Bonnie Advisories

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#81 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:07 am

Correct. I hope we will have TD#2 later today, but we will see.

I hope that Bonnie (if that is what happens) moves North of the Carribean and goes near the Bahamas... lol.

Cosgrove (for what its worth, I know its not) says East Coast could be a visiting place for Bonnie in future after August 8. :eek: :D
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34021
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

#82 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:19 am

Bonnie did that in 1998, this time it wants to visit new scenery, the Caribbean and the Gulf. :eek:
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#83 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:22 am

Brent wrote:Bonnie did that in 1998, this time it wants to visit new scenery, the Caribbean and the Gulf. :eek:


LOL! We will have to wait and see. No, I would like a visit, more like a direct hit in the Delmarva Peninsula! :lol: :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117131
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Possible recon for 91L on Wedensday at 1800z

#84 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:16 am

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. NEGATIVE ON ALEX
B. POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST AT 04/1800Z NEAR 14N 58W.
C. POSSIBLE G-IV MISSION WITH A 04/1730Z TAKEOFF.

Also the gulfstream jet may go too to look at the upper patterns.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12537
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Honolulu, HI
Contact:

#85 Postby senorpepr » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:17 am

Wow... thanks for sharing Luis!
0 likes   

User avatar
Weatherboy1
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 960
Age: 43
Joined: Mon Jul 05, 2004 1:50 pm
Location: Jupiter, FL

good luck in PR

#86 Postby Weatherboy1 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:21 am

It's still too early to say for sure, but the longer-term pattern setting up (Deep east coast trough) appears as if it will protect the US mainland from a hit from 91. But you folks in PR may not be so lucky. Keep a close eye on this one in case it does turn into a TS or possible cane. This thing could be in your general area in a couple of days.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 34021
Age: 31
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: DFW
Contact:

#87 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:22 am

:eek: 8-)
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#88 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:22 am

Hmm.. don't be so sure. Gloria snuck under the trough... and this one might as well. Am I right?
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#89 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:23 am

lets wait and see where it is before turning. I dont want this turning at 18N and 75W
0 likes   

MWatkins
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2574
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:51 pm
Location: SE Florida
Contact:

#90 Postby MWatkins » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:27 am

Wow...the fact that they are considering tasking the Gulfstream is not small potatoes. Those flights are not cheap and they usually don't mess around with those missions.

The TPC must be a little concerned with this system.

MW
0 likes   
Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack

Anonymous

#91 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:27 am

yoda wrote:Hmm.. don't be so sure. Gloria snuck under the trough... and this one might as well. Am I right?


JB Agrees lets watch and see :eek:

http://playlist.yahoo.com/makeplaylist.dll?ID=860853
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117131
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#92 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:30 am

MWatkins wrote:Wow...the fact that they are considering tasking the Gulfstream is not small potatoes. Those flights are not cheap and they usually don't mess around with those missions.

The TPC must be a little concerned with this system.

MW


I agree Mike very interesting that they will fly it.They might to want to see what upper flow is there in the area ahead of the system to then make the guidance forecasts.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
The_Cycloman_PR
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 316
Joined: Mon Oct 28, 2002 12:10 pm
Location: Puerto Rico

#93 Postby The_Cycloman_PR » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:32 am

MWatkins wrote:Wow...the fact that they are considering tasking the Gulfstream is not small potatoes. Those flights are not cheap and they usually don't mess around with those missions.

The TPC must be a little concerned with this system.

MW



Yeahh! I am a little bit concerned also :eek: :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#94 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:33 am

I am concerned as well... the Gulfstream IV Jets are not used very often.. :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 32
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#95 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:35 am

So it looks like 91L will not be upgraded until the RECON goes to investigate the system.
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#96 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:36 am

right...
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117131
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#97 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:58 am

I think that if the system looks like it is right now they may wait for recon in 2 days but let's see if it organizes more as it is surrounded by dry air.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 32
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

TD #2 or Bonnie in the next 36 hours

#98 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:02 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
yoda
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7874
Joined: Tue Jan 13, 2004 3:51 pm
Location: Springfield VA (20 mins south of DC)
Contact:

#99 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:05 am

Interesting, and if that WNW movement continues... :eek: :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 32
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#100 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:07 am

If this tropical wave develops it will be the first truly tropical system of the season. Because Alex's origins were not entirely tropical at all.
0 likes   


Return to “2004”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest