Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5
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HurricaneGirl
- Category 5
- Posts: 5839
- Age: 59
- Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:45 am
- Location: Clare, Michigan
- Contact:
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Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37098
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
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HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
1500Z MON OCT 24 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY... ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS
AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 80.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
EYE DIAMETER 55 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 85SE 75SW 50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 225SE 200SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 300SE 200SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 80.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 81.0W
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.3N 75.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 30NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 200SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 36.1N 68.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 85SE 40SW 20NW.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 225SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 42.1N 61.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 44.9N 55.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 46.5N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 47.5N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 49.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 80.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
FORECASTER KNABB
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
1500Z MON OCT 24 2005
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY... ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS
AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 80.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
EYE DIAMETER 55 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 85SE 75SW 50NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE 100SW 90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 225SE 200SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 300SE 200SW 325NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 80.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 81.0W
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.3N 75.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 30NW.
50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 200SW 175NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 36.1N 68.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 85SE 40SW 20NW.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 225SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 42.1N 61.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 44.9N 55.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 46.5N 44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 47.5N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 49.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 80.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
FORECASTER KNABB
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#neversummer
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Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37098
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
...LARGE EYE OF WILMA OVER PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ON BACK SIDE OF EYE MOVING INTO
METROPOLITAN AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...
...REMAIN INDOORS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY... ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS
AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES... 25 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE LARGE EYE WILL EMERGE OFF THE EAST COAST
OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER
TODAY. HOWEVER...WILMA IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND THE STRONGEST
WINDS IN THE EYEWALL EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. PERSONS ARE
URGED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE
BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. WIND SPEEDS ABOUT ONE CATEGORY STRONGER COULD BE
EXPERIENCED IN HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. SOME CONTINUED GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA EMERGES OFF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 260 MILES...415 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE SHOULD BE DECREASING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA
COAST...THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.
STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN UPPER FLORIDA BAY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. AS WILMA EXITS
FLORIDA...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS STILL POSSIBLE
ALONG THE PALM BEACH...MARTIN...AND ST. LUCIE SHORELINES TO THE
NORTH OF THE STORM TRACK. STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 8 FEET IS STILL
POSSIBLE IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WESTERN CUBA MAY RECEIVE
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER LOCALIZED AREAS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...26.9 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
...LARGE EYE OF WILMA OVER PALM BEACH AND MARTIN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ON BACK SIDE OF EYE MOVING INTO
METROPOLITAN AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...
...REMAIN INDOORS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY... ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS
AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES... 25 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE LARGE EYE WILL EMERGE OFF THE EAST COAST
OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER
TODAY. HOWEVER...WILMA IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND THE STRONGEST
WINDS IN THE EYEWALL EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. PERSONS ARE
URGED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE
BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. WIND SPEEDS ABOUT ONE CATEGORY STRONGER COULD BE
EXPERIENCED IN HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. SOME CONTINUED GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA EMERGES OFF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 260 MILES...415 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE SHOULD BE DECREASING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA
COAST...THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST FLORIDA.
STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN UPPER FLORIDA BAY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. AS WILMA EXITS
FLORIDA...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS STILL POSSIBLE
ALONG THE PALM BEACH...MARTIN...AND ST. LUCIE SHORELINES TO THE
NORTH OF THE STORM TRACK. STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 8 FEET IS STILL
POSSIBLE IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WESTERN CUBA MAY RECEIVE
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER LOCALIZED AREAS.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...26.9 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
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#neversummer
-
Weatherboy1
- Category 5
- Posts: 1167
- Age: 48
- Joined: Mon Jul 05, 2004 1:50 pm
- Location: Jupiter, FL
update from Jupiter....
