Franklin Advisories

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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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#281 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 28, 2005 5:14 am

It appears that Frankie will fellow the Eastern side of the Gulf stream up. It has another 24 to 36 hours of warm water to go. In the latest satellite shows that outflow is becoming good over all quads. Banding is forming with the center forming under that new blow up. Lets see if Mr.Frankie can pull a Lisa as it moves out northeastward.
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#282 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:35 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU JUL 28 2005

...FRANKLIN MOVING OVER THE OPEN NORTH ATLANTIC...
...MAINLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING INTERESTS...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR ABOUT
360 MILES... 580 KM... NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 645
MILES...1040 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

FRANKLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...36.2 N... 69.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART
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#283 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:41 am

TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU JUL 28 2005

THE EARLIER BURST OF CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ON THE WANE
THE PAST FEW HOURS. A 28/0953Z HI-RES QUIKSCAT OVERPASS INDICATED
THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAD BEEN IN THE MIDDLE OF THE SMALL CDO...
SUGGESTING THAT FRANKLIN MAY HAVE REACHED NEAR 50 KT INTENSITY
BETWEEN 06-09Z. THAT INTENSITY IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY AN AMSU
INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM NESDIS CIRA OF 47 KT AND 998 MB AT 0807Z...
AND A 12Z TAFB SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5/55 KT. HOWEVER
...SINCE THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN DECEASING AND BECOME LESS
ORGANIZED...THE INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 45 KT FOR THE TIME BEING.
THE WIND RADII WERE TRIMMED BACK SLIGHTLY BASED ON QUIKSCAT DATA.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 020/09. IT APPEARS THAT FRANKLIN
IS FINALLY STARTING TO MAKE THE LONG AWAITED TURN TO THE NORTHEAST.
THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE WITH GRADUAL ACCELERATION AS THE CYCLONE
GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE INCREASING DEEP-LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING
FLOW AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM CURRENTLY
LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN COMES BACK ON TRACK AFTER THAT. THIS IS
CONSISTENT WITH THE UKMET AND NOGAPS MODELS...WHICH HAVE BEEN THE
OVERALL BEST PERFORMING MODELS WITH THIS SYSTEM.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THERE IS STILL ENOUGH OF A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE PROTRUDING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE NORTHEAST OF
FRANKLIN...WHICH HAS TEMPORARILY INCREASED THE SHEAR NOW THAT THE
UPPER-LEVEL FLOW HAS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY. I WOULD SUSPECT THAT
THIS SHEAR PATTERN AND CURRENT DISRUPTION OF THE CENTRAL DEEP
CONVECTION WILL BE SHORT-LIVED ONCE FRANKLIN MAKES THE TURN AND
BEGINS TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST IN ANOTHER 6 HOURS OR SO.
RECENT SHIP OBS ALSO REVEAL THAT THE 26C SST ISOTHERM ACTUALLY
EXTENDS UP TO 40N LATITUDE...ABOUT 2 DEGREES NORTH OF WHAT THE
SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL IS INDICATING. AS SUCH...THERE REMAINS ABOUT
ANOTHER 24 HOURS OR SO OF OPPORTUNITY FOR FRANKLIN TO STRENGTHEN
WHILE THE VERTICAL REMAINS LOW. AFTERWARDS...THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE
OVER MUCH COLDER WATER AND RAPIDLY WEAKEN.

IF FRANKLIN MAKES A SLOWER TURN TO THE NORTHEAST THAN CURRENTLY
FOREAST...THEN TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS COULD POSSIBLY BRUSH
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN 60-72 HOURS.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 28/1500Z 36.2N 69.0W 45 KT
12HR VT 29/0000Z 37.5N 67.5W 50 KT
24HR VT 29/1200Z 39.3N 64.9W 55 KT
36HR VT 30/0000Z 41.1N 61.6W 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 30/1200Z 43.0N 57.7W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 31/1200Z 47.0N 48.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 01/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
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#284 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 28, 2005 1:42 pm

This is the best Franklin has looked since it was a wave with an eye. ;)
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#285 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:17 pm

