Hurricane Emily Advisories

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jkt21787
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#101 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:12 pm

hicksta wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
hicksta wrote:they keep showing a WNW all the way till landfall.. i just cant agree with that

Why can't you?


name one storm that stayed WNW for 5 days straight..

There will be definitely be wobbles, but the track path is an average of that, and of course the cone must be taken seriously. Texas can't count this one out yet.
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Andrew92
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#102 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:13 pm

Scorpion wrote:I do believe recon. Thats what I meant, I dont think it is 115 until recon backs it up.


Then justify your claim when you said RECON didn't find 110 mph winds....when in fact they had.

-Andrew92
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#103 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:13 pm

I have my doubts about the strength of that ridge when Emily nears the Yucatan. We have yet to see a ridge this strong as forecasted yet this summer. She may turn a little more NW IMO.
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#104 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:14 pm

Scorpion wrote:I do believe recon. Thats what I meant, I dont think it is 115 until recon backs it up.


Then you dont believe what the folks of NHC say at all?
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Hyperstorm
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#105 Postby Hyperstorm » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:14 pm

Hicksta,

There have been MANY storms that moved WNW for DAYS...Two notable examples...

Hurricane Georges 1998:

Image

Hurricane Allen 1980:

Image

Do you need any more tracks?
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:15 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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hicksta
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#106 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:14 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:I have my doubts about the strength of that ridge when Emily nears the Yucatan. We have yet to see a ridge this strong as forecasted yet this summer. She may turn a little more NW IMO.


Iv been thinking that for a while now.. espcially with some trophs coming down.
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hicksta
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#107 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:15 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:Hicksta,

There have been MANY storms that moved WNW for DAYS...Two notable examples...

Hurricane Georges 1998:

Image

Hurricane Allen 1980

Image

Do you need any more tracks?



george did NOT stay wnw the whole time.. look at the end.
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#108 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:16 pm

cycloneye wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I do believe recon. Thats what I meant, I dont think it is 115 until recon backs it up.


Then you dont believe what the folks of NHC say at all?

He just said elsewhere that NHC has completely dropped the ball on this one.

I think the only one who has dropped a ball is him.
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GalvestonDuck
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#109 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:16 pm

Oh my goodness, some of you are enough to make a bird molt!

http://www.dailywav.com/0503/molting.wav
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Hyperstorm
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#110 Postby Hyperstorm » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:16 pm

You said for 5 days straight, correct? If so, Georges took that path for at least 5 days...
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x-y-no
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#111 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:16 pm

hicksta wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
hicksta wrote:they keep showing a WNW all the way till landfall.. i just cant agree with that

Why can't you?


name one storm that stayed WNW for 5 days straight..


Gilbert.
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Andrew92
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#112 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:17 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Scorpion wrote:I do believe recon. Thats what I meant, I dont think it is 115 until recon backs it up.


Then you dont believe what the folks of NHC say at all?

He just said elsewhere that NHC has completely dropped the ball on this one.

I think the only one who has dropped a ball is him.


I'd like to drop a ball personally....on all of the arguments Scorpion has said.

No, not Scorpion himself, as he is a human being...but I totally agree with you all that I don't understand what he is thinking or saying.

-Andrew92
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GalvestonDuck
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#113 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:17 pm

hicksta wrote:george did NOT stay wnw the whole time.. look at the end.


You didn't say the whole time originally. You said "five days." That was WELL OVER five days.
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hicksta
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#114 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:18 pm

I am not saying everystorm keeps that path. most once they get close to land tend not to go the same path. wasnt saying everyone
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x-y-no
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#115 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:18 pm

Image
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hicksta
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#116 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:20 pm

x-y-no wrote:Image

i didnt say everystorm.. and if im correct they had him moving NW towards galveston
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#117 Postby Scorpion » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:21 pm

Ok I looked at the sat loop doesnt look Cat 2 to me. Sorry guys I just like hard data please dont bash :wink: .
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hicksta
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#118 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:21 pm

Scorpion wrote:Ok I looked at the sat loop doesnt look Cat 2 to me. Sorry guys I just like hard data please dont bash :wink: .


true looking at the satalite photos it doesnt look near 3..
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#119 Postby Scorpion » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:22 pm

I am just kind of shocked at the rate this thing is intensifying I mean it was a weak TS just yesterday that looked like it was dying now its a 3 thats just insane.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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#120 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:23 pm

So you think that a soild red around Cdo a pin hole eye is not a major hurricane...You normally in fact do not see this for less then a cat4 hurricane. I can't wait for recon...
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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