Hurricane Emily Advisories

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

#801 Postby HurricaneBill » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:33 pm

Greatone usually throws a fit about the NHC upgrading Danny to a hurricane because of the pressure.

However, looking at Danny on satellite, Danny was definitely a hurricane.

Image
0 likes   

gkrangers

#802 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 4:49 pm

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN EMILY HAVE INCREASED TO AT LEAST 115
MPH... MAKING EMILY A MAJOR CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONALLY... THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
HAS DROPPED TO 942 MB... OR 27.82 INCHES.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37041
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#803 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:04 pm

HURRICANE EMILY TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

AT 5 PM CDT...2200Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE EMILY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST OR ABOUT
120 MILES... 190 KM EAST OF BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO AND 155
MILES...245 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART
0 likes   
#neversummer

gkrangers

#804 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:07 pm

323
WTNT65 KNHC 192157
TCUAT5
HURRICANE EMILY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
448 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN EMILY HAVE CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE
AND ARE AT LEAST 120 MPH. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY 530
PM CDT...2230Z...REFLECTING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY
FORECAST.

FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART
0 likes   

User avatar
Pebbles
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1994
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)

#805 Postby Pebbles » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:08 pm

000
WTNT65 KNHC 192157
TCUAT5
HURRICANE EMILY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
448 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN EMILY HAVE CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE
AND ARE AT LEAST 120 MPH. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY 530
PM CDT...2230Z...REFLECTING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY
FORECAST.

FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#806 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:08 pm

A special Advisorie will be issued at 5:30 PM CDT.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37041
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#807 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:32 pm

cycloneye wrote:A special Advisorie will be issued at 5:30 PM CDT.


It's late. :grr:
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#808 Postby yoda » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:33 pm

They are making sure they have all the info in it Brent... :wink:
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37041
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#809 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:34 pm

yoda wrote:They are making sure they have all the info in it Brent... :wink:


Well they said BY 5:30pm... they shouldn't have said that if they weren't going to have all the info. :wink:
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#810 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:40 pm

870
WTNT35 KNHC 192239
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

...EMILY REGAINS MAJOR CATEGORY THREE STATUS WITH 125 MPH WINDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 6 PM CDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...
168 KM... EAST OF BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO AND ABOUT 135 MILES... 215
KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATE TONIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF
EMILY NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EMILY IS NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND EMILY COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM. OUTER RAINBANDS BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
COASTS OF FAR SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH
OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN
TEXAS AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...WITH ISOLATED 10 TO 12 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. HEAVIER RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO WHERE 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT...AND
OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 6 PM CDT POSITION...24.5 N... 96.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37041
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#811 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:40 pm

HURRICANE EMILY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
2300Z TUE JUL 19 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 96.0W AT 19/2300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 35SE 20SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE 100SE 120SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 96.0W AT 19/2300Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 95.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.6N 97.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.7N 99.3W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.7N 101.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 96.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

FORECASTER KNABB
0 likes   
#neversummer

Anonymous

#812 Postby Anonymous » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:45 pm

I should have kept my 115 kt MEXICO forecast. never back down from your gut. I'll say 145 mph by landfall, IMO.
0 likes   

gkrangers

#813 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 5:49 pm

032
WTNT45 KNHC 192248
TCDAT5
HURRICANE EMILY SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2005

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO UPDATE THE INITIAL AND
FORECAST INTENSITY OF EMILY. MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS AT 700 MB
FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WERE 122 KT AT 2126Z...
SUPPORTING THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 110 KT. THE WINDS HAVE NOW
CAUGHT UP TO THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE THAT WAS ALREADY TYPICAL
OF AT LEAST A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. ADDITIONALLY... THE WIND
RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTHEAST BASED ON THE
LATEST AIRCRAFT DATA. THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS ALSO BEEN
ADJUSTED UPWARD TO REFLECT RECENT TRENDS... AND EMILY COULD REACH
CATEGORY FOUR INTENSITY BEFORE LANDFALL. THE TRACK FORECAST HAS
NOT BEEN CHANGED SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY.


FORECASTER KNABB


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 19/2300Z 24.5N 96.0W 110 KT
12HR VT 20/0600Z 24.6N 97.2W 120 KT
24HR VT 20/1800Z 24.7N 99.3W 40 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
36HR VT 21/0600Z 24.7N 101.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND
48HR VT 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#814 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:06 pm

ZCZC MIATCEAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EMILY TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

AT 7 PM CDT... 0000Z... THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE EMILY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 96.1 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES... 160 KM EAST OF BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO AND 130
MILES... 215 KM... SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

FORECASTER KNABB
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Andy_L
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 257
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 8:03 am
Location: Ottawa, Canada

#815 Postby Andy_L » Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:27 pm

Luis? is there no 8pm advisory etc tonight?????
0 likes   

donsutherland1
S2K Analyst
S2K Analyst
Posts: 2718
Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:49 pm
Location: New York

#816 Postby donsutherland1 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:33 pm

Andy_L,

Those advisories are listed as Central Time. The 7 pm CDT position estimate was 8 pm EDT. The 8 pm CDT advisory will be out at around 9 pm EDT.
Last edited by donsutherland1 on Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:34 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

gkrangers

#817 Postby gkrangers » Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:33 pm

Andy_L wrote:Luis? is there no 8pm advisory etc tonight?????
They are doing advisories every two hours now.

5 - 7 - 9 - 11 - 1 - 3 - 5...
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#818 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:33 pm

Andy_L wrote:Luis? is there no 8pm advisory etc tonight?????


No look below.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Matt-hurricanewatcher
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11649
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Nov 26, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Portland,OR
Contact:

#819 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:34 pm

19/2345 UTC 24.5N 96.1W T6.0/6.0 EMILY
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#820 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Jul 19, 2005 8:01 pm

000
WTNT35 KNHC 200055
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 37A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

...OUTER RAINBANDS OF MAJOR HURRICANE EMILY SPREADING OVER
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 PM CDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 96.1 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...
168 KM... EAST OF BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO AND ABOUT 135 MILES... 215
KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

EMILY HAS TEMPORARILY STALLED BUT IS SOON EXPECTED TO RESUME A
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...15 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF EMILY NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. EMILY IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...
AND EMILY COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM. OUTER RAINBANDS BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
COASTS OF FAR SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH
OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN
TEXAS AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...WITH ISOLATED 10 TO 12 INCH
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. HEAVIER RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO WHERE 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT...AND
OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

REPEATING THE 6 PM CDT POSITION...24.4 N... 96.1 W.
MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY BUT EXPECTED TO RESUME A MOTION TOWARD
THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB


$$
0 likes   


Return to “2005”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests