Hurricane Rita - Cat. 5

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#1041 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 24, 2005 12:47 pm

WTNT33 KNHC 241745
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

...RITA MOVING NORTHWARD... EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST...BETWEEN
SHREVEPORT AND LUFKIN TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. BEAUMONT
TEXAS REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR AND FORT POLK
LOUISIANA REPORTED A GUST OF 58 MPH. NEW ORLEANS INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED A PEAK WIND OF 46 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.71 INCHES.

THE COASTAL STORM FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY.
HOWEVER...TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI
COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND RESIDENTS THERE ARE
EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RITA WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST.

RITA'S SLOW MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE VERY HEAVY RAINS
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS. MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES MAY OCCUR
OVER LOCALIZED AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER FAR EASTERN
TEXAS...LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSISSIPPI.

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...31.6 N... 94.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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#1042 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm


TROPICAL STORM RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

...RITA EXPECTED TO BECOME A RAIN MAKER IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR
SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO THE
SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

THE COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
TODAY. HOWEVER... TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6
FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND
RESIDENTS THERE ARE EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS
GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF
THE GULF COAST.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS NORTHWARD
INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY TO THE EAST
OF THE TRACK OF RITA... OVER LOUISIANA... MISSISSIPPI... AND
ARKANSAS.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...32.1 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
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#1043 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:47 pm

TROPICAL STORM RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005

RITA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND. INITIAL INTENSITY
IS ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR BUT WIND GUSTS ARE
PROBABLY HIGHER. FURTHER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND RITA IS
EXPECTED TO BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS. STEERING
CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VERY LIGHT SO ONLY A SMALL EASTWARD
DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED BEYOND 24 HOURS. RITA SHOULD PRODUCE
TORRENTIAL RAIN ALONG ITS PATH.

BECAUSE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND ABOUT 150 N MI SOUTH OF
THE CENTER...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
COAST FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 24/2100Z 32.1N 94.0W 45 KT
12HR VT 25/0600Z 33.5N 93.8W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 25/1800Z 35.0N 93.0W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 26/0600Z 35.0N 91.5W 25 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 26/1800Z 35.0N 90.0W 20 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 27/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 28/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 29/1800Z 34.5N 89.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
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#1044 Postby djtil » Sat Sep 24, 2005 4:23 pm

leave it to avila to forecast weakening to a tropical depression. why i outta..

in all seriousness, avila did a fantastic job on his last couple discussions....nailing intensity trends and possibilities. he is...imo...the best nhc forecaster as he doesnt get sucked into the cheerleading or fear of talking about reality instead of just maintaining previous intensities.....i know all this makes him the villain here....but i find it refreshing.
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#1045 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 24, 2005 7:00 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

...RITA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AS IT GRADUALLY WEAKENS...

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA IS DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR VERY NEAR
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 11 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 40 MPH...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO ABOUT 60 MILES FROM
THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

THE COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
TONIGHT. HOWEVER... TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6
FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND
RESIDENTS THERE ARE EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS
GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF
THE GULF COAST.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS NORTHWARD
INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ISOLATED
MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY TO THE EAST
OF THE TRACK OF RITA... OVER LOUISIANA... MISSISSIPPI... AND
ARKANSAS.

REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...32.5 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB
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#1046 Postby wx247 » Sat Sep 24, 2005 9:43 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2005

...RITA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT REMAINS A HEAVY RAIN PRODUCER...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST...
OR ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH OF SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

THE COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER... TIDES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND MISSISSIPPI COASTS IN AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA COULD BE 4 TO 6
FEET ABOVE NORMAL AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES... AND
RESIDENTS THERE ARE EXPERIENCING COASTAL FLOODING. LARGE SWELLS
GENERATED BY RITA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT MOST PORTIONS OF
THE GULF COAST.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH RITA ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY TO THE EAST
OF THE TRACK OF RITA... OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA... NORTHERN AND
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI... ARKANSAS... AND WESTERN TENNESSEE.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...33.0 N... 93.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON RITA. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 4 AM CDT SUNDAY.


FORECASTER KNABB
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#1047 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 24, 2005 9:47 pm

Good riddance Rita...
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#1048 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Sep 24, 2005 9:53 pm

Brent wrote:Good riddance Rita...