I posted in another thread, but just as a heads up:
Just wanted to report in from Jupiter, where we're in the eye right now (10:45 a.m. or so). First half of the storm was pretty intense, especially the NE eyewall. TV was showing gusts in the 100 mph range with sustained winds in the 80s and 90s. I don't have measuring equipment, but that sounds right to me judging from sounds and the few times I stepped out to see what things looked like. ONly damage is one palm tree blown over, and two smaller bushes. Another tree leaning, but barrel tile roof seems intact.
We've been lucky with regards to power. Didn't lose it until 9 or so, and then only for about 20 minutes. Been flickering on and off since then, but never staying off more than a few minutes. Lost cable TV but remarkably, my cable internet connection is still working (hence, this post) as is the power. I'm guessing we'll start catching the backside of the eye in about 30 minutes, with things calming down by early afternoon.
Hope everyone is doing well.
Just wanted to report in from Jupiter, where we're in the eye right now (10:45 a.m. or so). First half of the storm was pretty intense, especially the NE eyewall. TV was showing gusts in the 100 mph range with sustained winds in the 80s and 90s. I don't have measuring equipment, but that sounds right to me judging from sounds and the few times I stepped out to see what things looked like. ONly damage is one palm tree blown over, and two smaller bushes. Another tree leaning, but barrel tile roof seems intact.
We've been lucky with regards to power. Didn't lose it until 9 or so, and then only for about 20 minutes. Been flickering on and off since then, but never staying off more than a few minutes. Lost cable TV but remarkably, my cable internet connection is still working (hence, this post) as is the power. I'm guessing we'll start catching the backside of the eye in about 30 minutes, with things calming down by early afternoon.
Hope everyone is doing well.
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Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37098
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
THE GEOMETRIC CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF WILMA IS NOW MOVING OFF THE
COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA NEAR PALM BEACH. HOWEVER...THE EYE
REMAINS QUITE LARGE AND COMPLETELY INTACT... EVEN ON THE WEST OR
BACK SIDE THAT IS STILL OVER THE PENINSULA. SOME INLAND AREAS HAVE
BEEN EXPERIENCING A RELATIVE CALM PERIOD... BUT ONE THAT IS FAIRLY
SHORT-LIVED DUE TO THE FAST NORTHEASTWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 22 KT.
WINDS IN THE WESTERN EYEWALL REMAIN JUST ABOUT AS STRONG AS ON THE
EAST SIDE. NWS MIAMI WSR-88D RADAR VELOCITIES STILL INDICATE WINDS
NEAR 120 KT AT ABOUT 5000 FT OVER LAND. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE
PROBABLY STILL OCCURRING OVER WATER... AND THE INTENSITY IS LOWERED
ONLY SLIGHTLY TO 90 KT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THROUGHOUT FLORIDA
INDICATE THE SYSTEM REMAINS LARGE... AND NONE OF THE WARNINGS FOR
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA CAN YET BE DISCONTINUED. ONLY A GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WILMA SHOULD
TRANSFORM INTO A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN A DAY OR TWO
AS IT INTERACTS WITH AN INTENSE BAROCLINIC TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE ESSENTIALLY
JUST UPDATES OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... EXCEPT TO SPEED UP THE
FORECAST SLIGHTLY TO KEEP UP WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.
FORECASTER KNABB
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 24/1500Z 26.9N 80.0W 90 KT
12HR VT 25/0000Z 30.3N 75.8W 85 KT
24HR VT 25/1200Z 36.1N 68.9W 70 KT
36HR VT 26/0000Z 42.1N 61.6W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 26/1200Z 44.9N 55.7W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 27/1200Z 46.5N 44.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 28/1200Z 47.5N 36.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 29/1200Z 49.0N 25.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
THE GEOMETRIC CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF WILMA IS NOW MOVING OFF THE
COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA NEAR PALM BEACH. HOWEVER...THE EYE
REMAINS QUITE LARGE AND COMPLETELY INTACT... EVEN ON THE WEST OR
BACK SIDE THAT IS STILL OVER THE PENINSULA. SOME INLAND AREAS HAVE
BEEN EXPERIENCING A RELATIVE CALM PERIOD... BUT ONE THAT IS FAIRLY
SHORT-LIVED DUE TO THE FAST NORTHEASTWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 22 KT.
