Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 32640
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

#5621 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 25, 2005 3:40 pm

HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005
2100Z TUE OCT 25 2005

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 62.8W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 46 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT.......125NE 150SE 100SW 75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 300SE 375SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..325NE 350SE 500SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 62.8W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 64.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 44.5N 57.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 46.0N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 46.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 46.0N 34.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 46.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N 62.8W

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER
IN WASHINGTON D. C. UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC AND AWIPS HEADER
HSFAT1.

FORECASTER BEVEN
0 likes   
#neversummer

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 32640
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

#5622 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 25, 2005 3:40 pm

BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

...WILMA BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...
330 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 53 MPH...85 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT WILMA IS MERGING WITH A
FRONTAL SYSTEM AND LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND FURTHER
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 430 MILES...695 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH WILMA WILL NOT BE DIRECTLY AFFECTING THE U.S. EAST
COAST...HIGH SURF IS PRESENTLY OCCURRING ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...41.7 N... 62.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 53 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER
IN WASHINGTON D. C. UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC AND AWIPS HEADER
HSFAT1.

FORECASTER BEVEN
0 likes   
#neversummer

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 32640
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

#5623 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 25, 2005 3:41 pm

HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005

VISIBLE...INFRARED...AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT WILMA IS
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS
WELL NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING CONVECTION...WHICH MAY BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER APEPARS
TO BE MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM
A LOW OFF OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...AND COLD
AIR AND A COLD FRONT ARE PRESENT SOUTHEAST OF WILMA. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 75 KT IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY FROM TAFB AND
RESPECT FOR THE RAPID MOTION.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/46. WILMA SHOULD TURN EASTWARD AT A
REDUCED FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES IN 72-96 HR. THE
LARGE-SCALE MODELS LOSE WILMA FASTER THAN THIS...SO THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY DISSIPATION COULD OCCUR EARLIER.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER
IN WASHINGTON D. C. UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC AND AWIPS HEADER
HSFAT1.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 25/2100Z 41.7N 62.8W 75 KT
12HR VT 26/0600Z 44.5N 57.9W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 26/1800Z 46.0N 50.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 27/0600Z 46.0N 42.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 27/1800Z 46.0N 34.5W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 28/1800Z 46.0N 26.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5742
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#5624 Postby dhweather » Tue Oct 25, 2005 3:42 pm

Bye bye Wilma, you'll forever be back in Bedrock!
0 likes   

User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2058
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#5625 Postby Canelaw99 » Tue Oct 25, 2005 3:47 pm

LOL dh - my thoughts exactly :)
0 likes   


Return to “2005”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests