Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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rnbaida

#3421 Postby rnbaida » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:52 pm

WindRunner wrote:An eye is clearing on radar . . . so it should be stronger IMO.
no it is not.... it is actually weakening...
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#3422 Postby NCWeatherChic » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:52 pm

WindRunner wrote:An eye is clearing on radar . . . so it should be stronger IMO.


Yep, I noticed that too. Glad it closer to landfall. :eek:
Angela
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#3423 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:58 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 010159
AF304 2405A ERNESTO HDOB 14 KNHC
0146 3329N 08025W 01525 0024 018 018 156 154 018 01551 0000000000
0146. 3329N 08023W 01524 0023 017 018 160 150 018 01549 0000000000
0147 3329N 08021W 01524 0022 020 020 160 148 020 01549 0000000000
0147. 3330N 08019W 01524 0021 019 021 160 148 021 01548 0000000000
0148 3330N 08017W 01524 0020 018 021 160 150 022 01546 0000000000
0148. 3330N 08016W 01524 0019 015 021 160 152 021 01545 0000000000
0149 3330N 08014W 01524 0018 018 022 160 150 022 01544 0000000000
0149. 3331N 08012W 01524 0016 023 022 164 150 022 01542 0000000000
0150 3331N 08010W 01524 0015 022 024 164 154 024 01541 0000000000
0150. 3331N 08008W 01524 0015 020 026 160 156 026 01541 0000000000
0151 3331N 08006W 01524 0013 021 025 164 154 025 01539 0000000000
0151. 3332N 08005W 01525 0012 018 026 164 156 027 01539 0000000000
0152 3332N 08003W 01523 0010 017 025 164 150 026 01535 0000000000
0152. 3332N 08001W 01524 0008 018 024 166 150 025 01534 0000000000
0153 3333N 07959W 01524 0007 017 023 166 154 024 01533 0000000000
0153. 3333N 07957W 01524 0006 015 023 166 150 025 01532 0000000000
0154 3333N 07955W 01524 0005 013 026 166 152 026 01531 0000000000
0154. 3333N 07954W 01524 0004 011 028 166 150 028 01530 0000000000
0155 3334N 07952W 01524 0003 011 027 164 152 028 01529 0000000000
0155. 3334N 07950W 01525 0003 015 028 162 154 029 01529 0000000000

I have to go for a few minutes so anyone can continue to post the obs.
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#3424 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:59 pm

Image
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#3425 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 31, 2006 8:59 pm

is recon finding the eye?

how many planes are in the storm now?
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#3426 Postby artist » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:01 pm

my understanding is it is about to make landfall and the plane may not get to the center before it does.
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#3427 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:01 pm

Image
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#3428 Postby bjackrian » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:03 pm

SouthFlorida...just so you know, the lat/long values are given in hh-mm format rather than decimal format. If you look at lines 0152-0153, for example, you'll see that at 80 degrees west it goest from 79 deg-59min to 80 deg-01 min. For Google earth if you enter the measurement with a space ("79 59"), it will automatically convert to decimal form for you.

Thanks for posting the maps!
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#3429 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:04 pm

bjackrian wrote:SouthFlorida...just so you know, the lat/long values are given in hh-mm format rather than decimal format. If you look at lines 0152-0153, for example, you'll see that at 80 degrees west it goest from 79 deg-59min to 80 deg-01 min. For Google earth if you enter the measurement with a space ("79 59"), it will automatically convert to decimal form for you.[/b]

That is awesome... I had no idea. :D
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#3430 Postby rnbaida » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:07 pm

i think they will cancel the recon since ernesto is making landfall....
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#3431 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:07 pm

