Hurricane Emily Advisories

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#881 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 20, 2005 3:37 pm

TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052005
2100Z WED JUL 20 2005

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SOUTHWARD TO LA PESCA
MEXICO. THIS WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TONIGHT.

AT 4 PM CDT...ALL WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 99.2W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 99.2W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 98.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 25.1N 100.9W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 25.1N 103.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 99.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

FORECASTER STEWART
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#882 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 20, 2005 3:37 pm

TROPICAL STORM EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

DATA FROM THE BROWNSVILLE WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VELOCITIES
THAT SUPPORTED 70 KT AT THE 18Z SYNOPTIC TIME. SINCE THEN...HOWEVER
...THEY HAVE DECREASED TO 65-67 KT AT 9000 FT ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN MEXICAN COAST...WHICH ONLY SUPPORTS ABOUT 60 KT AT THE
SURFACE. THEREFORE...TENACIOUS EMILY HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS FINALLY...WESTWARD...AT 275/10. NHC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT ON A WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
...AND THE MODEL CONSENSUS WAS FOLLOWED CLOSELY. THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION WILL LIKELY GET SHEARED AWAY FROM THE MID- AND
UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS AFTER 18 HOURS AND POSSIBLY REMAIN BEHIND
TO THE EAST OF THE MOUNTAIN RANGE. HOWEVER...A 24-HOUR POSITION WAS
INCLUDED FOR CONTINUITY PURPOSES FOR THOSE USERS WHO MAY NEED AN
18-HOUR INTERMEDIATE POSITION.

EMILY SHOULD CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT AS THE CYCLONE
MOVES OVER INCREASINGLY HIGHER TERRAIN...AND COULD BECOME A
DEPRESSION LATER THIS EVENING. COMPLETE DISSIPATION SHOULD OCCUR BY
24-30 HOURS WHEN EMILY IS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN MEXICO.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 20/2100Z 25.0N 99.2W 60 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 21/0600Z 25.1N 100.9W 30 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND
24HR VT 21/1800Z 25.1N 103.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND
36HR VT 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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#883 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 20, 2005 3:39 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2005

...HURRICANE WARNINGS DISCONTINUED AS EMILY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL
STORM OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
...EMILY STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SOUTHWARD TO LA PESCA
MEXICO. THIS WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TONIGHT.

AT 4 PM CDT...ALL WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED
INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 99.2 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES ... 130 KM... SOUTHEAST OF
MONTERREY MEXICO AND ABOUT 95 MILES... 155 KM...SOUTHWEST OF
MCALLEN TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
TAKING EMILY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND EMILY WILL
LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
...260 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH EAST OF THE CENTER. RECENTLY...
MATAMOROS MEXICO REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 51 MPH. ALSO...DOPPLER
RADAR DATA FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS INDICATE THAT WINDS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO HAVE DECREASED TO BELOW HURRICANE
FORCE. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF MEXICO INTO THIS EVENING. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE OVERNIGHT.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WHERE 5 TO
10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH
EARLY EVENING.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...25.0 N... 99.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART
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#884 Postby Gorky » Wed Jul 20, 2005 6:08 pm

Emily is one stubborn storm! She just doesn't want to die....
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#885 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 7:01 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EMILY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2005

...EMILY WEAKENING OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO BUT HEAVY RAINFALL
CONTINUES...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SOUTHWARD
TO LA PESCA MEXICO. THIS WARNING AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED
INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 99.7 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES ... 100 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF MONTERREY MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM...SOUTHWEST OF
MCALLEN TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
TAKING EMILY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND EMILY WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...225 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO
SHOULD CONTINUE GRADUALLY DECREASING OVERNIGHT.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WHERE 5 TO
10 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...25.0 N... 99.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB
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#886 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:39 pm

TROPICAL STORM EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2005

...EMILY STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER SOUTHWARD TO LA PESCA
MEXICO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 100.2 WEST OR ABOUT
65 MILES... 110 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MONTERREY MEXICO AND ABOUT
180 MILES... 290 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH... 17 KM/HR... AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT... BRINGING EMILY FARTHER
INLAND AND OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVERNIGHT... AND EMILY WILL LIKELY
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
DATA FROM BROWNSVILLE TEXAS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS CONTINUE IN RAINBANDS WELL NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER... BETWEEN
MONTERREY MEXICO AND THE TEXAS BORDER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER NORTHEAST MEXICO... WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.

SINCE 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY... MONTERREY MEXICO... LOCATED ON THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS... HAS RECEIVED 3.39
INCHES OF RAINFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...25.0 N...100.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB
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#887 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:41 pm

Emily doesn't want to die.
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#888 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:42 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Emily doesn't want to die.