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN (AL062005) ON 20050728 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050728 1800 050729 0600 050729 1800 050730 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 37.1N 68.1W 39.6N 65.1W 42.1N 60.3W 44.0N 54.5W
BAMM 37.1N 68.1W 39.4N 65.5W 41.8N 61.5W 43.9N 56.6W
A98E 37.1N 68.1W 39.5N 64.8W 41.7N 59.7W 45.6N 53.9W
LBAR 37.1N 68.1W 39.5N 65.3W 42.4N 61.5W 45.9N 55.6W
SHIP 50KTS 52KTS 50KTS 46KTS
DSHP 50KTS 52KTS 50KTS 46KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050730 1800 050731 1800 050801 1800 050802 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 45.8N 47.8W 48.1N 31.3W 48.4N 14.5W 47.6N 1.8W
BAMM 46.4N 50.1W 50.7N 31.5W 55.3N 12.4W 61.7N 2.1W
A98E 50.1N 42.0W 52.4N 8.5W 52.5N 19.4E 51.6N 33.3E
LBAR 49.9N 47.3W .0N .0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 40KTS 26KTS 17KTS 0KTS
DSHP 40KTS 26KTS 17KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 37.1N LONCUR = 68.1W DIRCUR = 40DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 35.0N LONM12 = 69.3W DIRM12 = 8DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 33.6N LONM24 = 69.3W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 997MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 190NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 80NM RD34SW = 75NM RD34NW = 25NM


Frankie more stronger now 50kts.Can you believe it is still alive and getting stronger?
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#286 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:35 pm

But FINALLY headed out to sea.
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#287 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:48 pm

Brent wrote:But FINALLY headed out to sea.


I agree. Its about darn time. Now we can focus on 92L.

<RICKY>
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#288 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 28, 2005 3:35 pm

TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2005

DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT WITH A BAND OF MODERATE
CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KT FROM
TAFB AND SAB...AND AN EARLIER AMSU CIMSS PRESSURE ESTIMATE CAME IN
AT 998 MB..OR 48 KT. GIVEN THE OVERALL IMPROVED APPEARANCE OF
FRANKLIN AND THE FASTER FORWARD SPEED POSSIBLY ADDING ANOTHER 5 KT
TO THE TOTAL WIND FIELD ON THE EAST SIDE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY
HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 50 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 040/15...AS FRANKLIN HAS COME UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASING DEEP-LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW
AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD MOVING MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE NHC
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN OUTSTANDING AGREEMENT ON THE DIRECTION OF
MOTION...BUT THERE IS A RANGE OF FORWARD SPEEDS WITH THE CANADIAN
...GFS AND GFDL MODELS BEING THE FASTEST...WHILE THE NOGAPS AND
GFDN MODELS ARE MUCH SLOWER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK LEANS
TOWARD THE NOGAPS AND GFDN MODELS GIVEN THEIR BETTER OVERALL
PERFORMANCE THUS FAR...AND THE FACT THAT FRANKLIN WILL BE MOVING
OVER 13-17C SST WATER BY 36 HOURS WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION TO DECOUPLE AND REMAIN BEHIND THE FASTER MOVING MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION.

NOW THAT FRANKLIN IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD...THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON
THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW FOR ANOTHER 18 HOURS OR
SO...WHICH IS ALSO ABOUT THE TIME THAT THE CYCLONE REACHES MUCH
COLDER WATER. THEREFORE...SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
...WHICH IS ALSO INDICATED NOW BY THE GFDL MODEL. BY 24 HOURS...
THOUGH...INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND MUCH COLDER WATER SHOULD
INDUCE RAPID WEAKENING...ALONG WITH A TRANSITION TO AN
EXTRATROPICAL LOW. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BY 48 HOURS FRANKLIN COULD
ALREADY BE ASORBED BY THE APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM.

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK BRINGS TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS VERY
CLOSE TO THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF NEWFOUNDLAND IN 48 HOURS.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 28/2100Z 37.6N 67.5W 50 KT
12HR VT 29/0600Z 39.3N 65.3W 55 KT
24HR VT 29/1800Z 41.3N 62.0W 50 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 30/0600Z 43.2N 57.9W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 30/1800Z 45.3N 53.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 31/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
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#289 Postby Cookiely » Thu Jul 28, 2005 4:42 pm

Local met in Tampa said "we will be tracking Franklin for six more weeks as he treks to the North Pole". "I'm just kidding. Franklin seems to have been here forever".
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#290 Postby Swimdude » Thu Jul 28, 2005 6:22 pm

I've long since concluded that the only thing Franklin is good for is keeping up our 26-day streak of activity in the Atlantic. :lol:
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#291 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 28, 2005 6:26 pm

Frankie has not even lived even close to as long as Emily.
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#292 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 28, 2005 6:33 pm

28/1745 UTC 37.2N 68.0W T3.5/3.5 FRANKLIN
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#293 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 28, 2005 7:19 pm

It will be interesting to see if Franklin could pull a Lisa (98/04), by the way, it seems Franklin will give the key of the tropics to TD #8 / Harvey.
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#294 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 28, 2005 7:21 pm

Yes...Franklin looks very good right now. Would not be suprized if it can stay over that Gulf stream for another 12 hours it gets a little stronger.
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#295 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:38 pm

