Tropical Depression Olivia in EPAC

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cycloneye
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#41 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 12, 2006 5:24 pm

WTPZ41 KNHC 122032
TCDEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162006
200 PM PDT THU OCT 12 2006

ANY SCANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH OLIVIA THIS MORNING HAS
VANISHED WITH ONLY A NAKED SWIRL REMAINING ON SATELLITE IMAGES.
THUS THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. A QUIKSCAT
PASS AT 1420 UTC SUGGESTED THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ABOUT 25 KT...
AND THAT ESTIMATE WILL BE THE INITIAL INTENSITY. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS THE REMNANTS OF OLIVIA BECOME ENTRAINED
EASTWARD INTO THE LARGER ITCZ CIRCULATION SOUTH OF MEXICO. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW OF OLIVIA PLEASE SEE HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 12/2100Z 17.5N 120.4W 25 KT
12HR VT 13/0600Z 17.4N 119.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 13/1800Z 17.3N 117.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
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