Alex Advisories

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HalloweenGale
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#1241 Postby HalloweenGale » Thu Aug 05, 2004 10:11 pm

hey i'm 60, and she looks hot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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NC George
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#1242 Postby NC George » Fri Aug 06, 2004 2:15 am

The ferry terminal on Hatteras Island is on the sound side and a mile (or more) from the end of the island. There is a path that turns off Hwy 12 that allows 4x4 vehicles access all the way to the tip of the island for fishing purposes (not fishing for porpoises!) It is this path that was breached.

George NCBBA #8338 (North Carolina Beach Buggy Association)
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Bertha '96, Fran '96, Bonnie '98, Dennis '99, Floyd '99 :eek: , Isabel '03, Irene '11, Matthew '16

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Alex races away at 52mph!

#1243 Postby Valkhorn » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:55 am

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2004/pu ... .024.shtml?

Now that's what I call a fast moving tropical system.
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#1244 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:59 am

*In other news, the police are currently chasing not a car, but a hurricane that says his name is Alex for failure to stop speeding*

:lol:
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#1245 Postby The Dark Knight » Fri Aug 06, 2004 8:59 am

Geez.... 52 MPH.... That's definately fast!!!!
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#1246 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:04 am

Anyone know what the fastes speed for a hurricane of any tropical system was? Is Alex at 52 mph the fastest?
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#1247 Postby HalloweenGale » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:15 am

the hurricane of '38 moved at 70mph!
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Alex is history!

#1248 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:45 am

See ya' in 2010! :)

Tropical Storm Alex Advisory Number 25

Statement as of 11:00 am AST on August 06, 2004


...Alex rapidly becoming extratropical...this is the last
advisory...

At 11 am AST...1500z...the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located
near latitude 47.5 north...longitude 34.6 west or about 870
miles...1400 km...east of Cape Race Newfoundland.

Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 46 mph...74 km/hr.
This motion is expected to continue today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Alex is forecast to merge with an extratropical cyclone later
today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 345 miles ...555 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb...29.15 inches.

Repeating the 11 am AST position...47.5 N... 34.6 W. Movement
toward...east-northeast near 46 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure... 987 mb.

This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service...under AWIPS header nfdhsfat1 and wmo header fznt01 kwbc.

Forecaster Avila
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Alex now no more, eyeing the Gulf of Mexico today.

#1249 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:52 am

Looking at the latest on now Tropical Storm Alex shows the last advisory has been written on it as of 11 am edt. Tropical Storm Alex is rapidly weakening and becoming an extratropical system over the cold north Atlantic. But this system has had quite a history including becoming the strongest major hurricane to ever develop north of 38N latitude with 120 mph winds. This surpasses Hurricane Ellen back in 1973 when it developed into a major north of 38N with 115 mph winds. Only two major hurricanes have ever developed north of 38 degrees north, Ellen and now Alex. This thing also produced sustained winds of 80 mph at Hatteras Village with a gust to 102 mph. Ocracoke gusted to 120 mph while Buxton gusted to over 85 mph. There was significant soundside storm surge south of Hatteras with 4-6 foot surge. Rainfall amounts were close to a foot in some places on the Outer Banks. Hatteras was down 10.88 inches for the year. They made alot of that up in one storm back on Tuesday.

Currently Tropical Storm Alex is weakening and is nearly extratropical at this time. The 11 AM stats on Alex, now extratropical shows the center located near latitude 47.5 north, longitude 34.6 west or about 870 miles east of Cape race Newfoundland.

Alex is moving east northeast at near 46 mph and this motion will continue today. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Alex is expected to merge with an extratropical cyclone, then become absorbed into it later today.

Tropical Storm winds extend outward 345 miles from the center, just another indication that we have achieved extratropical transition. Minimum central pressure is 987 mb or 29.15 inches. We can now say farewell to Alex, which will forever be a memorable one.

Shifting our focus, a 1014 mb tropical low pressure system continues to head west roughly near latitude 17.5 north 45.5 west. This system has only marginally favorable upper winds with it with the southwesterly shear overtop of it. However this could potentially form into a depression later on today or on Saturday.

Meanwhile a tropical wave continues to head west through Hispaniola, southeastern Cuba, and Jamaica bringing locally heavy rainfall to the region. An airforce hurricane hunter aircraft may investigate this system later this afternoon if NECCESSARY. Otherwise no other tropical development is expected in the Caribbean today.

Finally looking at the Gulf Of Mexico shows a cold front has dived all the way down into the northern Gulf Of Mexico and should move through the north central Gulf tonight through Saturday. This is a dangerous place for cold fronts to be because as they wash out, we could see potentially a low pressure system develop and become tropical in nature. Sea surface temps between 88 and 90 degrees makes the situation quite dangerous when a cold front dives into the Gulf Of Mexico. This will definitely need to be watched closely over the upcoming weekend for signs of a tropical low and possibly even some tropical development.

That's the latest for this time.

Jim
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#1250 Postby Tip » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:54 am

Quick question - when was the last time the first named storm was a major?
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#1251 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:55 am

1992, I believe, but I could be wrong.
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#1252 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 06, 2004 9:59 am

Tip wrote:Quick question - when was the last time the first named storm was a major?


Alberto in 2000. It was a fish, did a loopety-loop and was also an August storm.

Image
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#1253 Postby yoda » Fri Aug 06, 2004 10:00 am

Brent wrote:
Tip wrote:Quick question - when was the last time the first named storm was a major?


Alberto in 2000. It was a fish, did a loopety-loop and was also an August storm.

Image


Thanks for correcting me Brent.
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#1254 Postby Tip » Fri Aug 06, 2004 10:03 am

Not quite a real fit since the tracks are different and Alberto was a long tracker versus home-grown Alex.
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#1255 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 06, 2004 10:05 am

In 2000, Hurricane Alberto was the first named storm, and then became a hurricane and a major hurricane. Alberto was a long-lived Cape Verde hurricane that remained at sea through its lifetime. It is the longest-lived Atlantic tropical cyclone to form in August, and the third-longest-lived of record in the Atlantic. Alberto's track included intensifying into a hurricane three times, a large anticyclonic loop that took five days, and extratropical transition near 53°N.

Image
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Thanks!!!

#1256 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Aug 06, 2004 10:13 am

Thanks Jim as always a good post.

"Beware Of Gulf Development" :eek:
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Rainband

#1257 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 06, 2004 10:18 am

Great Post JIM. I am not buying The GOM development right now. The tropics seem too hostile :wink:
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#1258 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Fri Aug 06, 2004 10:32 am

We had one heck of a start with 1 named storm, one hurricane, and one major hurricane Alex. I think that's how we started out 1992 with Andrew being the first one in all three categories. After Andrew's name retired, Alex replaced it. But we shall see what happens. I'm just concerned about those very warm waters in the gulf combined with this front diving down because sometimes they can transition to strong tropical systems, especially this time of year.

But we'll watch it for sure. Have a good weekend.

Jim
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Rainband

#1259 Postby Rainband » Fri Aug 06, 2004 10:51 am

One of our local mets just said We need to watch it. He said "the computer models are arguing about sunday :lol: Guess it's something to watch. Thanks Jim :wink:
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#1260 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Fri Aug 06, 2004 11:06 am

:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:

A well deserved final round of applause for Alex. Thanks for opening the 2004 Atlantic hurricane season in style :P
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