Mindulle Advisories

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HURAKAN
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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 27, 2004 9:18 am

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Typhoons Mindulle & Tingting Beautiful Pictures

#22 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 28, 2004 11:45 am

Typhoon Mindulle:
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Typhoon Tingting:
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THE ENTIRE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN:
Image
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tropical update 6-28-04, Mindulle and Tingting...

#23 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Mon Jun 28, 2004 11:57 am

All the action remains in the western Pacific today with two typhoons, Mindulle amd Tingting. Both could get very close to supertyphoon strength over the next couple of days.

Typhoon Tingting is located near latitude 17.6 north, longitude 144.9 east. Movement continues towards the northwest, but at a somewhat faster speed of 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph with gusts to 105 mph. Strengthening is anticipated over the next few days as Tingting moves away from the Mariana Islands and heads towards Iwo Jima as a 145 mph typhoon.

One of the hardest hit areas with this system so far has been Guam with all that rain. Over 20 inches of rain in spots in Guam. Guam Intl Airport has already seen 20.98 inches of rain from this event and more sctd showers are on the way later today. Other rainfall totals are below.

GUAM INTL AIRPORT/TIYAN......... 4.98 INCHES (16.00 YESTERDAY)
APRA HARBOR (AUTOMATED GAUGE)... 3.50 INCHES ( 8.34 YESTERDAY)
INARAJAN (AUTOMATED GAUGE)...... 7.67 INCHES (15.47 YESTERDAY)
MANGILAO (AUTOMATED GAUGE)...... 3.26 INCHES (12.68 YESTERDAY)
MERIZO (AUTOMATED GAUGE)........ 4.73 INCHES (10.43 YESTERDAY)

ROTA INTL AIRPORT/SINAPALU...... 2.30 INCHES ( 5.56 YESTERDAY)
SAIPAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.... 4.97 INCHES ( 1.71 YESTERDAY)

Meanwhile there is another even stronger typhoon in the western Pacificheading towards the general firection of Taiwan. Typhoon Mindulle is located near latitude 18.6 north, longitude 124.9 east.Maximum sustained winds right now are near 135 mph with higher gusts and the expectation is for more strengthening as this system continues to approach Taiwan over the next few days. Mindulle may also just nip the northeastern Philippines given it's more west southwesterly wobble over the past few hours.

Elsewhere in the tropics, all is quiet. A few showers and storms are possible over the eastern Pacific, but nothing is organized. The only system of note in the Atlantic Basin is an upper air disturbance associated with a wave over Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Nothing is expected to develop from this as conditions aloft are unfavorable.

Jim
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Check this out!!

#24 Postby Dave C » Mon Jun 28, 2004 1:51 pm

The island of Pagan is located north of Saipan and recorded some good data as Tingting( I love that name!) passed just to it's south.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pr/arc/XPAGAN
Most recent obs. are at bottom of page.
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#25 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jun 28, 2004 1:59 pm

Great job Hurakan ! Here's another animated loop for these systems:



Image[/img]
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 28, 2004 3:35 pm

Is like a doorbell, TINGTING.
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#27 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jun 28, 2004 3:58 pm

Probably one of the more easier names to pronounce out there. "Ting-ting" LOL
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Mindulle to become a supertyphoon...Tingting remains typhoon

#28 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Mon Jun 28, 2004 4:22 pm

Good afternoon everyone. Earlier there was some discussion that Mindulle would near supertyphoon strength. The latest advisory has Mindulle as a 155 knot supertyphoon in about 48-60 hours as it comes very near the south coast of Taiwan. Given the intensity of 155 knots near Taiwan, that would be absolutely devastating to the island.

Currently Mindulle is nearing super typhoon strength with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph with higher gusts. Movement is toward the west-northwest at 5 mph. Mindulle is centered near 18.8 north, 124.5 east and is located nearly 390 Nautical Miles south southeast of Tapei, Taiwan. This will likely be a very dangerous life threatening situation for Taiwan over the next several days. We'll keep you posted.

Another typhoon, Tingting has caused lots of flooding over the Mariana Islands, particularly over Guam over the past 48 hours. Tingting is centered about 400 Nautical Miles south southeast of Iwo Jima at 18.6 north, 144.3 east. Movement is toward the northwest at 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds are up to 95 mph with higher gusts. Iwo Jima could be near the path of this system in the next 36-48 hours with storm surge, heavy rain, and damaging winds. Pagan gusted to 130 mph on an automated gauge at around 12 PM EDT. The hardest hit areas will be near Pagan as the center is close to that area. Sustained winds of 65-75 mph with gusts over 100 mph are likely in Pagan. Further south, wind gusts of 40-50 mph are possible in Tinian and Saipan with winds dropping below tropical storm force in Guam. However scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over the Marianas whether there is a direct effect from Tingting or not. 20.97 inches of rain has fallen over Guam and the expectation is for alot more over the next several days just to aggreviate the flooding issues.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/GUAMIR.JPG check that ouy. What a classic shot!!!

Jim
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#29 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Jun 28, 2004 4:34 pm

Wow... 2 category 5 typhoons in the same month! I really hope it goes more westward and doesn't hit Taiwan. 180 M.P.H. winds at a possible landfall.... I really hope they will be OK.
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#30 Postby rainstorm » Mon Jun 28, 2004 4:39 pm

seems like they all become super typhoons!! wow
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#31 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 28, 2004 5:26 pm

Lets hope nothing will happen to Taipei 101, the tallest building right now in the world located in Taiwan's capital, Taipei. Right now China is building a new skyscraper that will take the place of Taipei 101 of being the tallest building in the world.
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#32 Postby Anonymous » Mon Jun 28, 2004 6:32 pm

I still am shocked Mindulle is forecast to get to 180 mph. It is rather close to land, it's eye is still not that well organized, and it just seems to reagged. I was very surprsied last night to see it jump from 80 mph to 135 mph.
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#33 Postby HurricaneBill » Mon Jun 28, 2004 9:19 pm

Thunder44 wrote:Probably one of the more easier names to pronounce out there. "Ting-ting" LOL


It's a pet name for Chinese girls I think.
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Mindulle forecasted to hit Taiwan as a Cat 5!

#34 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Mon Jun 28, 2004 11:35 pm

Winds of 160 mph with gusts to 190 mph!! This is going to be a big disaster unfortunately for Taiwan...
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#35 Postby bahamaswx » Tue Jun 29, 2004 4:21 am

Just because it's forecast doesn't mean it's going to happen :)

But yeah... a Taiwan hit as CAT4+ seems very likely.
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#36 Postby rainstorm » Tue Jun 29, 2004 5:36 am

i think it will weaken quite a bit, but we will see
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#37 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Tue Jun 29, 2004 6:31 am

Now the forecast is a very near miss of the island, but strengthening to 135 knots with gusts to 165 knots is still in the forecast!
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#38 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jun 29, 2004 6:35 am

Massive flooding and extensive damage from the winds from it as they will be at the east quadrant which is the strongest but hopefully it weakens a bit before it nears Taiwan.I pray for all the people who live there.
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#39 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Tue Jun 29, 2004 6:36 am

I will also offer up a little prayer as well!
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#40 Postby Derecho » Tue Jun 29, 2004 8:05 am

Thing is disingtigrating rapidly. The good ol' dry air it seems like. Eyewall utterly destroyed.


Always remarkable how quickly a storm can go in the toilet.
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