WINDS IN THE WESTERN EYEWALL REMAIN JUST ABOUT AS STRONG AS ON THE
EAST SIDE. NWS MIAMI WSR-88D RADAR VELOCITIES STILL INDICATE WINDS
NEAR 120 KT AT ABOUT 5000 FT OVER LAND. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE
PROBABLY STILL OCCURRING OVER WATER... AND THE INTENSITY IS LOWERED
ONLY SLIGHTLY TO 90 KT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THROUGHOUT FLORIDA
INDICATE THE SYSTEM REMAINS LARGE... AND NONE OF THE WARNINGS FOR
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA CAN YET BE DISCONTINUED. ONLY A GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WILMA SHOULD
TRANSFORM INTO A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN A DAY OR TWO
AS IT INTERACTS WITH AN INTENSE BAROCLINIC TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE ESSENTIALLY
JUST UPDATES OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... EXCEPT TO SPEED UP THE
FORECAST SLIGHTLY TO KEEP UP WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.
FORECASTER KNABB
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 24/1500Z 26.9N 80.0W 90 KT
12HR VT 25/0000Z 30.3N 75.8W 85 KT
24HR VT 25/1200Z 36.1N 68.9W 70 KT
36HR VT 26/0000Z 42.1N 61.6W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 26/1200Z 44.9N 55.7W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 27/1200Z 46.5N 44.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 28/1200Z 47.5N 36.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 29/1200Z 49.0N 25.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
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#neversummer
NWUS52 KMFL 241453
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1053 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM TROPICAL STORM 10 NW PAHOKEE 26.92N 80.77W
10/24/2005 AMZ610 FL BUOY
WIND GUST TO 102 MPH REPORTED AT SFWMD DATA SITE LZ40 IN
LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
0945 AM TROPICAL STORM 27 W WESTON 26.11N 80.83W
10/24/2005 BROWARD FL MESONET
GUST TO 108 MPH REPORTED AT SFWMD DATA COLLECTION SITE ON
ALLIGATOR ALLEY JUST EAST OF COLLIER COUNTY LINE.
&&
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1053 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM TROPICAL STORM 10 NW PAHOKEE 26.92N 80.77W
10/24/2005 AMZ610 FL BUOY
WIND GUST TO 102 MPH REPORTED AT SFWMD DATA SITE LZ40 IN
LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
0945 AM TROPICAL STORM 27 W WESTON 26.11N 80.83W
10/24/2005 BROWARD FL MESONET
GUST TO 108 MPH REPORTED AT SFWMD DATA COLLECTION SITE ON
ALLIGATOR ALLEY JUST EAST OF COLLIER COUNTY LINE.
&&
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139079
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Well it has been a very long thread (Beating Katrinas 110 page one) but great discussions haved been posted here as well the model runs and great sat pics.When Wilma becomes fully extratropical this thread will be locked so until then the members can continue to post their comments about this historic hurricane being the lowest pressure ever in the Atlantic Basin.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
NWUS52 KMFL 241507
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1107 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1050 AM TROPICAL STORM FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
10/24/2005 BROWARD FL ASOS
SUSTAINED WINDS AT 69 MPH WITH A GUST TO 95 MPH REPORTED
AT FORT LAUDERDALE HOLLYWOOD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS.
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1107 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1050 AM TROPICAL STORM FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
10/24/2005 BROWARD FL ASOS
SUSTAINED WINDS AT 69 MPH WITH A GUST TO 95 MPH REPORTED
AT FORT LAUDERDALE HOLLYWOOD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS.
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feederband
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3423
- Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
- Location: Lakeland Fl
cycloneye wrote:Well it has been a very long thread (Beating Katrinas 110 page one) but great discussions haved been posted here as well the model runs and great sat pics.When Wilma becomes fully extratropical this thread will be locked so until then the members can continue to post their comments about this historic hurricane being the lowest pressure ever in the Atlantic Basin.
