Tropical Storm Maria Advisories

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TampaFl
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#121 Postby TampaFl » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:30 am

000
WTNT34 KNHC 100849
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 10 2005

...MARIA FINALLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A
LARGE AND POWERFUL MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE WITH WINDS TO HURRICANE
FORCE...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 43.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.6 WEST OR ABOUT 735
MILES...1185 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
AND ABOUT 720 MILES...1155 KM...NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES
...370 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...43.6 N... 38.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB


$$
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#122 Postby TampaFl » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:30 am

000
WTNT24 KNHC 100849
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142005
0900Z SAT SEP 10 2005

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.6N 38.6W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE 120SE 120SW 75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..500NE 500SE 375SW 350NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.6N 38.6W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.9N 39.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 45.8N 36.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 49.7N 34.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 54.1N 31.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 56.6N 28.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 180SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 62.1N 18.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 65.5N 2.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.6N 38.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB


$$
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#123 Postby TampaFl » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:31 am

000
WTNT44 KNHC 100848
TCDAT4
TROPICAL STORM MARIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MARIA HAS FINALLY EVOLVED INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. AS SUCH...THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON MARIA. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. MARIA MIGHT WEAKEN IN THE
SHORT-TERM PRIOR TO STRONG BAROCLINIC DYNAMICS RE-INTENSIFYING THE
EXTRATROPICAL MARIA INTO A LARGE AND POWERFUL CYCLONE WITH WINDS TO
HURRICANE FORCE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 050/15. MARIA SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE FOR 72 HR...THEN GRADUALLY TURN
EASTWARD AS IT APPROACHES ICELAND. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS
ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE FORECAST WIND
RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON LATEST DYNAMICAL MODELS.

FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 10/0900Z 43.6N 38.6W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 10/1800Z 45.8N 36.6W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 11/0600Z 49.7N 34.1W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 11/1800Z 54.1N 31.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 12/0600Z 56.6N 28.8W 65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 13/0600Z 62.1N 18.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 14/0600Z 65.5N 2.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 15/0600Z...ABSORBED


$$
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Andrew92
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#124 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Sep 10, 2005 11:23 am

Maria, :Door: Ba-bye, don't get hit. See ya in 2011!

-Andrew92
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