Tropical Storm Ophelia

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#1781 Postby yzerfan » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:28 am

WTCN31 CWHX 171346
SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN
ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA
AT 10:46 AM ADT SATURDAY 17 SEPTEMBER 2005.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR:
HALIFAX METRO AND HALIFAX COUNTY WEST
HALIFAX COUNTY - EAST OF PORTERS LAKE
LUNENBURG COUNTY
QUEENS COUNTY
SHELBURNE COUNTY
YARMOUTH COUNTY
DIGBY COUNTY
ANNAPOLIS COUNTY
KINGS COUNTY
HANTS COUNTY
COLCHESTER COUNTY - TRURO AND SOUTH
PICTOU COUNTY
ANTIGONISH COUNTY
GUYSBOROUGH COUNTY
SYDNEY METRO AND CAPE BRETON COUNTY
RICHMOND COUNTY
INVERNESS COUNTY - SOUTH OF MABOU
INVERNESS COUNTY - MABOU AND NORTH
VICTORIA COUNTY
ÎLES-DE-LA-MADELEINE
PRINCE COUNTY P.E.I
QUEENS COUNTY P.E.I
KINGS COUNTY P.E.I.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
==DISCUSSION==
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...WITHIN 24 HOURS.

LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT OPHELIA WILL MOVE OVER CANADIAN WATERS
SOUTHWEST OF NOVA SCOTIA THIS AFTERNOON. THEREAFTER IT WILL CROSS
NOVA SCOTIA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING WHILE UNDERGOING POST-TROPICAL
TRANSITION. POST-TROPICAL OPHELIA IS THEN EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS
CENTRAL NEWFOUNDLAND SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY AND STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST TO ACCOMPANY
OPHELIA...

THE RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE MARITIMES TODAY. HEAVY RAINFALL
WARNINGS OF UP TO 90 MILLIMETRES ARE IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN AND
WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA AS WELL AS SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK.
SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS OF 40 TO 60 MILLIMETRTES ARE FORECAST FOR THE
REMAINDER OF NOVA SCOTIA AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. LOCAL FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE.

WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 100 KM/H ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN OVER THE
WARNING AREAS BY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER GUSTS NEAR THE COAST ARE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING OVER WESTERN NOVA SCOTIA DURING LANDFALL.
ALSO SUETE WINDS OF UP TO 110 KM/H ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT
OVER THE CAPE BRETON HIGHLANDS BEFORE ENDING SUNDAY MORNING AS THE
STORM MOVES TOWARDS NEWFOUNDLAND. GIVEN THE FULL FOLIAGE ON THE
TREES..THESE WINDS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BREAK BRANCHES WHICH COULD
RESULT IN LOCAL POWER OUTAGES.

A STORM SURGE OF 50 OR 60 CENTIMETRES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
COASTLINE NOVA SCOTIA NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH SPRING TIDES SATURDAY
EVENING. THIS BRINGS POTENTIAL FOR LOCALISED COASTAL FLOODING AND
COASTAL DAMAGE PARTICULARLY NEAR CAPE SABLE ISLAND.

THE CURRENT TRACK BRINGS OPHELIA NORTH OF HALIFAX AT THE TIME OF LOW
TIDE SO STORM SURGES SHOULD NOT POSE A PROBLEM THERE.
HOWEVER FURTHER EAST ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE AND ATLANTIC COAST OF
CAPE BRETON THE HIGH TIDE MAY AGAIN PHASE WITH OPHELIA AND BRING A
RISK OF HIGH WATER LEVELS SUNDAY MORNING.

THIS IS AN ALERT THAT TROPICAL STORM WINDS AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
ARE POSSIBLE..LISTEN FOR UPDATED WARNINGS.

