.

I think that is a MLC and not an LLC. :lol:

#152 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:49 am

mobilebay wrote:
calamity wrote:Luckily the heat content is low... although, storms like this are probably--most likely--common over there.

I think that is a MLC and not an LLC.

Looks similar to Katrina's ERC and dry air intake from the CONUS before landfall.

HurricaneBill · #153 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:50 am

The only typhoon that appears to have made landfall on China as a Category 5 was Cora in 1966. However, this is questionable.

A midget typhoon named Rose did make landfall on Hong Kong as a Category 4 in 1971.

mobilebay · #154 Postby **mobilebay** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:54 am

HurricaneBill wrote:The only typhoon that appears to have made landfall on China as a Category 5 was Cora in 1966. However, this is questionable.

A midget typhoon named Rose did make landfall on Hong Kong as a Category 4 in 1971.

After some on the board review the past data on these two storms, and take into consideration they did not hit South Florida. They will probably demand they be downgraded to a cat 1. :lol:

wxmann_91 · #155 Postby **wxmann_91** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 1:11 am

BTW, anybody know of any radars in China? I have seen some posted on other forums but can't get anything on Google.

#156 Postby **AJC3** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 1:17 am

http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V5e/observe/radar/radar.htm

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #157 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:10 am

The system has reformed almost a fall ring of red. Winds are kepted at 12:10am pst at 125 knots.

Cyclenall · #158 Postby **Cyclenall** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 2:30 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The system has reformed almost a fall ring of red. Winds are kepted at 12:10am pst at 125 knots.

I saw that. I don't think it's rapidly weakening. I think it's weakening quite slowly and getting bigger before landfall.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #159 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 3:17 am

I expect this thing to make landfall around 120 to 125 knots with in the next few hours. This thing was also 140 to 145 knot cat5 for over a day. So longer then Katrina=more time to pile up the water. If Billis killed 650 people I expect this to do a Mitch.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #160 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Aug 10, 2006 3:18 am

Outter eye making landfall right now!

WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)

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