Hurricane Isaac - Cat. 1

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TheEuropean
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#381 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Sep 29, 2006 3:27 pm

I had a feeling earlier today that crazy Epsilon (my avatar) is comming back...
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#382 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Sep 29, 2006 6:26 pm

when do the new Devotak numbers come in?
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#383 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Sep 29, 2006 6:47 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:when do the new Devotak numbers come in?


They should come in within the next hour.
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#384 Postby Jim Cantore » Fri Sep 29, 2006 6:49 pm

Lol, he looks like a little wave.
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#385 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Sep 29, 2006 6:49 pm

Isaac is looking very good now, a real eye seems to built in:

Image
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#386 Postby Jim Cantore » Fri Sep 29, 2006 6:54 pm

The 11pm advisory will be quite intresting.
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#387 Postby wxman57 » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:11 pm

I see no reason to modify the intensity on the next advisory. Doesn't look any better than it did earlier today. Even short-term Dvorak estimates are 3.0 or less:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt1.html
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#388 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:27 pm

29/2345 UTC 29.9N 57.1W T3.5/3.5 ISAAC -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

Intensity chart below.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

Almost a hurricane according to SSD dvorak sat estimates.
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#389 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:34 pm

Image

Amazing little cyclone!!!
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#390 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:39 pm

Canadian Hurricane Centre set it at 55kt...just got it in my inbox...
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#391 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:39 pm

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC (AL092006) ON 20060930 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060930 0000 060930 1200 061001 0000 061001 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.9N 57.1W 30.7N 58.5W 31.6N 59.8W 32.9N 60.8W
BAMM 29.9N 57.1W 30.6N 58.6W 31.5N 60.2W 32.7N 61.6W
A98E 29.9N 57.1W 30.5N 58.2W 31.5N 59.1W 33.1N 59.7W
LBAR 29.9N 57.1W 30.9N 58.3W 31.8N 58.7W 33.4N 59.2W
SHIP 60KTS 64KTS 65KTS 65KTS
DSHP 60KTS 64KTS 65KTS 65KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
061002 0000 061003 0000 061004 0000 061005 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 35.1N 61.5W 43.8N 59.0W 50.9N 48.5W 54.2N 28.4W
BAMM 34.8N 62.5W 42.6N 59.4W 49.2N 49.2W 51.2N 31.4W
A98E 35.7N 59.1W 45.7N 51.6W 52.2N 30.0W 37.0N 11.9W
LBAR 34.5N 60.1W 39.6N 56.8W 48.9N 39.7W .0N .0W
SHIP 68KTS 73KTS 67KTS 58KTS
DSHP 68KTS 73KTS 63KTS 54KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.9N LONCUR = 57.1W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 29.2N LONM12 = 55.9W DIRM12 = 298DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 28.9N LONM24 = 54.9W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 35NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 995MB OUTPRS = 1017MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 90NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 60NM
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#392 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:40 pm

This reminds me of 2003's Hurricane Kate...
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#393 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:51 pm

Image
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#394 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 29, 2006 7:53 pm

Image
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#395 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Fri Sep 29, 2006 8:26 pm

Mr. Isaac really wants to be the 5th cane of the season.
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#396 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 29, 2006 9:44 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Mr. Isaac really wants to be the 5th cane of the season.


Yes he does, although I don't see anything to justify 60kt personally. I would have held him at 55, or even 50.
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#397 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Sep 29, 2006 9:45 pm

TheEuropean wrote:Isaac is looking very good now, a real eye seems to built in:

Image


Looks quite impressive. 8-)
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#398 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 29, 2006 10:41 pm

It seems the "I" streak will continue!!!!!
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#399 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Sep 30, 2006 12:48 am

Very compact little thing... what is it about these storms that form up here in the open Atlantic that makes them so compact? Wilma's eye at one point was about as big as this thing is. :lol:
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#400 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 30, 2006 4:33 am

Image

Band of convection around the eye, if it holds or gets better organized, we may have a hurricane at 11 AM.
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