Yeh, have an...unhappy retirement. :lol:
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Wake me up when November ends

krysof

#1049 Postby krysof » Sat Sep 24, 2005 9:57 pm

and don't even think about coming back, though we will still remember you by your rains
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#1050 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 25, 2005 5:47 am

TCPAT3


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 31 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA MOVING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
CONTINUING THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD THREAT...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...AND TENNESSEE.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...TENNESSEE...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...TEXAS...ALABAMA..
.AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

AT 4 AM CDT...09Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 991 MB...OR 29.26 INCHES.


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 1 AM CDT

...LOUISIANA...

LAPLACE 12.4
BUNKIE 10.0
BATON ROUGE 9.4
JENNINGS 9.4
PORT VINCENT 8.1
MILLERVILLE 8.1
INNISWOLD 7.3
FORT POLK 6.7
BOSSIER CITY 6.3
NEW ORLEANS NORL1 6.3
SHREVEPORT 5.5

...TEXAS...

BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 8.6
CENTER 8.5 THROUGH 130 PM 9/24
EVADALE 6.3
CLEVELAND 3.8
LONGVIEW 3.3
LIVINGSTON 2.3

...ARKANSAS...

STUTTGART 5.2
MOUNT IDA 4.4
HOT SPRINGS 4.1
TEXARKANA 3.9
PINE BLUFF 2.9
EL DORADO 2.8
LITTLE ROCK 2.6
MONTICELLO 2.6
DEQUEEN 2.5

...ALABAMA...

EVERGREEN 3.2

...FLORIDA...

MIAMI 3.1
MARATHON AIRPORT 1.9
KEY WEST INTL AIRPORT 1.4


TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE LOWER OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI
VALLEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...34.2 NORTH...92.8 WEST...
MOVEMENT TOWARD... NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 AM CDT/11 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

TRIMARCO/PETERSEN
$$


Now HPC issues the advisories until it dissipates.
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#1051 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 25, 2005 10:15 am

251500
TCPAT3


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 32 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
10 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA MOVING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
CONTINUING THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD THREAT...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...
ARKANSAS...TENNESSEE AND THE MISSOURI BOOT HEEL.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...TENNESSEE...MISSISSIPPI...
LOUISIANA...ALABAMA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI.

AT 10 AM CDT...15Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST...OR 40 MILES
NORTHEAST OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH CONTINUED
SLOW WEAKENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 997 MB...OR 29.44 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT

...LOUISIANA...

LAPLACE 12.4
BUNKIE 10.0
BATON ROUGE 9.4
JENNINGS 9.4
LAFAYETTE 8.6
PORT VINCENT 8.1
MILLERVILLE 8.1
INNISWOLD 7.3
FORT POLK 6.7
BOSSIER CITY 6.3
NEW ORLEANS NORL1 6.3
EUNICE 6.1
SHREVEPORT 5.5

...TEXAS...

BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 8.6
CENTER 8.5 THROUGH 130 PM 9/24
EVADALE 6.3
CLEVELAND 3.8
LONGVIEW 3.3
LIVINGSTON 2.3

...ARKANSAS...

STUTTGART 5.7
MOUNT IDA 4.9
HOT SPRINGS 4.7
TEXARKANA 4.0
PINE BLUFF 3.4
EL DORADO 3.2
LITTLE ROCK 3.0
MONTICELLO 2.6
DEQUEEN 2.5

...MISSISSIPPI...

GREENVILLE 6.6
JACKSON 1.1

...ALABAMA...

EVERGREEN 3.5

...FLORIDA...

MIAMI 3.1
MARATHON AIRPORT 1.9
KEY WEST INTL AIRPORT 1.4


MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER OHIO
AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...35.2 NORTH...91.6 WEST...
MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT
20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 4 PM CDT/5 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

BANN/SULLIVAN


Moving rapidly NE.Predictions about stalling and between 15-25 inches did not come thru and that is great news.
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#1052 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 25, 2005 4:08 pm


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 33 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA MOVING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD THREAT REMAIN...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...
...TENNESSEE AND ALABAMA.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSOURI...TENNESSEE...MISSISSIPPI... LOUISIANA...ALABAMA...AND
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

A RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NECHES...
ANGELINA...BIG BLACK...CALCASIEU... AND MERMENTAU RIVERS.

