Hurricane Philippe,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139184
- Age: 67
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
HURRICANE PHILIPPE (AL172005) ON 20050919 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050919 1200 050920 0000 050920 1200 050921 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.2N 56.2W 17.9N 56.5W 19.0N 56.8W 20.5N 57.0W
BAMM 17.2N 56.2W 18.0N 56.9W 19.0N 57.7W 20.4N 58.2W
A98E 17.2N 56.2W 18.3N 56.4W 19.3N 56.3W 20.7N 56.2W
LBAR 17.2N 56.2W 18.4N 56.6W 19.5N 57.1W 20.8N 57.6W
SHIP 65KTS 67KTS 69KTS 74KTS
DSHP 65KTS 67KTS 69KTS 74KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050921 1200 050922 1200 050923 1200 050924 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.2N 57.5W 25.3N 59.1W 28.1N 59.0W 31.3N 57.5W
BAMM 21.7N 58.6W 24.3N 59.2W 27.0N 58.2W 30.2N 55.7W
A98E 22.3N 56.5W 25.0N 56.9W 28.4N 56.9W 32.2N 55.1W
LBAR 21.9N 58.4W 24.2N 59.9W 26.0N 62.0W 27.8N 63.8W
SHIP 79KTS 92KTS 99KTS 95KTS
DSHP 79KTS 92KTS 99KTS 95KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.2N LONCUR = 56.2W DIRCUR = 345DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 16.3N LONM12 = 55.9W DIRM12 = 347DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 14.9N LONM24 = 55.5W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 988MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 70NM RD34SE = 70NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 30NM
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050919 1200 050920 0000 050920 1200 050921 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.2N 56.2W 17.9N 56.5W 19.0N 56.8W 20.5N 57.0W
BAMM 17.2N 56.2W 18.0N 56.9W 19.0N 57.7W 20.4N 58.2W
A98E 17.2N 56.2W 18.3N 56.4W 19.3N 56.3W 20.7N 56.2W
LBAR 17.2N 56.2W 18.4N 56.6W 19.5N 57.1W 20.8N 57.6W
SHIP 65KTS 67KTS 69KTS 74KTS
DSHP 65KTS 67KTS 69KTS 74KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050921 1200 050922 1200 050923 1200 050924 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.2N 57.5W 25.3N 59.1W 28.1N 59.0W 31.3N 57.5W
BAMM 21.7N 58.6W 24.3N 59.2W 27.0N 58.2W 30.2N 55.7W
A98E 22.3N 56.5W 25.0N 56.9W 28.4N 56.9W 32.2N 55.1W
LBAR 21.9N 58.4W 24.2N 59.9W 26.0N 62.0W 27.8N 63.8W
SHIP 79KTS 92KTS 99KTS 95KTS
DSHP 79KTS 92KTS 99KTS 95KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.2N LONCUR = 56.2W DIRCUR = 345DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 16.3N LONM12 = 55.9W DIRM12 = 347DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 14.9N LONM24 = 55.5W
WNDCUR = 65KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 65KT
CENPRS = 988MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 70NM RD34SE = 70NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 30NM
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- Hyperstorm
- Category 5
- Posts: 1500
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
- Location: Ocala, FL
Brief Update:
Satellite imagery this morning suggest that Phillippe is becoming disorganized due to westerly wind flow at the upper levels that is disrupting the cloud pattern. This westerly flow was forecast by the models to lift northward, but that has not been the case.
If this trend continues, Phillippe could be downgraded to a tropical storm later today...
Satellite imagery this morning suggest that Phillippe is becoming disorganized due to westerly wind flow at the upper levels that is disrupting the cloud pattern. This westerly flow was forecast by the models to lift northward, but that has not been the case.
If this trend continues, Phillippe could be downgraded to a tropical storm later today...
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- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
- Posts: 4391
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- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
- Posts: 4391
- Age: 42
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
skufful wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:our friend Bastardi still Insists Phillipe will come west...
Do you have a link for that projection, I just went to accuweather and did not see that.
.) Phillippe: Heh, a model agrees with me, though it's the Canadian. Most ideas are still north with no westward turn. I will stick to my guns, for now.
Here is his free Column today..Canadian has it in the Bahamas in 5 days
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DESTRUCTION5 wrote:skufful wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:our friend Bastardi still Insists Phillipe will come west...
Do you have a link for that projection, I just went to accuweather and did not see that.
.) Phillippe: Heh, a model agrees with me, though it's the Canadian. Most ideas are still north with no westward turn. I will stick to my guns, for now.
Here is his free Column today..Canadian has it in the Bahamas in 5 days
?????
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- DESTRUCTION5
- Category 5
- Posts: 4391
- Age: 42
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
- Location: Stuart, FL
skufful wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:skufful wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:our friend Bastardi still Insists Phillipe will come west...
Do you have a link for that projection, I just went to accuweather and did not see that.
.) Phillippe: Heh, a model agrees with me, though it's the Canadian. Most ideas are still north with no westward turn. I will stick to my guns, for now.
Here is his free Column today..Canadian has it in the Bahamas in 5 days
?????
What? That was his comments word for word this morn...
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DESTRUCTION5 wrote:skufful wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:skufful wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:our friend Bastardi still Insists Phillipe will come west...
Do you have a link for that projection, I just went to accuweather and did not see that.
.) Phillippe: Heh, a model agrees with me, though it's the Canadian. Most ideas are still north with no westward turn. I will stick to my guns, for now.
Here is his free Column today..Canadian has it in the Bahamas in 5 days
?????
What? That was his comments word for word this morn...
I did not know what were your words, and what were his. You said "Here is his......," did you mean "Here IN?"
Last edited by skufful on Mon Sep 19, 2005 1:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Where can we go to look at the canadian model? Could it be possible that P could come West? If he is being sheared and is down graded could that cause a turn to the west? Or is Mr. B running off at the mouth. and trying to worry everyone from the Gulf Coast to the East Coast. Don't get me wrong i sometimes like him , But all the models show a northern path
Thanks Marilyn![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
Thanks Marilyn
![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
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Where can we go to look at the canadian model? Could it be possible that P could come West? If he is being sheared and is down graded could that cause a turn to the west? Or is Mr. B running off at the mouth. and trying to worry everyone from the Gulf Coast to the East Coast. Don't get me wrong i sometimes like him , But all the models show a northern path
Thanks Marilyn![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
Thanks Marilyn
![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
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