Hurricane Katrina - Cat. 5

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wxwatcher91
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#2181 Postby wxwatcher91 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:31 pm

wow she still has a pressure of a category 3 hurricane yet winds (according to the NHC) are down to tropical storm force... do you think there still may be some hurricane force winds in Katrina?
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#2182 Postby Callista » Mon Aug 29, 2005 8:58 pm

That depends... Does the low pressure always indicate high winds? Or does it just usually accompany them?
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#2183 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 29, 2005 9:31 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

...KATRINA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR NEAR
COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL
TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE STILL CAPABLE OF CREATING HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS BY DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES. KATRINA IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO IS STILL OCCURRING BUT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
KATRINA ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT OVER EASTERN ALABAMA...
CENTRAL AND WESTERN GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEASTERN
TENNESSEE...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...33.5 N... 88.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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#2184 Postby Coredesat » Tue Aug 30, 2005 3:36 am

000
WTNT42 KNHC 300830
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS THAT KATRINA HAS
SHEARED APART...WITH THE MID-LEVEL CENTER OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
TENNESSEE NOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SURFACE CENTER OVER
NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI. THERE ARE NO OFFICIAL REPORTS OF
SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS. HOWEVER...THERE HAVE BEEN
NUMEROUS UNOFFICIAL REPORTS OF 50-55 KT GUSTS OVER NORTHERN ALABAMA
SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. BASED ON THIS...AND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE
RISING TO 981 MB...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 40 KT.

THE CENTER OF KATRINA ISA A LITTLE TO THE LEFT AND SLOWER THAN THE
PREVIOUS TRACK...WITH THE INITIAL MOTION OF 015/16. OTHER THAN
THAT...THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
KATRINA WILL BE STEERED BY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN A TROUGH OVER
THE GREAT LAKES AND A RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES... WHICH
SHOULD PRODUCE AN ACCELERATION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE FORECAST
TRACK IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK DURING
THE FIRST 12 HR BUT IS OTHERWISE JUST AN UPDATE.

KATRINA SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING
THE NEXT 24-36 HR. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER 36 HR IS A
REFLECTION OF THE INCREASED FORWARD MOTION...NOT EXTRATROPICAL
RE-INTENSIFICATION.

EVEN THROUGH THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING...THE THREAT OF STRONG INLAND
WINDS WILL REMAIN FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER. OF PARTICULAR CONCERN
IS THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF LIFE DUE TO FALLING TREES. INLAND FLOODING
AND TORNADOES WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 30/0900Z 34.7N 88.4W 45 KT
12HR VT 30/1800Z 37.2N 86.7W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 31/0600Z 40.3N 82.8W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 31/1800Z 43.7N 77.0W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 01/0600Z 47.5N 71.4W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 02/0600Z 53.0N 68.5W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED


$$
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#2185 Postby Coredesat » Tue Aug 30, 2005 3:37 am

000
WTNT32 KNHC 300832
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...KATRINA WEAKENS FURTHER OVER NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATRINA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES NORTHEAST OF TUPELO MISSISSIPPI.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF KATRINA
THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
KATRINA SHOULD WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 65 MPH HAVE BEEN
REPORTED FROM PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ALABAMA DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
TUPELO RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 980.4 MB...28.95 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...WILL ACCOMPANY KATRINA ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS...THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND INTO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTH
CAROLINA...AND VIRGINIA.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...34.7 N... 88.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#2186 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 30, 2005 7:56 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA (AL122005) ON 20050830 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050830 1200 050831 0000 050831 1200 050901 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 35.6N 88.0W 38.6N 85.4W 41.3N 80.2W 44.1N 74.0W
BAMM 35.6N 88.0W 37.8N 85.9W 39.8N 82.0W 41.7N 76.4W
A98E 35.6N 88.0W 38.4N 86.3W 40.4N 82.0W 42.5N 74.3W
LBAR 35.6N 88.0W 38.4N 85.7W 41.0N 82.0W 43.5N 76.6W
SHIP 30KTS 22KTS 21KTS 23KTS
DSHP 30KTS 28KTS 29KTS 30KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050901 1200 050902 1200 050903 1200 050904 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 47.1N 68.7W 53.7N 62.7W 58.9N 60.5W 59.8N 63.2W
BAMM 43.9N 70.3W 49.8N 58.9W 56.7N 50.5W 61.4N 49.9W
A98E 45.9N 67.0W 47.7N 56.7W 51.8N 43.8W 51.7N 37.2W
LBAR 45.9N 70.0W 52.5N 58.7W 57.6N 63.3W .0N .0W
SHIP 25KTS 26KTS 37KTS 28KTS
DSHP 30KTS 30KTS 30KTS 25KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 35.6N LONCUR = 88.0W DIRCUR = 15DEG SPDCUR = 16KT
LATM12 = 32.7N LONM12 = 89.0W DIRM12 = 15DEG SPDM12 = 16KT
LATM24 = 29.5N LONM24 = 89.6W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 55KT
CENPRS = 985MB OUTPRS = 1005MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


