Alex Advisories

Guest · #1181 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 9:29 am

WHAT ARE THE CHANCES OF IT RECURVING DOWN SOUTH?

The Dark Knight · #1182 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 9:32 am

I dunno.... I looked at the models... and it caught my eye that BAM's recurved it....

Mdecoy233 · #1183 Postby **Mdecoy233** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:00 am

If that were too actually happen (very unlikely). I do believe that would be the first hurricane in history to go that far out and then come all the way back. Maybe I am wrong. I know Alberto a few years ago kept doing loops, but finally got kicked out to sea.

Guest · #1184 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:01 am

If I am not mistaken, only one model yesterday had it recurving. Now we have 2...I highly doubt it but strange things have happened before.

yoda · #1185 Postby **yoda** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:03 am

Nah, its going to be absorbed in about 48 hours by an extratropical low, so its probably the ex low you see...

BUT, we shall see... what do the mets think?

#1186 Postby **MGC** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:12 am

Very little chance. I can't recall a TC recurving like that at such a high latitude......MGC

#1187 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:12 am

Here are a few shots I took an hour ago of Alex:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/alex22.gif">

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/alex23.gif">

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/alex24.gif">

Guest · #1188 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:13 am

Definetely one heck of a beast! :eek:

Thanks for the impressive images!

yoda · #1189 Postby **yoda** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:13 am

Derek Ortt · #1190 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:14 am

Not a chance.

Remember, dont use the BAM models at these altitudes

Josephine96 · #1191 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:15 am

That would be interesting if it recurved back this way

Guest · #1192 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:16 am

Derek Ortt · #1193 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:17 am

looks like this is setting some world speed records now

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl012004forecast.html

Guest · #1194 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:17 am

I have heard of stranger things, but I highly doubt it. I am no expert but even a MBA student like myself can get this one right. hehehe

yoda · #1195 Postby **yoda** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:19 am

My, two records? This is one special hurricane!

jabber · #1196 Postby **jabber** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:22 am

Nice looking storm...

The Dark Knight · #1197 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:47 am

Oh well.... I just found it interesting that 2 models actually had it doing that particular senario.....

Guest · #1198 Postby **Guest** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:51 am

yoda · #1199 Postby **yoda** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:52 am

NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.

As Derek said, the BAM models are horrible at high levels.

Stormchaser16 · #1200 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Thu Aug 05, 2004 11:04 am

If the BAM was going to be correct Alex should start turning towards the E and then further S now anyways, which is obviously not occuring.

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