Hurricane Philippe,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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WindRunner
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#221 Postby WindRunner » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:30 pm

Dvorak #s have increased:

19/2345 UTC 18.3N 56.7W T4.5/4.5 PHILIPPE
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#222 Postby WindRunner » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:31 pm

00Z models have an upgrade:

WHXX01 KWBC 200028
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

HURRICANE PHILIPPE (AL172005) ON 20050920 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050920 0000 050920 1200 050921 0000 050921 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.1N 56.7W 19.3N 56.8W 20.9N 57.1W 22.6N 57.7W
BAMM 18.1N 56.7W 19.0N 57.8W 20.0N 58.5W 20.9N 59.2W
A98E 18.1N 56.7W 18.9N 57.2W 19.9N 57.3W 21.5N 57.2W
LBAR 18.1N 56.7W 19.2N 57.3W 20.5N 57.9W 21.9N 58.5W
SHIP 70KTS 73KTS 78KTS 82KTS
DSHP 70KTS 73KTS 78KTS 82KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050922 0000 050923 0000 050924 0000 050925 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.1N 58.6W 26.6N 59.6W 30.6N 56.8W 37.6N 47.8W
BAMM 21.9N 59.4W 24.6N 58.4W 29.6N 55.3W 36.4N 47.6W
A98E 23.1N 57.0W 25.4N 56.3W 29.6N 54.9W 35.8N 51.3W
LBAR 23.1N 59.3W 25.2N 61.1W 27.7N 62.1W 29.4N 61.2W
SHIP 85KTS 87KTS 82KTS 72KTS
DSHP 85KTS 87KTS 82KTS 72KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 18.1N LONCUR = 56.7W DIRCUR = 325DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 17.2N LONM12 = 56.2W DIRM12 = 337DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 16.3N LONM24 = 55.9W
WNDCUR = 70KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 985MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 75NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 30NM
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cjrciadt
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#223 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:17 pm

Image
A true Fish
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#224 Postby superfly » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:43 am

20/0645 UTC 18.6N 56.1W T5.0/5.0 PHILIPPE -- Atlantic Ocean
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#225 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:58 am

Wow for a system that has 25 knot shear running through it. It is getting stronger?

:eek:
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#226 Postby jrod » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:29 am

I dont know how it can still be a hurricane. It looks ragged on the satellite and Rita now looks much better organized.
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#227 Postby artist » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:13 pm

bump - last advisory said it could start a more west heading if it continues to weaken - if that happens anyone know how much further west and what the conditions for it reintensiflying would be? could this be bad for our friends in the Caribbean?
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