Tammy Advisories

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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 05, 2005 6:39 pm

Tropical Storm Tammy Intermediate Advisory Number 3a


Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on October 05, 2005



...Center of Tammy moved inland...strong winds still offshore...
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the Tropical Storm Warning south of Fernandina
Beach has been discontinued. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in
effect from Fernandina Beach northward to South Santee River South
Carolina. Please consult products issued by local National Weather
Service forecast offices concerning possible gale warnings outside
of the Tropical Storm Warning area.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

Doppler radar and surface observations indicate that the center of
Tammy moved inland near Mayport Florida within the past hour. At 8
PM EDT...0000z...the center was estimated near latitude 30.5 north
...Longitude 81.6 west...very near Jacksonville Florida.

Tammy is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph and this general
motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On the
forecast track...the center of Tammy should continue to move father
inland over extreme and southeastern Georgia.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. These
winds are confined to an area to the north and northeast of the
center and mainly over water. A gradual weakening should begin
tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 260 miles to the
north and east of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.

Tammy is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rainfall over portions
of southeastern Georgia...eastern South Carolina...and southeastern
North Carolina...with isolated maximum amounts of 8 to 10 inches.

Isolated tornadoes are possible this afternoon and tonight over
northeastern Florida...southeastern Georgia...and eastern South
Carolina.

Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...30.5 N... 81.6 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 50 mph. Minimum central pressure...1001 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
11 PM EDT.

Forecaster Avila

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#22 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:13 pm

Here is the 8PM Advisory from the National Hurricane Center in Spanish, for our Spanish-speaking friends out there who might want to find out on things going on...

000
WTCA41 TJSJ 060004
TCPSP1

BOLETIN
TORMENTA TROPICAL TAMMY ADVERTENCIA ESPECIAL NUMERO 3A
NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT MIERCOLES 5 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005

...EL CENTRO DE TAMMY MOVIENDOSE TIERRA ADENTRO...FUERTES VIENTOS
AUN FUERA DE LA COSTA...

A LAS 8 PM EDT...0000Z...EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AL SUR DE
FERNANDINA BEACH HA SIDO DESCONTINUADO. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE
TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE FERNANDINA BEACH HACIA EL NORTE HASTA EL SUR DE
SANTEE RIVER EN CAROLINA DEL SUR. FAVOR DE CONSULTAR LOS PRODUCTOS
EMITIDOS POR LAS OFICINAS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA LOCALES
SOBRE POSIBLES AVISOS DE GALERNAS A LAS AFUERAS DEL AREA DE LA
TORMENTA TROPICAL.

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A
LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL.

EL RADAR DOPPLER Y LAS OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN QUE EL
CENTRO DE TAMMY SE MOVIO TIERRA ADENTRO CERCA DE MAYPORT FLORIDA
DURANTE LA PASADA HOR. A LAS 6 PM EDT...0000Z...SE ESTIMABA QUE
EL CENTRO ESTABA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 30.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 81.6
OESTE...MUY CERCA DE JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.

TAMMY SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH Y SE ESPERA
QUE CONTINUE ESTA TRAYECTORIA GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS.
EN SU TRAYECTORIA PRONOSTICADA...EL CENTRO DE TAMMY DEBE CONTINUAR
MOVIENDOSE MAS HACIA TIERRA SOBRE EL EXTREMO Y EL SURESTE DE
GEORGIA.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 50 MPH CON RAFAGAS MAS
FUERTES. ESTOS VIENTOS ESTAN LIMITADOS A UN AREA AL NORTE Y NORESTE DEL
CENTRO Y MAYORMENTE SOBRE EL MAR. ESTA NOCHE DEBERA COMENZAR UN
DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL.

LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA
AFUERA HASTA 260 MILLAS...AL NORTE Y ESTE DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL SE ESTIMA EN 1002 MILIBARAS...29.59
PULGADAS.

SE ESPERA QUE TAMMY PRODUZCA DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA SOBRE
PARTES DEL SURESTE DE GEORGIA...EL ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL SUR...Y EL
SURESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE....CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS
AISLADAS DE 8 A 10 PULGADAS.

SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS ESTA TARDE Y ESTA NOCHE SOBRE EL
NORESTE DE LA FLORIDA...EL SURESTE DEL GEORGIA...Y EL SUR ESTE DE
CAROLINA.

REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 9 PM EDT...30.5 NORTE... 81.6 OESTE.
MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 14 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS
SOSTENIDOS... 50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1001 MB.

LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE
HURACANES A LAS 11 PM EDT.

PRONOSTICADOR AVILA
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#23 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:32 pm

TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212005
0300Z THU OCT 06 2005

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FERNANDINA BEACH
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY THURSDAY.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES CONCERNING POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS OUTSIDE OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 100SE 0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 82.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 81.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 32.0N 83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 33.0N 85.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 82.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

FORECASTER AVILA
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#24 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:32 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2005

...TAMMY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FERNANDINA BEACH
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY THURSDAY.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES CONCERNING POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS OUTSIDE OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
TAMMY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST
OR ABOUT 40 MILES...NORTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.

TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO AN AREA TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND MAINLY OVER WATER. WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES TO THE
NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...30.8 N... 82.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA
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#25 Postby Brent » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:32 pm

TROPICAL STORM TAMMY DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED OCT 05 2005

RADAR DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF
TAMMY MOVED INLAND NEAR MAYPORT FLORIDA ABOUT 23Z AND SINCE
THEN...THE
CENTER HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 35 KNOTS AND THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE NORTH
AND EAST OF THE CENTER MAINLY OVER WATER.

TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE CYCLONE SHOULD DEGENERATE
INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN ABOUT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

FORECASTER AVILA


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/0300Z 30.8N 82.1W 35 KT
12HR VT 06/1200Z 32.0N 83.5W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 07/0000Z 33.0N 85.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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#26 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:37 pm

Ok Brent I will take the sticky off as it made landfall but the advisories will be posted anyway until they issue the last one.
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#27 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 06, 2005 12:57 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005

...CENTER OF TAMMY CONTINUES MOVING INLAND BUT RAINBANDS STILL
COMING ONSHORE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FERNANDINA BEACH
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS
MORNING. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES CONCERNING POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS OUTSIDE
OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST OR NEAR
WAYCROSS GEORGIA.

TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE NEAR 40 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS
ARE CONFINED TO AN AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER... MAINLY OVER
WATER BUT ALSO NEAR THE COASTLINE IN THE WARNING AREA. WEAKENING
IS FORECAST... AND TAMMY WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 82.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER KNABB
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#28 Postby bvigal » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:28 am

000
WTNT31 KNHC 060840
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TAMMY ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005

...TAMMY STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN RAINBANDS
CROSSING PORTIONS OF THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICES CONCERNING POSSIBLE GALE WARNINGS OUTSIDE OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS INLAND OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA ABOUT 130 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA. HOWEVER... MOST OF THE
STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH TAMMY ARE WELL TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER AND ARE STILL AFFECTING THE
COASTLINE IN THE WARNING AREA.

THE CENTER OF TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...
AND THIS MOTION GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...
WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE CIRCULATION OF TAMMY
IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE
WINDS ARE CONFINED TO AN AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER... MAINLY
OVER WATER BUT ALSO NEAR THE COASTLINE IN THE WARNING AREA.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER CONTINUES MOVING INLAND... AND
TAMMY WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES TO THE
NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA... EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA... AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8
TO 10 INCHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER KNABB


$$
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#29 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 06, 2005 9:32 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005

...TAMMY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA NEAR OZARK.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH. A CONTINUED
WESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY
UNTIL THE DEPRESSION DISSIPATES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... OVER
WATER MAINLY OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO SLOWLY DIMINISH TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

TAMMY AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER EASTERN GEORGIA...SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND NORTH CAROLINA. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...31.7 N... 85.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN



Last advisorie by NHC.
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#30 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 06, 2005 9:34 am

Bye Tammy, you lasted more than I expected. See you in the list of 2011! :lol:
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#31 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 06, 2005 9:35 am

WOW... it's much farther west than expected.

