Tropical Depression 25,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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cycloneye
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#21 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:36 am

senorpepr wrote:Where are the people saying the season was definately over after Vince... (and Stan... and Katrina... and Gert...)


LOL Yes that is true. :)
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#22 Postby Buck » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:40 am

Alpha might be just on target for when I predicted it... I said next to last week in October. Still got a couple days!

This is INSANE!
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#23 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:47 am

What I am worried about is if it gets to Hispanola especially to Haiti we know by past events recently how tragic it gets there. :cry:
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#24 Postby karenfromheaven » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:50 am

Is this storm in the Hebert Box?
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#25 Postby greels » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:51 am

Buck wrote:Alpha might be just on target for when I predicted it... I said next to last week in October. Still got a couple days!

This is INSANE!


I, for one, will be watching this storm very closely.....I still remember quite well the storms Katrina and Rita forming right close to/over us here on the island of Provo...

We are still suffering power outages from the damage caused from the storm we had here Tuesday night... roads are still flooded out. :roll:

More rain is the lst thing we need about now...
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#26 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:52 am

greels wrote:
Buck wrote:Alpha might be just on target for when I predicted it... I said next to last week in October. Still got a couple days!

This is INSANE!


I, for one, will be watching this storm very closely.....I still remember quite well the storms Katrina and Rita forming right close to/over us here on the island of Provo...

We are still suffering power outages from the damage from the storm we had here Tuesday night... roads are still flooded out. Intermittent power.... :roll:

More rain is the lst thing we need about now...


The models have it close to your location so be prepared my friend.
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#27 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:03 am

Oh boy.... we may yet have Alpha...just let us deal with Wacky Wet Wobbling Wilma first...

And yes I did predict last week in October, it could be sooner.... :roll:
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#28 Postby bvigal » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:06 am

OK, here we go, I'd no doubt yesterday this thing was getting organized. Now worried for Haiti/DR and Turks/Caicos, so please be safe Greel! Intensity models show only TS development and no hurricane, which makes sense because of quick landfall on Hispaniola & mountains. But, the way this year has gone, I wouldn't rule out hurricane status at some point. This thing has a lot of power, those of us in EC found that out Thursday/Friday.
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#29 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:09 am

bvigal wrote:OK, here we go, I'd no doubt yesterday this thing was getting organized. Now worried for Haiti/DR and Turks/Caicos, so please be safe Greel! Intensity models show only TS development and no hurricane, which makes sense because of quick landfall on Hispaniola & mountains. But, the way this year has gone, I wouldn't rule out hurricane status at some point. This thing has a lot of power, those of us in EC found that out Thursday/Friday.


Yes ST Croix had a wind gust of 45 mph yesterday and in some locations in Puerto Rico winds sustained between 25-30 mph in the higher elevations were felt.
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#30 Postby quandary » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:25 am

dhweather wrote:Come on ALPHA! 1933 needs to fall into 2nd place!!


Effectively 1933 is already in second place, since it cannot match the number of hurricanes (record) or number of major hurricanes or number of cat 4s (record-tie) or number of Cat 5s (record by far). Nor can it match the number of TDs (25, win by 4).
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#31 Postby gerrit » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:26 am

cycloneye wrote:
bvigal wrote:OK, here we go, I'd no doubt yesterday this thing was getting organized. Now worried for Haiti/DR and Turks/Caicos, so please be safe Greel! Intensity models show only TS development and no hurricane, which makes sense because of quick landfall on Hispaniola & mountains. But, the way this year has gone, I wouldn't rule out hurricane status at some point. This thing has a lot of power, those of us in EC found that out Thursday/Friday.


Yes ST Croix had a wind gust of 45 mph yesterday and in some locations in Puerto Rico winds sustained between 25-30 mph in the higher elevations were felt.


Yes, yesterday late afternoon we had some strong winds up here in the mountains in Valenciano. Looks like we're getting away once more. Like you, I worry for the Domican Republic and Haiti. Even when it's 'only' a tropical storm, it will do a lot of damage there. Stay safe everybody in it's path!
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#32 Postby gerrit » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:29 am

quandary wrote:
dhweather wrote:Come on ALPHA! 1933 needs to fall into 2nd place!!


Effectively 1933 is already in second place, since it cannot match the number of hurricanes (record) or number of major hurricanes or number of cat 4s (record-tie) or number of Cat 5s (record by far). Nor can it match the number of TDs (25, win by 4).


Good! Now everybody looking for a record can be happy - as far as I'm concerned the season can end today..
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#33 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:30 am

Long range radar from San Juan showing nice convection near the center of circulation, and excellent banding to the east of the storm. Lookin' good this morning!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/jua_long.shtml
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#34 Postby msbee » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:30 am

while we all are wondeirng if 99L will turn into TD 25( which it will or has already) and if TD25 will turn into Alpha, I am also worrried about anyone who might be in it's path.
Hispaniola in particular could be subject to a great deal of flooding, which is bad scenario for them.

All of you in the area, including greels, please watch this one carefully!
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#35 Postby beachbum_al » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:35 am

I wished the season had ended back around the time of Katrina.
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#36 Postby senorpepr » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:38 am

gerrit wrote:
quandary wrote:
dhweather wrote:Come on ALPHA! 1933 needs to fall into 2nd place!!


Effectively 1933 is already in second place, since it cannot match the number of hurricanes (record) or number of major hurricanes or number of cat 4s (record-tie) or number of Cat 5s (record by far). Nor can it match the number of TDs (25, win by 4).


Good! Now everybody looking for a record can be happy - as far as I'm concerned the season can end today..


The sobbering part is: we still have 39 days remaining in the season. That excludes any post-season activity.
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#37 Postby otowntiger » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:38 am

could someone post the models link for this soon to be TD?
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#38 Postby WindRunner » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:39 am

beachbum_al wrote:I wished the season had ended back around the time of Katrina.


and an "average" season would never have even reached "Katrina." But it's 2005 we're talking about here.
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#39 Postby 27-80 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:44 am

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#40 Postby SkeetoBite » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:52 am

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