Bonnie Advisories

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wayoutfront

#1961 Postby wayoutfront » Thu Aug 12, 2004 7:58 am

Image

Bonnie sure is firing as it gets real close .... she sure has alot of fight in her...and doesn't know when to quit :eek:
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newt3
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Bonnie not too bad

#1962 Postby newt3 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:14 am

I'm in Apalachicola,Fl and you would not even think a tropical storm was right outside my window. According to the doppler radar I'm watching, Bonnie is getting ready to make landfall about 35 miles west of here. You would think the right front quad would be getting hammered right now. The most wind i've seen is about 15mph gust, very unimpressive right now. No more than a hard drizzle for rain fall (thats good news).
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#1963 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:20 am

At least with Bonnie and Charley Lake Ockeechobee will obtain enough rain to get out the drought left behind by May and June.
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10am Bonnie-50 mph winds, making landfall

#1964 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:33 am

Tropical Storm Bonnie Advisory Number 18

Statement as of 10:00 am CDT on August 12, 2004

...Bonnie making landfall near Apalachicola Florida...

a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from Destin Florida to
the mouth of the Suwannee river.

At 10 am CDT...1500z...the Tropical Storm Warning to the west of
Destin is discontinued.

At 10 am CDT...1500z...the poorly defined center of Tropical Storm
Bonnie was located near latitude 29.5 north...longitude 85.2 west
or about 20 miles southwest of Apalachicola Florida.

Bonnie is accelerating and is now moving toward the northeast near
28 mph. This general motion is expected to continue today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles mainly to
the southeast of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 5 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...is now
occurring near and to the right of the center.

Additional rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Bonnie.

Isolated tornadoes are also possible along the path and to the east
of Bonnie.

Repeating the 10 am CDT position...29.5 N... 85.2 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 28 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 50 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1002 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 1 PM CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 PM
CDT.
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#1965 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:35 am

Tropical Storm Bonnie Discussion Number 18

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on August 12, 2004

radar...and surface observations suggest that the center of Bonnie
remains poorly organized. The center passed over or near the NOAA
buoy 42039 earlier today producing gusts to 47 knots an a 1002.7 mb
pressure. Satellite images suggest that the cloud pattern is
becoming elongated and it is is beginning to transition to
extratropical. A portion of the broad center of circulation is
already inland over the Florida Panhandle.

The center is moving rapidly toward the northeast...about 24 knots.
Once the center is completely inland...weakening should begin and
Bonnie should become an extratropical low in about 24 hours or so
as it moves quickly to the northeast.

Forecaster Avila

forecast positions and Max winds

initial 12/1500z 29.5n 85.2w 45 kt
12hr VT 13/0000z 32.5n 82.5w 30 kt...inland
24hr VT 13/1200z 37.5n 78.5w 30 kt...extratropical
36hr VT 14/0000z 44.0n 73.5w 25 kt...extratropical
48hr VT 14/1200z 50.0n 68.5w 25 kt...extratropical
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Here near St. Marks...

#1966 Postby LilNoles2004 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:36 am

The center of Bonnie should pass pretty close to me within an hour or two... so far, no severe weather, yet... don't really expect any... it's been raining since last night, and the heaviest was actually around 5 this morning (woke my arse up!)... Stephanie Abrams of TWC said that she's had gusts to 31 mph, so that's pretty much what I'm expecting.

- Chris
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#1967 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:39 am

Yes.. She is getting some darm big waves over on St. Georges Island....
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#1968 Postby Agua » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:45 am

Well, I nailed the location on my first ever landfall prediction made on Tuesday morning (between Panama City Beach and Appilachicola). :D

Busted on the intesity (I'd said strong Cat 1).
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#1969 Postby tallywx » Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:46 am

Here in Tallahassee there is nothing, absolutely nothing, going on. Getting some light rain right now, was a bit heavier overnight. Around 1". Absolutely no wind to speak of at all. Winds are CALM. How about that?
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ColdFront77

#1970 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:00 am

Here is the graphic depiction for Tornado Watch #742:

Image


I am in or just outside the southeast corner of this Tornado Watch.
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Guest

#1971 Postby Guest » Thu Aug 12, 2004 10:21 am

so I guess it is safe and correct to say that with Bonnie collapse Ralph nader did not become or will not become president
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#1972 Postby HalloweenGale » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:21 am

What in the heck is this? this is just a tiny wind, i could fart, and create a storm surge!
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#1973 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:21 am

HEY...... I make the farting jokes around here got it???????
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#1974 Postby Pebbles » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:24 am

HalloweenGale wrote:What in the heck is this? this is just a tiny wind, i could fart, and create a storm surge!


HAHAHAHAHA :lol:
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#1975 Postby Stormchaser16 » Thu Aug 12, 2004 11:25 am

HAHAHAHAHHAHAH nooooooooo......

Joke stealer :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :grrr: :lol:
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2pm Bonnie-40 mph winds, becoming extratropical

#1976 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:41 pm

Tropical Storm Bonnie Intermediate Advisory Number 18a

Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 12, 2004

...Bonnie begins to lose tropical characteristics...but still
producing strong squalls along the Florida Big Bend...

at 2 PM EDT...1800z...the Tropical Storm Warning from Apalachicola
Florida westward is discontinued. A Tropical Storm Warning remains
in effect from east of Apalachicola to the mouth of the Suwannee
river.

At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the poorly defined center of Tropical Storm
Bonnie was estimated near latitude 30.1 north...longitude 84.0 west
or about 30 miles southeast of Tallahassee Florida.

Bonnie is moving toward the east-northeast near 28 mph. A turn more
to the northeast is expected today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast and Bonnie is expected to become
extratropical later today or tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles mainly over
water to the southeast of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 5 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...is now
occurring near and to the right of the center.

Additional rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Bonnie.

Isolated tornadoes are also possible along the path and to the east
of Bonnie.

Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...30.1 N... 84.0 W. Movement
toward...east-northeast near 28 mph. Maximum sustained winds...40
mph. Minimum central pressure...1005 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.
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bonnie is almost here

#1977 Postby tallbunch » Thu Aug 12, 2004 2:35 pm

We are getting POUNDED with rain. The roads all already flooding. I hate to see C come over too.
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#1978 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Aug 12, 2004 2:38 pm

Horry County, SC is currently under a FLOOD WARNING 12- 126 Inches of water is on the ground... This includes the cities of: Conway.
Watch out!!!! Them flood waters can be pretty treacherous.........
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5pm-Bonnie final advisory

#1979 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 12, 2004 3:24 pm

Tropical Depression Bonnie Advisory Number 19

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on August 12, 2004

...Bonnie well inland...expected to become extratropical...

at 5 PM EDT...2100z...all tropical storm warnings are discontinued.

At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Tropical Depression
Bonnie was located near latitude 31.1 north...longitude 83.0 west
or about 30 miles northeast of Valdosta Georgia.

The depression is moving toward the northeast near 26 mph...
and this general motion is expected to continue during the next 24
hours.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph... 55
km/hr...with higher gusts. Bonnie is forecast to become
extratropical during the next 12 to 24 hours.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.
Additional rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Bonnie.

Isolated tornadoes are also possible along the path and to the east
of Bonnie.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...31.1 N... 83.0 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 26 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1006 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Future information on this system can be
found in public advisories issued by the Hydrometeorological
Prediction Center...under AWIPS header tcpat2 and wmo header wtnt32
kwnh...beginning at 11 PM EDT tonight.
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#1980 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 12, 2004 3:26 pm

RIP to her.
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