NOTE..HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE WOCN31
CWHX BULLETIN. FURTHER INFORMATION CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE
ENVIRONMENT CANADA CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE WEBSITE
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.CA

END/ASPC
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#1782 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 17, 2005 12:53 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 46A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

...OPHELIA BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AS IT APPROACHES NOVA SCOTIA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA
EXCEPT FOR CUMBERLAND AND COLCHESTER COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUMBERLAND AND
COLCHESTER COUNTIES OF NOVA SCOTIA...AND FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST OR ABOUT
95 MILES... 155 KM...EAST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS AND ABOUT
340 MILES... 550 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE
CENTER NEAR OR OVER NOVA SCOTIA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WHILE LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

RAINFALLS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...41.3 N... 68.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#1783 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 17, 2005 3:43 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

...OPHELIA ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA...STILL
LOSING ORGANIZATION...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA
EXCEPT FOR CUMBERLAND AND COLCHESTER COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUMBERLAND AND
COLCHESTER COUNTIES OF NOVA SCOTIA...AND FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST OR ABOUT
210 MILES... 340 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
AND ABOUT 205 MILES... 325 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING
THE CENTER OF OPHELIA NEAR OR OVER NOVA SCOTIA TONIGHT AND NEAR OR
OVER NEWFOUNDLAND ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WHILE LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

RAINFALLS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...42.4 N... 66.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN
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#1784 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Sep 17, 2005 3:45 pm

Where's a Vonage commercial for this stupid storm when you need one? She just needs to go away finally.

-Andrew92
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#1785 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 17, 2005 6:44 pm

172342
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 47A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

...OPHELIA TO ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN NOVA SCOTIA
AS IT CONTINUES TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA
EXCEPT FOR CUMBERLAND AND COLCHESTER COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUMBERLAND AND
COLCHESTER COUNTIES OF NOVA SCOTIA...AND FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST OR ABOUT
145 MILES... 235 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH...42 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING
THE CENTER OF OPHELIA NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
TONIGHT AND NEAR OR OVER NEWFOUNDLAND ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WHILE LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST HOUR...CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA
REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 37 MPH...59 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 43
MPH...69 KM/HR. CANADIAN BUOY 44142 LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES EAST OF
THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 33 MPH... 54
KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 42 MPH...68 KM/HR.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON CANADIAN BUOY REPORTS IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

RAINFALLS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...43.1 N... 65.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


Andrew92 still going. :)
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#1786 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Sep 17, 2005 6:59 pm

For every advisory from here on out, there will be an additional word added to the speech Ophelia will get when she gets the :Door: on the last advisory (don't worry though, I'm not vulgar or foul, just positively creative).

-Andrew92
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#1787 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:51 pm

:woo: :woo: I never thought this was going to happen!

...Ophelia quickly losing tropical characteristics over the cold
water of the North Atlantic...

a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for all of Nova Scotia
except for Cumberland and Colchester counties. A Tropical Storm
Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected in the
warning area in the next 24 hours.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Cumberland and
Colchester counties of Nova Scotia...and for Prince Edward Island.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Storm Ophelia was
located near latitude 43.9 north... longitude 63.8 west or about 50
miles... 80 km... south-southwest of Halifax Nova Scotia and about
555 miles... 890 km...west-southwest of Cape Race Newfoundland.

Ophelia is moving toward the northeast near 29 mph ...46 km/hr...and
this motion is expected to continue with an additional increase in
forward speed during the next 24 hours. This motion should bring
the center of Ophelia near or over the southern coast of Nova
Scotia tonight and near or over Newfoundland on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph... 85 km/hr...with higher
gusts.Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24
hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
...280 km from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb...29.47 inches.

Tides of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels are expected in the
warning area in areas of onshore flow.

Rainfalls of 2 to 4 inches may occur over portions of Nova Scotia.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...43.9 N... 63.8 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 29 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 50 mph. Minimum central pressure... 998 mb.

This is the last public advisory issued by the
National Hurricane Center on this system.


Forecaster Stewart


$$
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#1788 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:54 pm

Ophelia, :Door:

Our theme song for you is "I Will Survive." You've teased us all for too long, you ruffled all of our feathers, and you hit NC. None of that is right. Ophelia, do you now finally see what happens when you drink one too much? Never have a seen a more belligerent hurricane. Now go, walk out the door, just turn around now, because you're not welcome anymore! See you preferably not until at least 2017, but if you must return in 2011, we'll be sure to reluctantly welcome you with icy, cold arms. Good riddance.

-Andrew92
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#1789 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:55 pm

GOOD RIDDANCE!!!
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#1790 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:08 pm

Exit Ophelia, stage right.

Enter Phillippe and (potentially) Rita, stage left.
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#1791 Postby f5 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 1:02 am

Brent wrote:GOOD RIDDANCE!!!


say hello to TD 18 and TS Phillipe
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#1792 Postby Meso » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:16 am

Image

[/img]lol ?
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