WTNT41 KNHC 290232
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2005

FRANKLIN CONTINUES TO GENERATE CONVECTION WITH TOPS COLDER THAN -60C
NEAR AND WEST OF THE CENTER. HOWEVER...TWO RECENT SSM/I OVERPASSES
INDICATE THE CONVECTION IS NOT WELL-WRAPPED AROUND THE CENTER...
CERTAINLY NOT ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY INCREASING THE INTENSITY AT THIS
TIME. THE INITIAL WINDS REMAIN 50 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 55 KT FROM TAFB AND 45 KT FROM SAB.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/16. FRANKLIN IS NOW EMBEDDED IN THE
WESTERLIES...AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST
WILL CONTINUE WITH GRADUAL ACCELERATION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
LIFE OF THE CYCLONE. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS NUDGED JUST A
LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IS A LITTLE SLOWER
THAN THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE.

FRANKLIN STILL HAS ABOUT 6-12 HR IN WHICH TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE THE
CENTER MOVES NORTH OF THE GULF STREAM AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING
VERTICAL SHEAR. AFTER THAT...THE STORM SHOULD WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO
LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. FRANKLIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL IN 24-36 HR...THEN BE ABSORBED BY AN APPROACHING
FRONTAL SYSTEM IS 48-60 HR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK BRINGS TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS NEAR
OR OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF NEWFOUNDLAND IN 36-48 HR.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0300Z 38.9N 66.0W 50 KT
12HR VT 29/1200Z 40.8N 63.2W 50 KT
24HR VT 30/0000Z 42.8N 59.3W 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 30/1200Z 45.0N 54.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 31/0000Z 47.3N 49.3W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED
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#296 Postby Swimdude » Thu Jul 28, 2005 9:56 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Frankie has not even lived even close to as long as Emily.


It just seems like it, because Franklin isn't creating much fanfare.
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#297 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 29, 2005 2:31 am

Franklin is looking very good. It is starting to wrap a banding like eye. But it is about to cross the 26 degree line.
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#298 Postby Coredesat » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:52 am

Gale and storm warnings issued for waters south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland:

000
WTNT31 KNHC 290848
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI JUL 29 2005

...FRANKLIN MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...

GALE AND STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS... ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL
SERVICE OF CANADA... ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SLOPE WATERS SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA AND THE GRAND BANKS SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST OR ABOUT
295 MILES... 480 KM... SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA AND ABOUT 695
MILES...1115 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

FRANKLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH... 35 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE
CENTER OF FRANKLIN WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND
EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING...
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES... 140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANKLIN.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...40.3 N... 63.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER KNABB


$$
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#299 Postby Coredesat » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:11 am

000
WTNT41 KNHC 290900
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2005

DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED DURING THE NIGHT NEAR THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER... ALTHOUGH THE CLOUD TOPS ARE STEADILY WARMING.
DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES AT 06Z WERE 45 TO 55 KT... SO THE
ADVISORY INTENSITY REMAINS 50 KT. FRANKLIN CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 045/19.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS RELATIVELY STRAIGHTFORWARD... WITH CONTINUED
ACCELERATION ON ROUGHLY THE PRESENT HEADING DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE
BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE OPPORTUNITY FOR
ANY FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS JUST ABOUT OVER... AS FRANKLIN IS
PASSING NORTH OF THE GULF STREAM... SO GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST. WHILE FRANKLIN CURRENTLY RETAINS THE CHARACTERISTICS OF
A TROPICAL CYCLONE... EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
WITHIN 24 HOURS... WITH THE CIRCULATION BEING ABSORBED INTO A
FRONTAL ZONE WITHIN ABOUT 48 HOURS.

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK BRINGS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR
OR OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN TIP OF NEWFOUNDLAND IN 24 TO 36
HOURS.

FORECASTER KNABB


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 29/0900Z 40.3N 63.8W 50 KT
12HR VT 29/1800Z 42.0N 60.8W 45 KT
24HR VT 30/0600Z 44.2N 56.2W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 30/1800Z 46.7N 50.7W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 31/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM


$$
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#300 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 29, 2005 9:41 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI JUL 29 2005

...FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE COOL WATERS OF
THE NORTH ATLANTIC...

GALE AND STORM FORCE WIND WARNINGS... ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL
SERVICE OF CANADA... ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SLOPE WATERS SOUTH OF
NOVA SCOTIA AND THE GRAND BANKS SOUTH OF NEWFOUNDLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST OR ABOUT
240 MILES... 385 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
AND ABOUT 565 MILES... 910 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND.

FRANKLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FRANKLIN IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANKLIN.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...41.4 N... 61.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA


Finnally Franklin will be a memory. :)
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