We got quite a bit of rain and wind overnight. The power surged at least once.
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#32 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 06, 2005 9:35 am

344
WTNT41 KNHC 061426
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005

SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE COAST HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM
FORCE...AND THE COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. ANY REMAINING
GALE FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE LITTLE OR NO CONNECTION TO TAMMY'S
CIRCULATION...AND TAMMY IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING
ELONGATED ALONG A WSW-ENE AXIS...AND DISSIPATION IS ANTICIPATED
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AT A
SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED UNTIL THAT OCCURS. A PORTION OF
THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY COULD TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AND ENTER
THE GULF OF MEXICO...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
UNFAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION.

FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TAMMY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/1500Z 31.7N 85.5W 30 KT
12HR VT 07/0000Z 31.5N 87.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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#33 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 06, 2005 9:47 am

Bye Bye Tammy! Thanks for making it to a TS, and thanks for not causing too much damage.
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#34 Postby Radar » Thu Oct 06, 2005 2:04 pm

What a relief Tammy wasnt worse... I'm happy for that region of our country that they didnt get hit any harder.... Whew!!!
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#35 Postby Coredesat » Thu Oct 06, 2005 2:09 pm

The NHC wrote:FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TAMMY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM.


Did the HPC become automated all of a sudden? :lol:
Last edited by Coredesat on Thu Oct 06, 2005 5:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#36 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 06, 2005 2:12 pm

Team Ragnarok wrote:
cycloneye wrote:FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TAMMY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM.


Did the HPC become automated all of a sudden? :lol:


Hey TR to clarify I didn't typed that as it looks like they did. :)
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#37 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:00 pm


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 7 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
5 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2005

...THE REMNANTS OF TAMMY MOVING SOUTH TOWARDS THE GULF OF
MEXICO...

ALL FLOOD WATCHES ALONG THE PATH OF TAMMY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 5 PM EDT...21Z...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF TAMMY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR ABOUT
75 MILES WEST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA.

THE REMNANTS OF TAMMY HAVE CONTINUED TO PUSH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY AND ARE NOW MOVING TO THE SOUTH AT ABOUT
20 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.65 INCHES OR 1004 MB.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 8AM EDT

LOCATION STORM TOTAL
======== ===========

...GEORGIA...

STERLING 7.40
DARIEN 7.15
JESUP 6.36
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM 6.18
HUNTER 5.98
SAVANNAH 5.57
EDEN 5.54
PORT WENTWORTH 5.29
KITE 5.11
WOODBINE 5.02

...FLORIDA...

MAYPORT 3.47
SAINT AUGUSTINE 3.33
FERNANDINA BEACH 3.31
DAYTONA BEACH 2.12
JACKSONVILLE 1.98
SANFORD/ORLANDO 1.94

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

HARDEEVILLE 4.96
JAMESTOWN 4.58
BEAUFORT 2.50

...NORTH CAROLINA...

CURRIE 2.50
SHALLOTTE 2.31
ELIZABETHTOWN 2.27

...ALABAMA...

AUBURN 1.54


SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST
REGION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANTS OF TAMMY. HEAVIER RAINS
ARE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES... BUT THESE
RAINS ARE NOT ASSOCIATED WITH TAMMY... BUT ARE THE RESULT OF DEEP
MOISTURE COMING INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.2 NORTH...85.6 WEST...
MOVEMENT TO THE SOUTH AT 20 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15
MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 29.65 INCHES OR
1004 MB.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF TAMMY ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

TRIMARCO/TERRY



HPC only issued one advisorie and was this 5 PM one.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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#38 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:07 pm

Thats interesting its moving southward into the Gulf.
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#39 Postby Brent » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:07 pm

Bizarre. Did not go North and then NE like forecasted.
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#40 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Oct 06, 2005 4:08 pm

So now that it's moving south, any chance it'll come back for round 2? Tammy has been an odd little storm, that's for sure lol
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