Finnally it has been downgraded to TD.
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#2187 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 30, 2005 9:40 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...KATRINA BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINS...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 25
MILES SOUTH OF CLARKSVILLE TENNESSEE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...WILL ACCOMPANY KATRINA ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY...THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER EASTERN GEORGIA...WESTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA...NORTH CAROLINA...AND VIRGINIA.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...36.3 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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#2188 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 30, 2005 9:45 am

GOOD RIDDANCE!!!!

:grr:
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#2189 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 30, 2005 9:57 am

Bye Katrina you could very will get retired but who knows? You could end up being number one costiest hurricane in United states hurricane. So I think you will knock Andrew down one.
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#2190 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 30, 2005 9:58 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Bye Katrina you could very will get retired but who knows? You could end up being number one costiest hurricane in United states hurricane. So I think you will knock Andrew down one.


She'll be retired... there IS no question. We're all going to flood the WMO with letters if not. :roll:
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#2191 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 30, 2005 9:59 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Bye Katrina you could very will get retired but who knows? You could end up being number one costiest hurricane in United states hurricane. So I think you will knock Andrew down one.


Why do you think Katrina wont be retired?
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#2192 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 30, 2005 10:01 am

I think it will be retired. It needs to be retired!!!
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#2193 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Aug 30, 2005 1:15 pm

Katrina, :Can: NOBODY HAS EVER DESERVED THAT CAN MORE!!!

GOOD RIDDANCE!

And may Kelly in 2011 be even less than a fraction of how destructive you were!

-Andrew92
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#2194 Postby DCmetroraleigh » Tue Aug 30, 2005 1:20 pm

If there were ever a storm we knew was gonna be retire beforehand, Katrina is it.
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#2195 Postby wxwatcher91 » Tue Aug 30, 2005 1:27 pm

in the Keene Sentinel they said that the costs of Katrina are currently estimated at 9 billion...

death toll at 68 on the gulf coast plus 11 in Florida and the count in Louisiana has not been made....

wow has anyone ever heard of a 985mb tropical depression???
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#2196 Postby Viper452 » Tue Aug 30, 2005 1:29 pm

This will be a 100 billion dollar storm. The 9 billion is laughable.
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#2197 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Tue Aug 30, 2005 2:45 pm

Well, that's the end of a legend. I don't think Katrina will be known as the GOAT (Greatest of All Time), but she is certainly one of the top five, maybe even top three. In that new Hurricane Hall of Fame we've been talking about, if hurricanes had jerseys, hers would certainly be right up there in the front row of the rafters. Farewell, Katrina.

Andrew92 wrote:And may Kelly in 2011 be even less than a fraction of how destructive you were!

How do you know Kelly will be her replacement?
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#2198 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Aug 30, 2005 4:02 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Well, that's the end of a legend. I don't think Katrina will be known as the GOAT (Greatest of All Time), but she is certainly one of the top five, maybe even top three. In that new Hurricane Hall of Fame we've been talking about, if hurricanes had jerseys, hers would certainly be right up there in the front row of the rafters. Farewell, Katrina.