AT 4 PM CDT...21Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST...OR 55 MILES
NORTHEAST OF BATESVILLE ARKANSAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD. RITA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS SHE CONTINUES HER JOURNEY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 999 MB...OR 29.50 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 2 PM CDT



...LOUISIANA...

LAPLACE 12.4 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
BUNKIE 10.0 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
BATON ROUGE 9.4 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
JENNINGS 9.4 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
LAFAYETTE 8.6 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
PORT VINCENT 8.1 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
MILLERVILLE 8.1 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
INNISWOLD 7.3 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
FORT POLK 6.7 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
BOSSIER CITY 6.3 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
NEW ORLEANS NORL1 6.3 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
EUNICE 6.1 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
SHREVEPORT 5.5 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25

...TEXAS...

BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 8.6 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
EVADALE 6.3 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
CLEVELAND 3.8 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
LONGVIEW 3.3 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
LIVINGSTON 2.3 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25

...ARKANSAS...

STUTTGART 5.7 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
MOUNT IDA 4.9 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
HOT SPRINGS 4.7 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
TEXARKANA 4.0 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
BATESVILLE 3.4
EL DORADO 3.2 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
LITTLE ROCK 3.0 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
MONTICELLO 2.6 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
DEQUEEN 2.5 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
JONESBORO 1.2

...MISSISSIPPI...

GREENVILLE 6.6 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25
GREENWOOD 2.6
TUPELO 1.9
JACKSON 1.1 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25

...ALABAMA...

EVERGREEN 3.5 THROUGH 7 AM SEPT 25


MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER OHIO
AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...36.4 NORTH...91.6 WEST...
MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AT 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...999 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

SZATANEK/BANN
$$
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#1053 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 25, 2005 10:01 pm


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 34 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
10 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA PUSHING TOWARDS THE OHIO
VALLEY...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOOD THREAT REMAIN...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI... AND
ALABAMA.

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

AT 10 PM CDT...03Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST...OR 55 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST. LOUIS MISSOURI.

THE DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE ENSUING 24 HR
PERIOD. RITA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS SHE CONTINUES HER JOURNEY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1004 MB...OR 29.65 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT



...LOUISIANA...

BUNKIE 16.00
LAPLACE 12.45
LOGANSPORT 9.81
PORT VINCENT 9.71
JENNINGS 9.39
BATON ROUGE 9.30
MILLERVILLE 9.12
LAFAYETTE 8.44
INNISWOLD 8.31
PRAIRIEVILLE 7.94
FORT POLK 7.39
NEW ORLEANS 6.32
SHREVEPORT 5.53

...TEXAS...

CENTER 10.48
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 8.89
KARNACK 6.32
EVADALE 6.27
LONGVIEW 5.60
HARLETON 4.50
MARSHALL 4.28
JEFFERSON 4.22
LINDEN 3.70
DE KALB 3.00

...ARKANSAS...

BOUGHTON 5.88
STAR CITY 5.60
HOT SPRINGS 5.58
ARKANSAS CITY 5.36
LEOLA 5.25
DEMASCUS 5.10
LEWISVILLE 5.08
SPARKMAN 4.91
BENTON 4.88
MOUNT IDA 4.87
CAMDEN 4.75
TEXARKANA 4.03
LITTLE ROCK 3.46

...MISSISSIPPI...

GREENVILLE 8.37
NATCHEZ 7.80
PORT GIBSON 5.62
HOLLANDALE 5.45
LELAND 5.25
WAYSIDE 4.74
VICKSBURG 4.39
JACKSON 2.01

...ALABAMA...

ATMORE 4.30
CAMDEN 4.28
EVERGREEN 3.72
ALBERTA 3.51
BREWTON 3.15
SILVERHILL 3.14
WALLACE 2.90
THEODORE 2.59
UNIONTOWN 2.56
COFFEEVILLE 2.37
CLAIBORNE 2.13

...MISSOURI...

MYRTLE 2.15
WEST PLAINS 1.83
POPLAR BLUFF 1.68
WINONA 1.64
CAPE GIRARDEAU 1.24

...KENTUCKY...

