Chanthu Advisories

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FWBHurricane
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New Tropical Storm in west Pacific - named Chanthu

#1 Postby FWBHurricane » Fri Jun 11, 2004 4:27 am

This new storm developed after it crossed the Philippines and strengthened. moving WNW at 6mph. By tomorrow its suppost to be up to Typhoon strength heading for the coast of Vietnam. By that time it will quickly turn to the north heading for the coast of china, towards the City of Nanning in southwest China. She will be pretty strong, a minimal Category One Typhoon.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... 00408.html
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#2 Postby Matthew5 » Fri Jun 11, 2004 4:47 am

wow for a second there :eek: But yes that is the Western Pacific or china sea!
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West Pac. Tropical system............

#3 Postby Dave C » Fri Jun 11, 2004 7:34 am

Saturday I'll provide a link to a weather station on Vietnam coast(Da Nang) which may be directly hit by the storm in @48hrs. Currently it's having trouble intensifing in easterly shear but as it gains some northerly component to it's track the environment should improve per (Joint typhoon centers discussion) to allow intensifacation to typhoon strength.
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Chanthu reach TYPHOON status, Vietnam be ready!

#4 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jun 11, 2004 9:41 pm

WTPN32 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 08W (CHANTHU) WARNING NR 013
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 08W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z3 --- NEAR 13.9N3 111.7E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 111.7E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 14.4N9 109.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z4 --- 15.3N9 107.6E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z7 --- 16.0N7 106.5E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 17.0N8 106.0E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 17.9N7 105.7E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.0N5 111.2E5.
TYPHOON (TY) 08W (CHANTHU) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. BASED ON MODEL
CONSENSUS AND CURRENT FORECAST FOR SYSTEM TO REMAIN OVERLAND FOR
MORE THAN 36 HOURS, THE EXTENDED FORECAST POSITIONS FOR 96 AND
120 HOURS HAS BEEN REMOVED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
120000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2, 121500Z9, 122100Z6
AND 130300Z7.//


Image

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SANDY DELGADO
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here's a link.....

#5 Postby Dave C » Fri Jun 11, 2004 10:10 pm

The typhoon has tracked more westerly in last several hrs. which will bring it in south of Da Nang which is closest reporting station to landfall. The new JTC track takes it well south of that location. Here's a link to the station, maybe it will still get good winds being north of the center
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/VVDN.html
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#6 Postby SupertyphoonTip » Sat Jun 12, 2004 8:38 am

Looks like Typhoon Chanthu made landfall a couple of hours ago, and the pressures are beginning to rise on the coast. The typhoon hit not too far north of Quy Nhon, which did not report strong winds, and had a minimum pressure of 995 MB or so. Da Nang, to the north, reported a minimum pressure of 1005 MB and light winds, as seen by the link above. The strongest part of the storm, up to 75 knots, probably affected the areas in between.
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#7 Postby chadtm80 » Sat Jun 12, 2004 8:48 am

Image
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#8 Postby Cumulonimbus » Sat Jun 12, 2004 8:58 am

Thank you for the information. I just learned something...probably a little late in life but learned it none the less. I didn't realize that you could get observations from worldwide reporting stations, through the National Weather Service. I appreciate the help. I just never thought to try the NWS for the information.

Thanks

Alex
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News from Vietnam?

#9 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:32 pm

Has anyone heard anything out of Vietnam after Typhoon Chanthu?
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#10 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:33 pm

So far I've found this...


Ha Noi, June 11 (VNA) - A tropical low pressure has developed into a typhoon heading to the coast of central Viet Nam.

The storm, named Chanthu, is the second typhoon in the East Sea and the fifth in the Western Pacific region this year, according to the central hydro-meteorological bureau.

This morning the typhoon is located at 12.4 degrees northern latitude and 116.2 degrees eastern longitude, 880 km southeast of central Viet Nam. It is packing strong winds of 62-88 km per hour.

It is forecast to intensify in next 24 hours, heading in a west-northern west direction with a speed of 15 km per hour. The winds will be gusting up to 90 km per hour at its centre around Truong Sa (Spratly) islands late Friday.-Enditem

http://www.vnagency.com.vn/NewsA.asp?LA ... _ID=103837
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Typhoon kills seven in Vietnam, seven remain missing

#11 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jun 14, 2004 7:21 am

HANOI, Vietnam (AP) - Typhoon Chanthu killed seven people and left seven more missing when it swept through central Vietnam over the weekend, officials said Monday.

Five fishermen were killed when their boat sank Saturday off the coast of Binh Dinh province, some 1,050 kilometers (650 miles) south of Hanoi, said an official from the provincial floods and storms control bureau, who identified himself only as Tuan.

Another man, who was washing his feet in a river, drowned after being sucked in by the strong current. A sixth fisherman was killed when strong winds forced two fishing boats against the dock, crushing him between them, he said.

The typhoon also injured five people and destroyed or damaged more than 180 houses in the province.

In neighboring Danang and Quang Ngai province, seven fishermen were reported missing, officials there said.

No damage estimates were available.

The National Center for Meteorology said the typhoon, which formed in the South China Sea, hit central Vietnam on Saturday afternoon and died down that night.

Vietnam is prone to typhoons and floods, which kill hundreds of people each year.

http://thestaronline.com/news/story.asp ... sec=latest
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