i think its still a few miles off land.
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#3432 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:09 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 010209
AF304 2405A ERNESTO HDOB 15 KNHC
0156 3334N 07948W 01524 0002 012 024 170 150 025 01528 0000000000
0156. 3334N 07946W 01524 0001 013 027 166 150 029 01526 0000000000
0157 3335N 07944W 01524 5001 014 029 164 152 030 01525 0000000000
0157. 3335N 07943W 01524 5002 011 033 166 156 034 01524 0000000000
0158 3335N 07941W 01524 5004 012 032 166 152 032 01522 0000000000
0158. 3335N 07939W 01524 5006 013 030 174 146 031 01521 0000000000
0159 3336N 07937W 01522 5007 015 031 174 152 031 01518 0000000000
0159. 3336N 07935W 01525 5008 011 030 180 150 030 01519 0000000000
0200 3336N 07934W 01524 5010 011 029 178 144 030 01516 0000000000
0200. 3336N 07932W 01524 5011 011 032 172 154 033 01514 0000000000
0201 3337N 07930W 01523 5013 013 030 168 160 031 01512 0000000000
0201. 3337N 07928W 01526 5014 017 032 166 164 033 01514 0000000000
0202 3337N 07926W 01522 5016 016 030 172 162 031 01508 0000000000
0202. 3337N 07924W 01526 5017 019 029 170 164 030 01511 0000000000
0203 3338N 07923W 01524 5018 017 029 170 164 029 01508 0000000000
0203. 3338N 07921W 01525 5019 013 028 178 152 029 01509 0000000000
0204 3338N 07919W 01522 5019 011 028 180 152 028 01505 0000000000
0204. 3338N 07917W 01523 5020 011 036 176 162 042 01505 0000000000
0205 3339N 07915W 01523 5023 016 042 176 166 042 01502 0000000000
0205. 3339N 07914W 01525 5024 013 044 170 164 044 01503 0000000000
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#3433 Postby rnbaida » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:09 pm

fact789 wrote:i think its still a few miles off land.
they should be reaching the center in about 20 minutes....
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#3434 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:10 pm

Image
Instead of coordinates... I will post the highest FL wind they find in each data set.
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#3435 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:10 pm

rnbaida wrote:
fact789 wrote:i think its still a few miles off land.
they should be reaching the center in about 20 minutes....


they better hurry up :lol:
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#3436 Postby rnbaida » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:11 pm

They are NOW in the center.... i revise that last statement.
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#3437 Postby WindRunner » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:13 pm

Not quite 20 minutes . . . the official center is still probably about 15nm off the coast, +-5 or so, so maybe another hour or thereabouts until the center of circ makes landfall. North "eyewall" is already nearing the coast (about 2nm off), but as long as part of the eye is still over the water (preferably including the center), the plane can make the fix (and hopefully drop).
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#3438 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:14 pm

have they ever hit land with a dropsonde
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#3439 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:18 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 010219
AF304 2405A ERNESTO HDOB 16 KNHC
0206 3339N 07912W 01526 5025 013 041 170 168 043 01502 0000000000
0206. 3339N 07910W 01524 5028 013 041 168 168 042 01498 0000000000
0207 3340N 07908W 01523 5030 012 038 172 168 039 01495 0000000000
0207. 3340N 07906W 01524 5033 008 035 176 164 036 01493 0000000000
0208 3340N 07905W 01520 5036 002 035 172 160 035 01487 0000000000
0208. 3340N 07903W 01525 5038 360 037 166 166 037 01489 0000000000
0209 3341N 07901W 01527 5040 356 040 168 168 042 01489 0000000000
0209. 3341N 07859W 01523 5042 354 042 168 168 043 01483 0000000000
0210 3341N 07857W 01523 5045 358 040 168 168 041 01480 0000000000
0210. 3341N 07855W 01524 5049 001 042 172 172 043 01477 0000000000
0211 3342N 07853W 01522 5053 006 043 178 172 046 01472 0000000000
0211. 3342N 07852W 01525 5055 004 046 172 172 046 01472 0000000000
0212 3342N 07850W 01524 5058 007 044 176 176 045 01468 0000000000
0212. 3342N 07848W 01526 5061 008 045 160 160 046 01468 0000000000
0213 3343N 07846W 01521 5067 017 041 152 152 045 01457 0000000000
0213. 3343N 07845W 01523 5072 022 043 146 146 046 01453 0000000000
0214 3343N 07843W 01528 5075 018 048 146 146 049 01455 0000000000
0214. 3343N 07841W 01520 5078 026 039 154 154 045 01444 0000000000
0215 3344N 07839W 01527 5081 027 034 176 176 035 01448 0000000000
0215. 3344N 07838W 01523 5084 026 035 178 178 036 01441 0000000000

49kts.
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#3440 Postby WindRunner » Thu Aug 31, 2006 9:19 pm

They are not in the center as of yet (datawise anyway . . . they probably are in real life, but we don't know that for sure). Very shortly they will be.

And sorry about that last statement, I though you were talking about the landfall of the eye, not the plane reaching the center.
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