PADUCAH 1.40

...INDIANA...

TERRE HAUTE 1.23
BLOOMINGTON 1.11
EAGLE CREEK ARPT 1.06
EVANSVILLE 0.95

...ILLINOIS...

HILDAGO 1.77
DECATUR 1.54
WINDSOR 1.42
URBANA 1.32
PALESTINE 1.14
CARBONDALE 1.13


MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE LOCALLY FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE
OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...38.5 NORTH...89.5 WEST...
MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AT 20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 AM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

TRIMARCO
$$


She is now in the Ohio Valley racing NNE very distint from the stall earlier forecasts had over east Texas,Louisiana and Arkansas.
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#1054 Postby Coredesat » Sun Sep 25, 2005 10:07 pm

HPC forecast maps are calling for Rita to be absorbed by a front within 24 hours or so.
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#1055 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:01 am


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 35 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2005

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA WEAKENING...

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

AT 4 AM CDT...09Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST...OR 80
MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. RITA WILL WEAKEN AND
BECOME ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL WAVE LATER THIS MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1006 MB...OR 29.71 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 2 AM CDT



...LOUISIANA...

BUNKIE 16.00
LAPLACE 12.45
LOGANSPORT 9.81
PORT VINCENT 9.71
JENNINGS 9.39
BATON ROUGE 9.30
MILLERVILLE 9.12
LAFAYETTE 8.44
INNISWOLD 8.31
PRAIRIEVILLE 7.94
FORT POLK 7.39
NEW ORLEANS 6.32
SHREVEPORT 5.53

...TEXAS...

CENTER 10.48
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 8.89
KARNACK 6.32
EVADALE 6.27
LONGVIEW 5.60
HARLETON 4.50
MARSHALL 4.28
JEFFERSON 4.22
LINDEN 3.70
DE KALB 3.00

...ARKANSAS...

BOUGHTON 5.88
STAR CITY 5.60
HOT SPRINGS 5.58
ARKANSAS CITY 5.36
LEOLA 5.25
DEMASCUS 5.10
LEWISVILLE 5.08
SPARKMAN 4.91
BENTON 4.88
MOUNT IDA 4.87
CAMDEN 4.75
TEXARKANA 4.03
LITTLE ROCK 3.46

...MISSISSIPPI...

GREENVILLE 8.37
NATCHEZ 7.80
PORT GIBSON 5.62
HOLLANDALE 5.45
LELAND 5.25
WAYSIDE 4.74
VICKSBURG 4.39
JACKSON 2.01

...ALABAMA...

ATMORE 4.30
CAMDEN 4.28
EVERGREEN 3.72
ALBERTA 3.51
BREWTON 3.15
SILVERHILL 3.14
WALLACE 2.90
THEODORE 2.59
UNIONTOWN 2.56
COFFEEVILLE 2.37
CLAIBORNE 2.13

...MISSOURI...

MYRTLE 2.15
WEST PLAINS 1.83
POPLAR BLUFF 1.68
WINONA 1.64
CAPE GIRARDEAU 1.24

...KENTUCKY...

PADUCAH 1.40

...INDIANA...

EAGLE CREEK ARPT 2.26
TERRE HAUTE 1.65
LAFAYETTE 1.47
BLOOMINGTON 1.45
EVANSVILLE 1.05

...ILLINOIS...

SCOTT AFB 2.16
HILDAGO 1.77
CHAMPAIGN/URBANA 1.60
DECATUR 1.54
WINDSOR 1.42
PALESTINE 1.14
CARBONDALE 1.13


MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION RITA ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY
AND THE SOUTHEAST.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...40.8 NORTH...86.8 WEST...
MOVEMENT TOWARD NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS AT 15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON RITA TO BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

TRIMARCO
$$


Last advisorie by HPC.Good riddance.
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#1056 Postby P.K. » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:36 am

cycloneye wrote:THE DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. RITA WILL WEAKEN AND
BECOME ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL WAVE LATER THIS MORNING.


Ah good, thought that was going to happen. :D
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#1057 Postby Andrew92 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:35 am

Rita, :Can: Good riddance, and please never bother us ever again. May your replacement never even get used, given how far down she is.

-Andrew92
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