Hurricane Gordon - Cat. 3
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- Tropical Storm
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- Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:50 pm
- Location: PD, Azores Islands, Portugal
Sea conditions:
http://www.climaat.angra.uac.pt/dados/dados.htm
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http://www.gisclimaat.angra.uac.pt/weather/arquipelago2.php
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http://www.climaat.angra.uac.pt/WebCams/weathercams.htm
http://www.climaat.angra.uac.pt/dados/dados.htm
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http://www.gisclimaat.angra.uac.pt/weather/arquipelago2.php
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- LAwxrgal
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Hi AZS! I see you're from the Azores Islands...keep us posted on conditions over there! And stay safe! Thanks...
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)
Wake me up when November ends
Wake me up when November ends
Derek Ortt wrote:I dont think we will see much weakening, if any before reaching the Azores
I explain it in a new Gordon forecast I am finishing, but it does not look that good for the Azores
and here we all thought Gordon would end up as a fish... Mr 1100 deaths and no retirement will not go away that easily...
I was thinking the same thing, how many people thought that Gordon was going to be a fish for sure? Almost everyone if not everyone. Massive amounts of crow will be needed.
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- Epsilon_Fan
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- Evil Jeremy
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783
WHXX01 KWBC 200040
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE GORDON (AL072006) ON 20060920 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060920 0000 060920 1200 060921 0000 060921 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 37.7N 29.9W 36.9N 20.9W 37.3N 11.9W 39.7N 5.0W
BAMM 37.7N 29.9W 37.3N 21.9W 38.3N 13.4W 41.5N 6.8W
A98E 37.7N 29.9W 36.8N 22.3W 36.3N 14.0W 35.9N 8.0W
LBAR 37.7N 29.9W 37.6N 22.1W 39.6N 14.9W 45.6N 11.3W
SHIP 70KTS 62KTS 57KTS 55KTS
DSHP 70KTS 62KTS 57KTS 41KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060922 0000 060923 0000 060924 0000 060925 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 44.2N .3W 54.9N 2.2E 62.8N 5.6E 64.8N 21.6E
BAMM 46.4N 3.3W 56.3N 2.5W 62.4N 2.1W 64.2N 2.3E
A98E 36.7N 4.5W 31.9N .5W 30.0N 1.4E 35.0N 9.0E
LBAR 53.8N 10.8W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 53KTS 50KTS 48KTS 40KTS
DSHP 33KTS 30KTS 30KTS 30KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 37.7N LONCUR = 29.9W DIRCUR = 100DEG SPDCUR = 29KT
LATM12 = 38.0N LONM12 = 37.1W DIRM12 = 91DEG SPDM12 = 26KT
LATM24 = 38.0N LONM24 = 43.3W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 75KT
CENPRS = 980MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 150NM RD34NW = 150NM
$$
70kts pressure up to 980mb. Also now moving just south of east again. I noticed the 18z GFDL took it the center south of Sao Miguel tonight.
WHXX01 KWBC 200040
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
HURRICANE GORDON (AL072006) ON 20060920 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060920 0000 060920 1200 060921 0000 060921 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 37.7N 29.9W 36.9N 20.9W 37.3N 11.9W 39.7N 5.0W
BAMM 37.7N 29.9W 37.3N 21.9W 38.3N 13.4W 41.5N 6.8W
A98E 37.7N 29.9W 36.8N 22.3W 36.3N 14.0W 35.9N 8.0W
LBAR 37.7N 29.9W 37.6N 22.1W 39.6N 14.9W 45.6N 11.3W
SHIP 70KTS 62KTS 57KTS 55KTS
DSHP 70KTS 62KTS 57KTS 41KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060922 0000 060923 0000 060924 0000 060925 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 44.2N .3W 54.9N 2.2E 62.8N 5.6E 64.8N 21.6E
BAMM 46.4N 3.3W 56.3N 2.5W 62.4N 2.1W 64.2N 2.3E
A98E 36.7N 4.5W 31.9N .5W 30.0N 1.4E 35.0N 9.0E
LBAR 53.8N 10.8W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 53KTS 50KTS 48KTS 40KTS
DSHP 33KTS 30KTS 30KTS 30KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 37.7N LONCUR = 29.9W DIRCUR = 100DEG SPDCUR = 29KT
LATM12 = 38.0N LONM12 = 37.1W DIRM12 = 91DEG SPDM12 = 26KT
LATM24 = 38.0N LONM24 = 43.3W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 75KT
CENPRS = 980MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 150NM RD34NW = 150NM
$$
70kts pressure up to 980mb. Also now moving just south of east again. I noticed the 18z GFDL took it the center south of Sao Miguel tonight.
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- Professional-Met
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- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Derek Ortt wrote:it only has about 36 hours before reaching the ortuguese and Spanish mainland
Should be extra-tropical by then
I'm not so sure about that. There is no sign of extratropical transition at this point, so I would give it about a 20-30% chance of making it to mainland Europe as a hurricane or tropical storm.
That is just my view, though.
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- Matt-hurricanewatcher
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CrazyC83 wrote:Derek Ortt wrote:it only has about 36 hours before reaching the ortuguese and Spanish mainland
Should be extra-tropical by then
I'm not so sure about that. There is no sign of extratropical transition at this point, so I would give it about a 20-30% chance of making it to mainland Europe as a hurricane or tropical storm.
That is just my view, though.
He looks very disorganized on latest satellite images and he looks like he starting to lose tropical characteristics too. Dr. Lyons on TWC also thought the same a few mins ago.
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- AnnularCane
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