Tropical Storm Ophelia

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bucman1
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#81 Postby bucman1 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:40 am

This is ominiously similiar to Katrina in many ways,forming innocently in the Bahamas,alittle north of Katrina.
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DESTRUCTION5
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#82 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:44 am

Climatoligy tells us this track verifies <1% of the time...I see her difting onshore long before JAX...More like IRC or even SLC..IMHO...
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sponger
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#83 Postby sponger » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:49 am

Either way, this will be a huge rain even for Florida!
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#84 Postby shaggy » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:50 am

why would she have to drift onshore Fl it could easily stay offshore florida and make landfall further north in GA or southern SC but the NHC has been good this year so i would prepare for this if i was in northern florida and southern GA.
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DESTRUCTION5
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#85 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:52 am

ncdowneast wrote:why would she have to drift onshore Fl it could easily stay offshore florida and make landfall further north in GA or southern SC but the NHC has been good this year so i would prepare for this if i was in northern florida and southern GA.


Ridge building in..
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cajungal
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#86 Postby cajungal » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:53 am

At least, LA or MS is not in the cone. I would sure hate for anything to come this way. It would be really bad news.
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HurricaneGirl
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#87 Postby HurricaneGirl » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:53 am

sponger wrote:Either way, this will be a huge rain even for Florida!
Holy Crap it's coming right for us! :eek:
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Brent
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#88 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:55 am

My initial feeling is it turns westward and comes in around Daytona Beach, maybe Cape Canaveral as a hurricane... probably a Cat 1, but you never know.
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#89 Postby Anonymous » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:03 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Climatoligy tells us this track verifies <1% of the time...I see her difting onshore long before JAX...More like IRC or even SLC..IMHO...


IRC...SLC.... speak english dude! HAHA
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SouthFloridawx
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#90 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:05 pm

Indiana River County
Saint Lucie County
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sweetpea
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#91 Postby sweetpea » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:06 pm

HurricaneGirl wrote:
sponger wrote:Either way, this will be a huge rain even for Florida!
Holy Crap it's coming right for us! :eek:


Sure looks that way-that 8am Sat point is right over my head. Debbie
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cinlfla
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#92 Postby cinlfla » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:06 pm

IRC...SLC.... speak english dude! HAHA




IRC= Indian River County SLC= Saint Lucie County
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no advance
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#93 Postby no advance » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:07 pm

Joe B just put it on paper. TD16 will mill around to Sat then move into the gulf.
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chicagopizza
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#94 Postby chicagopizza » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:08 pm

All I know is that I have to order food for 20 people by tomorrow and the party looks like it may have an uninvited guest if we are in that NE quadrant. :eek: However, I would prefer that over a turn into the gulf.
Last edited by chicagopizza on Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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cjrciadt
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#95 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:09 pm

no advance wrote:Joe B just put it on paper. TD16 will mill around to Sat then move into the gulf.
How will it get there, jump over FL? No landfall predictions?
Just getting a hurricane local statement on TWC, prepare now etc.
Last edited by cjrciadt on Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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DESTRUCTION5
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#96 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:12 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
no advance wrote:Joe B just put it on paper. TD16 will mill around to Sat then move into the gulf.
How will it get there, jump over FL? No landfall predictions?


Yea No Advance..Give us a little Advance...LOL
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stormernie

Center - redeveloping

#97 Postby stormernie » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:14 pm

In looking at the long range radar loops out of Miami and Melbourne it seems that a new center may or has develop north of Grand Bahama and east of Fort Pierce. Recon planes are on the way there and this should be verify as far as a true center later today.

Regardless it looks stationary and I don't see any real movement for at 24-48 hours.
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SouthFloridawx
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#98 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:15 pm

This is a weaker system lower in the atmosphere and the lower level winds are pushing it.

Image
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SouthFloridawx
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#99 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:18 pm

As this thing grows in strength it will be pushed by the upper level winds. I think the question (blob of uncertainty) is that if and when it gets stronger it will be picked up by the upper level winds.

Is that a correct assumption Prof. Mets.?

[/img]http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm1.GIF[img][/img]
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SouthFloridawx
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#100 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:18 pm

Image
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