Charley Advisories

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cycloneye
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Charley Advisories

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:14 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Here we go with another invest for the wave that most of the global models develop.
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:23 am

Cycloneye, the wave that is near to the Antilles at least to me it looks much better organized and based on the satellite image provided by NRL it's trying to develop thunderstorms and convective bands. I think it has a good chance to develop. Also, according to the last TWO of the NHC it's moving between 10 - 15 knots, slower than yesterday. I believe Bonnie & Charley are just hours or days from coming into appearance.
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#3 Postby Lowpressure » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:39 am

The system east of the Antilles is much better organized this morning. If convection can wrap around a bit and sustain , it will be a depression soon. Quicksat pass will help determine the status of this system. Not sure when the next pass is.
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#4 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:43 am

WOW... :eek:
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:44 am

This one will be a fish as it already is at 13n.
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#6 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:49 am

cycloneye wrote:This one will be a fish as it already is at 13n.


What do you mean Luis? The 92L invest one?

True.. we may see Bonnie later today, or a precursor to Bonnie (TD).
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#7 Postby Derecho » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:50 am

cycloneye wrote:This one will be a fish as it already is at 13n.


Fran had its first advisory started at 14.0 N, 21.0W, in 1996.
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#8 Postby Trader Ron » Mon Aug 02, 2004 8:59 am

13N is pretty far South. If it holds together, i give it a chance to transverse the Pond.
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#9 Postby CocoaBill » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:12 am

cycloneye wrote:This one will be a fish as it already is at 13n.


Is there a tendency for storms that form AON 13N to fish out?
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#10 Postby TS Zack » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:13 am

92L looks to be a fish!
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#11 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:15 am

Not really. Some have gone out to sea, some haven't. It just depends on how strong the Bermuda and Azores High's are. If you remember Andrew was above 20 N when the high build back and turned it due west. We all know what happened there.

It's really too early to say whether it will or not.
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#12 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:16 am

Right... I think he meant 91L and 92L are fish for now.... :lol: :lol:
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Invest 92L off African Coast

#13 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:52 am

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#14 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:55 am

Bumping.
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:55 am

Kat I posted almost 2 hours ago about it. :)
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#16 Postby CocoaBill » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:56 am

I like bumping --- it helps let the current topics be found easier so the thread may continue without additional new topic posts....... Good job!
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#17 Postby Valkhorn » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:22 am

I'd hate to say this, but how can you claim a system will be a fish before the first advisory is even written on it?
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#18 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:24 am

TS Zack wrote:92L looks to be a fish!


Based on what?
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92 also has T numbers

#19 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:23 pm

02/1600 UTC 13.1N 129.6W T1.0/1.0 92 -- East Pacific Ocean
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#20 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:24 pm

Pacific or Atlantic Ocean Luis?
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