Hurricane Rita - Cat. 5

Website · #921 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:31 am

canegrl04 wrote:140kts .What is that? 160mph?

Yep...

canegrl04 · #922 Postby **canegrl04** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:32 am

"Yep"

#923 Postby **alicia-w** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:33 am

Why are they waiting until 4 to issue the next advisory? I thought they were issued every four hours...

btsgmdad · #924 Postby **btsgmdad** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:35 am

Guess is since there are no current watches/warnings for land they go back to the normal 5/11 ET schedule, i.e. every 6 hours.

Website · #925 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:39 am

alicia-w wrote:Why are they waiting until 4 to issue the next advisory? I thought they were issued every four hours...

No watches or warnings. Once a watch is issued for the NW Gulf Coast, then it goes back to every 3 hours.

Stratosphere747 · #926 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:47 am

I'd bet that they may have a special advisory if recon finds that she is a cat5.

#927 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:47 am

Stratosphere747 wrote:I'd bet that they may have a special advisory if recon finds that she is a cat5.

Most Likely.

#928 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:48 am

Stratosphere747 wrote:I'd bet that they may have a special advisory if recon finds that she is a cat5.

A good bet if that happens they will issue it.

Website · #929 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:11 pm

HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

DATA FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT RITA HAS INTENSIFIED
A LITTLE MORE AND WINDS HAVE REACHED 150 MPH WINDS WITH A MINIMUM
PRESSURE OF 920 MB. THIS MAKES RITA A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE.

FORECASTER AVILA

TexasStooge · #930 Postby **TexasStooge** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:25 pm

Not good!!!! :eek:

Solaris · #931 Postby **Solaris** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:28 pm

153 kt flight level + 920 mb is defintely cat 5, why they keep it at 4?

Coredesat · #932 Postby **Coredesat** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:30 pm

Actually, 153 kt flight level is only 140 MPH surface.

Website · #933 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:31 pm

Team Ragnarok wrote:Actually, 153 kt flight level is only 140 MPH surface.

Do it with the 10% reduction and post your answer again... :wink:

Solaris · #934 Postby **Solaris** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:32 pm

no, 153 kt flight is 158 mph surface (153 *0,9*1,15)

temujin · #935 Postby **temujin** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:32 pm

They are using the .85 multiplier for some reason I don't care to look up right now.

Coredesat · #936 Postby **Coredesat** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:33 pm

Okay, then...

"Actually, 153 kt flight level is 158 MPH surface."

There.

Cat 5 at 5 PM, no doubt.

#937 Postby **Windy** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:33 pm

So a 920mb hurricane that appears to be transitioning to annular and is about to hit higher SSTs -- anyone want to guess how low this baby will go? I wouldn't be shocked to see a sub 900 storm at some point, though obviously it'll peak long before it gets to land.

#938 Postby **JtSmarts** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:34 pm

temujin wrote:They are using the .85 multiplier for some reason I don't care to look up right now.

Ok, that does explain why they have it at 130 knts.

Solaris · #939 Postby **Solaris** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:35 pm

i think it will at least try the 902 mb of katrina.

x-y-no · #940 Postby **x-y-no** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:45 pm

This is astounding ...

Last night at 11pm, the central pressure was 965MB, so it has gone down 45mb in 15 hours.

Hurricane Rita - Cat. 5

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