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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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#61 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:34 pm

It looks to have formed a deep CDO. Given time Alpha could become a hurricane. But he will not get that time.
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#62 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:35 pm

inotherwords wrote:Question: is this the same underlying process that might be also facilitating an overestimation of Wilma's upcoming wind speed by this model?

Its possible, at least where it shows it strengthening as it moves up the east coast. I don't see that as the probable source for any strengthening before it hits FL though.
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#63 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:44 pm

To the above members who are talking about Wilma in this Alpha thread let's post about Wilma at the main thread for Wilma.

Cycloneye Moderator.
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cjrciadt
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#64 Postby cjrciadt » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:00 pm

Image
Recurves the Atlantic!!!!!!!!! :eek:
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#65 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:04 pm

BAM's... :eek:
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#66 Postby O Town » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:09 pm

If the bams verify that would be an odd track. I wonder if it would survive the circle? Things that make you go hummmm.
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#67 Postby abajan » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:15 pm

Brent wrote:BAM's... :eek:

Yep, no need to worry because it's clearly heading out to sea and then...BAM: Maybe not! :lol:
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#68 Postby ga_ben » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:44 pm

If Alpha were ever retired (not this one) I suggest Alfalpha as a replacement, followed by Buckwheat and maybe eventually Spanky.
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#69 Postby O Town » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:48 pm

:roflmao: :uarrow:
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#70 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 9:48 pm

ga_ben wrote:If Alpha were ever retired (not this one) I suggest Alfalpha as a replacement, followed by Buckwheat and maybe eventually Spanky.


:roflmao: :fools:
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#71 Postby mtm4319 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 12:20 am

Looks like Image is going to have a very tough time making it over Hispaniola.

It had a pretty good CDO going at 0125 UTC:

Image

Compare that to 0445 UTC, with the circulation starting to cross the southern coast of the Dominican Republic:

Image
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#72 Postby greels » Sun Oct 23, 2005 5:49 am

Good morning everyone...

Quiet weather here this morning on the island of Provo.

We will wait to see what Alpha brings us in terms of weather after crossing Hispaniola.

Gretchen
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#73 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:12 am

Image
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#74 Postby Innotech » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:37 am

ga_ben wrote:If Alpha were ever retired (not this one) I suggest Alfalpha as a replacement, followed by Buckwheat and maybe eventually Spanky.


somehow thats just not as humorous as people are implying. Its rather dry. but hten again I have a more sarcastic/brutal sense of humor.
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#75 Postby O Town » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:11 am

She doesn't look quite as organized this morning as she did last night, in the above image. She does seem to have grown in her convection spread though. Once she clears land again she may reorganize.
Image
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#76 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:44 am

Good call, O Town. The NHC (Avila) has changed the forecast to indicate a return to TS strength after he hits the water again.
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bigmike

#77 Postby bigmike » Sun Oct 23, 2005 10:55 am

Doesn't matter as she is forecast to become Wilma's personal cabana boy in about 48 hours :eek:
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#78 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Oct 23, 2005 12:56 pm

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WINDS ARE OCCURRING MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE
NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ALFA COULD
REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER
WATER.

For just a second Avila forgot he was writing in English and not Spanish! :lol:
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#79 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Oct 23, 2005 1:11 pm

HURAKAN wrote:MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THIS WINDS ARE OCCURRING MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE
NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ALFA COULD
REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER
WATER.

For just a second Avila forgot he was writing in English and not Spanish! :lol:


It happens even to me :D

<RICKY>
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O Town
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#80 Postby O Town » Sun Oct 23, 2005 1:43 pm

bigmike wrote:Doesn't matter as she is forecast to become Wilma's personal cabana boy in about 48 hours :eek:

:lol: :lol: That is suppost to. You never know about this year. But it seems like they are going to meet somewhere off the east coast of Florida.
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