It will probably take a no name Cat 5 in December to beat this storms thread...
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HurricaneGirl
- Category 5
- Posts: 5839
- Age: 59
- Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:45 am
- Location: Clare, Michigan
- Contact:
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floridahurricaneguy
- Category 1
- Posts: 312
- Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 10:37 pm
- Location: Tampa,FL
- Contact:
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 5594
- Age: 36
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
floridahurricaneguy wrote:What where highest winds reported near tampa?
Matt
Gust to 72 mph at an elevation of 10 feet near the Skyway bridge
along Tampa Bay.
Gust to 76 mph on top of the Skyway bridge.
Figures are according to a Baynews9 reporter who
talked to highway patrol. I'm not sure if they are official.
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Mon Oct 24, 2005 11:17 am, edited 3 times in total.
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linkerweather
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 261
- Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 5:59 am
- Location: tampa bay area
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 5594
- Age: 36
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
For my home: In eastern St. Pete
This was worse than Jeanne and Frances in terms of highest gusts
at my home-
the palm trees were swaying violently this morning- much more
violently than in jeanne or frances. I think it was one
rainband that caused the severe winds.
However the damage is much less than jeanne/frances because
of the very short duration of the wind event.
This was worse than Jeanne and Frances in terms of highest gusts
at my home-
the palm trees were swaying violently this morning- much more
violently than in jeanne or frances. I think it was one
rainband that caused the severe winds.
However the damage is much less than jeanne/frances because
of the very short duration of the wind event.
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wow, what a ride this has been... not physically there, but totally there mentally, and a few sleepless nights.
i'm glad I found Storm2k as I am a weather hound.... and have been able to participate in this historic event.
My thoughts and prayers go out to those directly affected by Wilma in its aftermath... especially those still going through the last bands over SW FL.
i'm glad I found Storm2k as I am a weather hound.... and have been able to participate in this historic event.
My thoughts and prayers go out to those directly affected by Wilma in its aftermath... especially those still going through the last bands over SW FL.
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NWUS52 KMFL 241618 CCA
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED L006 OKEECHOBEE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1218 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0907 AM STORM SURGE MARCO ISLAND 25.94N 81.73W
10/24/2005 0.00 FT COLLIER FL EMERGENCY MNGR
COLLIER EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED SOUTH END OF MARCO
ISLAND UNDER 3 FEET OF WATER.
1152 AM TROPICAL STORM WEST PALM BEACH 26.71N 80.06W
10/24/2005 PALM BEACH FL ASOS
SUSTAINED WIND OF 76 MPH WITH A GUST TO 100 MPH REPORTED
AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS.
1100 AM TROPICAL STORM 11 NW BELLE GLADE 26.80N 80.80W
10/24/2005 AMZ610 FL BUOY
SUSTAINED WIND OF 92 MPH WITH A WIND GUST TO 111 MPH
REPORTED FROM SFWMD DATA SITE L006 IN SOUTHEAST LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED L006 OKEECHOBEE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1218 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0907 AM STORM SURGE MARCO ISLAND 25.94N 81.73W
10/24/2005 0.00 FT COLLIER FL EMERGENCY MNGR
COLLIER EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED SOUTH END OF MARCO
ISLAND UNDER 3 FEET OF WATER.
1152 AM TROPICAL STORM WEST PALM BEACH 26.71N 80.06W
10/24/2005 PALM BEACH FL ASOS
SUSTAINED WIND OF 76 MPH WITH A GUST TO 100 MPH REPORTED
AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS.
1100 AM TROPICAL STORM 11 NW BELLE GLADE 26.80N 80.80W
10/24/2005 AMZ610 FL BUOY
SUSTAINED WIND OF 92 MPH WITH A WIND GUST TO 111 MPH
REPORTED FROM SFWMD DATA SITE L006 IN SOUTHEAST LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
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