Andrew92 wrote:And may Kelly in 2011 be even less than a fraction of how destructive you were!

How do you know Kelly will be her replacement?


It's just my personal suggestion. Sure, I don't know, but why not take a guess?

-Andrew92
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#2199 Postby Josephine96 » Tue Aug 30, 2005 5:21 pm

Joy to the World.. Katrina has finally died..
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#2200 Postby senorpepr » Tue Aug 30, 2005 5:55 pm

WTNT32 KWNH 302156
TCPAT2


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 32 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA COR
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005

ADVISORY CORRECTED TO REMOVE 33 INCH RAINFALL REPORT FOR HOMESTEAD
4NW.

...KATRINA CONTINUES PUSHING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...THREAT FOR
FLOODING REMAINS...

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA...INDIANA...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...AND OHIO.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF INDIANA...KENTUCKY...OHIO...WEST VIRGINIA...PENNSYLVANIA...NEW
YORK...VERMONT...MASSACHUSETTS...CONNECTICUT...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND
MAINE.

URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF ILLINOIS...KENTUCKY...AND INDIANA.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
KENTUCKY...TENNESSEE...WEST VIRGINIA...VIRGINIA...NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND GEORGIA...UNTIL 9 PM EDT.

AT 4 PM CDT...21Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 40 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE...KENTUCKY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27
MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN DIRECTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS... THOUGH THE FORWARD SPEED MAY INCREASE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...OR 29.27 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES
THROUGH 1 PM CDT UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED...

...FLORIDA...

HOMESTEAD 14.41
KEY WEST 9.92
CUTLER RIDGE 3 NE 9.65
MARATHON 9.16
CHEKIKA EVERGLADES 9.12

...LOUISIANA...

BAPTIST/NATALBANY RVR 10.49
BUSH/BOGUE CHITTO RVR 10.05
PEARL RIVER 9.79
KENNER 9.72
CAMP COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 9.63
DEER RANGE 9.25
VENICE/CORP OF ENGINEERS 8.77
COVINGTON/BOGUE FALAYA RVR 7.23
NEW ORLEANS LAKEFRONT 7.20

...MISSISSIPPI...

CAESAR 8.98
NOXAPATER 8.30
HATTIESBURG/BOUIE CREEK 7.33
IUKA 7.12
KOSCIUSKO 6.90
CONEHATTA 6.80
BROOKLYN/BLACK CREEK 6.78
YAZOO CITY 5 NNE 6.50

...ALABAMA...THROUGH 8AM EDT

RED BAY 12NNE 6.44
RED BAY 5.63
HAMILTON 3S 4.78
HODGES 3.87
MUSCLE SHOALS RGNL ARPT 3.74
MOULTON 3.73
SAMANTHA 4N 3.65

...GEORGIA...THROUGH 8AM EDT

JULIETTE 3.30
CAMILLA 3S 3.16
HELEN 7N 3.09
CLAYTON 10W 3.08
HIAWASSEE 3SSE 3.01
JACKSON 7E 2.95
TIGER 7WSW 2.92

...TENNESSEE...THROUGH 8AM EDT

MEMPHIS NWS OFFICE 3.78
MEMPHIS 3.09
DYERSBURG 2.85
NASHVILLE METRO ARPT 2.34

...ARKANSAS...THROUGH 7AM CDT

BLYTHEVILLE 2.56
JONESBORO 1.97
WEST MEMPHIS 1.78

...KENTUCKY...THROUGH 8AM EDT

BARREN RIVER LAKE 6.15
BOWLING GREEN 3.51
HOPKINSVILLE 3.45
PADUCAH/BARKLEY 2.70


TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE...ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...EASTERN GREAT LAKES...AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...38.0 NORTH...86.0
WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 27 MPH...MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 991 MB OR 29.27 INCHES.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON KATRINA WILL BE ISSUED AT 11 PM EDT BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

TRIMARCO/ROTH
$$
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