Yes I was in the believe it was going to be downgraded to a depression at this advisorie.
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#889 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 20, 2005 9:57 pm

210255
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

CONVECTIVE TOPS HAVE COOLED SUBSTANTIALLY NEAR THE CIRCULATION
CENTER... BUT A STRONG RAINBAND PERSISTS NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER
BETWEEN MONTERREY MEXICO AND THE TEXAS BORDER. DOPPLER VELOCITIES
FROM THE BROWNSVILLE TEXAS RADAR STILL INDICATE WINDS NEAR 50 KT AT
ABOUT 10000 FEET IN THAT BAND... SUGGESTING THAT WINDS NEAR 45 KT
COULD STILL BE MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE. EMILY THEREFORE REMAINS
A 45 KT TROPICAL STORM FOR NOW. INITIAL MOTION IS DUE WESTWARD AT
ABOUT 9 KT... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS JUST ABOUT TO RUN INTO THE EASTERN
SLOPES OF THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS OF INTERIOR NORTHEAST
MEXICO... AND THIS SHOULD SOON LEAD TO A DECOUPLING OF THE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FROM THE CONVECTION. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVERNIGHT AND DEGENERATE INTO A REMANT LOW
WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER... THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINS
OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.

FORECASTER KNABB


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 21/0300Z 25.0N 100.2W 45 KT
12HR VT 21/1200Z 25.0N 101.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
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#890 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:210255
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

CONVECTIVE TOPS HAVE COOLED SUBSTANTIALLY NEAR THE CIRCULATION
CENTER...


Shouldn't it be, "convective tops have warmed...." Cooling means the opposite.
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#891 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 20, 2005 10:44 pm

Die Emily!!! :grr:
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#892 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:36 am

Tropical Depression Emily Advisory Number 43


Statement as of 4:00 am CDT on July 21, 2005


...Emily weakens to a tropical depression over the mountains of
northern Mexico...rainfall threat continues...

for storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 4 am CDT...0900z...the center of Tropical Depression Emily was
located near latitude 25.0 north...longitude 101.1 west or about 80
miles...130 km...southwest of Monterrey Mexico.

The depression is moving toward the west near 10 mph...17 km/hr...
and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph... 55
km/hr...with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast...and the
depression will likely dissipate during the next 24 hours.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb...29.65 inches.

Emily is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 3 to 5
inches over northern Mexico with isolated maximum amounts of 8
inches in the mountains. These rains could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.
Monterrey reported 4.09 inches of rain for the 6 hour period ending
at 1 am CDT.

Repeating the 4 am CDT position...25.0 N...101.1 W. Movement
toward...west near 10 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 mph. Minimum central pressure...1004 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 10 am CDT.

Forecaster Beven
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#893 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:40 am

Tropical Depression Emily Discussion Number 43


Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on July 21, 2005



the center of Emily has reached the Sierra Madre Mountains...and
satellite imagery shows a significant decay of the convective
structure. At this moment...the strongest remaining deep
convection is in bands well away from the center...most notably in
the eastern semicircle. Based on the decay...decreasing winds on
the Brownsville WSR-88D...and observations from Monterrey Mexico...
the initial intensity is reduced to 30 kt. Some higher winds may
occur in the mountains due to terrain effects.
The initial motion is 270/9. Emily should continue this general
motion until the surface circulation dissipates over the mountains
of northern Mexico in 12-24 hr. The potential for heavy rain will
continue across northen Mexico for the next day or two as the
remnant mid/upper level center moves westward.

Forecaster Beven


forecast positions and Max winds

initial 21/0900z 25.0n 101.1w 30 kt
12hr VT 21/1800z 25.0n 102.8w 20 kt...remnant low
24hr VT 22/0600z...dissipated


Next Advisorie we can telll Emily good bye intill 2011!!! :lol:
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#894 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 21, 2005 6:17 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Next Advisorie we can telll Emily good bye intill 2011!!! :lol:


I don't think there is going to be a 2011 for Emily. She is done! Retirement is just months away.
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#895 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2005 6:46 am

As the final epilog nears later today the sticky will be lifted.Matt Emily will not be in the 2011 list.
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#896 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 8:09 am

anyone think Emily could enter the Pacific and redevelop????
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#897 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:07 am

TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

...EMILY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN INLAND OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...
...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL EXISTS...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF SALTILLO MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH
... 4 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR. CONTINUED
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND EMILY SHOULD GRADUALLY DISSIPATE LATER
TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH EMILY IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...THE
REMNANT CIRCULATION WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.0 N...101.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER STEWART


RIP to Emily.
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#898 Postby Meso » Thu Jul 21, 2005 10:19 am

Emily was a cane who had her mind set on where she wanted to go, and to get there. Even though at some points in Emily's life she seemed to be undecided "by the minds of others" she kept her ambition. Through harsh critisism she managed to prove many wrong and kept her 'eye' on the path she wanted to go. She was strong a strong one who was determind to go far, even if it took her time. I will miss the days where I would walk in the room and check on her. She will be greatly missed by me.

R.I.P
:cry:
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#899 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Jul 21, 2005 3:10 pm

Emily, :Can:

Begone, and don't worry, we humans will clean up your foul mess. Just never annoy us again.

-Andrew92
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