ATL: DON - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon

#141 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2017 10:58 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#142 Postby chaser1 » Mon Jul 17, 2017 10:59 am

Airboy wrote:
floridasun78 wrote:
chaser1 wrote:
I'm inclined to guess that recon will get scrubbed for the mission but perhaps remain on standby for the following day.

still going out what i hearing


The mission have started and they are in the air


.... ya never know, they might have just been hungry and one of 'em offer up the idea of a Checker's Run - "I'll fly if you buy" :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon

#143 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2017 11:25 am

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#144 Postby Nimbus » Mon Jul 17, 2017 11:49 am

Aric Dunn wrote:next image may show another burst of convection over that swirl. cloud deck definitely thickened.

or its the suns reflections lol


Budget cuts have mandated a bandwidth reduction for the floaters but the C130 is flying!
Recon probably could find west winds after that last little burst.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#145 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 17, 2017 11:56 am

when you have strong high to north that will make tropical wave fast to west
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#146 Postby floridasun78 » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:00 pm

Nimbus wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:next image may show another burst of convection over that swirl. cloud deck definitely thickened.

or its the suns reflections lol


Budget cuts have mandated a bandwidth reduction for the floaters but the C130 is flying!
Recon probably could find west winds after that last little burst.

http://hurricanecity.com/recon/recon.cg ... ing=cesium
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#147 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:00 pm

Looking at the latest satellite visible and IR I am not to impressed with 95 L. Seems to have lost most of the heavy cells, I would imagine it will continue to pulse until later this evening and blow up again.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#148 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:20 pm

Looking at close up visible from goes 16 https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and02.html. you can cleary see the circ for a brief moment before the convection builds back over it. It jogged to nw briefly leaving the MLC slightly to ese. Looks well defined just very compact. Recon should find a TD.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#149 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:38 pm

about 30 more min for recon to arrive and soon we will know.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#150 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:38 pm

:uarrow: Convection firing up again near that possible LLC, talk about the perfect time that the recon will fly into, could very well be a TD, IMO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#151 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:41 pm

An area of low pressure located about 525 miles east-southeast of
Barbados is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph. The associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization
since this morning and the system still appears to lack a
well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for
some development before the system reaches the Lesser Antilles late
Tuesday or early Wednesday. After that time, less favorable
upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional development.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser Antilles
beginning Tuesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
currently en route to investigate the disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon

#152 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:48 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#153 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:50 pm

from satellite. Here is likely where they will find the llc.... give or take a few 10th of a degree 11.06° N 52.15°W
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#154 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:55 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:from satellite. Here is likely where they will find the llc.... give or take a few 10th of a degree 11.06° N 52.15°W


I agree with your estimated location.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#155 Postby MGC » Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:01 pm

95L is looking better by the hour...lets see what recon finds......MGC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#156 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:04 pm

Next couple of sets will tell us what is happening. Pressure field is not too bad so far pretty small though
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon

#157 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:05 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#158 Postby GCANE » Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:17 pm

NDG wrote::uarrow: Convection firing up again near that possible LLC, talk about the perfect time that the recon will fly into, could very well be a TD, IMO.


Its cranking up
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#159 Postby GCANE » Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:18 pm

Cloud tops getting colder and they are Cumulus Nimbus
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

#160 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 17, 2017 1:21 pm

95L is looking really good, I wouldn't be surprised if recon finds a TD
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