ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SFLcane]

not even bets it fizzles..

[canes04]

Keep an eye on the southern vort as it pulls away from land. In-flow is improving as we speak..

As they say it's better in the Bahamas

[NotSparta]

Okay Florida folks (though anyone feel free to chime in lol). OVER/UNDER guess for rainfall hitting 6.5" at any NWS reporting location from Stuart to Hollywood for this "92L Event"?

My vote is for "over"

im going over but it starts tonight at midnight and lasts until friday midnight

Seems reasonable.... then again, might this mess somehow stick around beyond midnight Friday?? Sure would seem doubtful but then again, it seems there's not to great a handle on how this all plays out.

Isn't it supposed to stall for a few days?

[jlauderdal]

im going over but it starts tonight at midnight and lasts until friday midnight

Seems reasonable.... then again, might this mess somehow stick around beyond midnight Friday?? Sure would seem doubtful but then again, it seems there's not to great a handle on how this all plays out.

Isn't it supposed to stall for a few days?

Yes..thats why im going over

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[sma10]

So amazingly cool to watch the moon's shadow streaking eastwards on the satellite photos

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[HURRICANELONNY]

Now that 's cool

[cycloneye]

MIssions are planned starting on Tuesday but if needed.

Code: Select all

SUSPECT AREA (IN THE BAHAMAS)
       FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 75         FLIGHT TWO -- NOAA 42
       A. 22/1130Z                   A. 22/2330Z
       B  AFXXX 01DDA INVEST         B. NOAA2 0210A CYCLONE
       C. 22/0745Z                   C. 22/2200Z
       D. 26.0N 79.0W                D. 27.0N 80.0W
       E. 22/1100Z TO 22/1430Z       E. 22/2300Z TO 23/0230Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT           F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

       FLIGHT THREE -- TEAL 72
       A. 23/1130Z                   D. 27.5N 80.2W
       B. AFXXX 0310A CYCLONE        E. 23/1100Z T0 23/1430Z
       C. 23/0815Z                   F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[OuterBanker]

Just relaized that the latest visible sat pic the loop got dark. Then I realized that it was the eclipse that caused it, not darkness falling. Neat.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[cycloneye]

On Wednesday morning the first mission in BOC but on Tuesday the Gulfstream jet will be up.

Code: Select all

EMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
       FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 49         FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
       A. 23/0000Z                   A. 23/1200Z
       B  NOAA9 0609A HARVEY         B. AFXXX 0709A HARVEY
       C. 22/1730Z                   C. 23/0900Z
       D. NA                         D. 20.0N 92.0W
       E. NA                         E. 23/1130Z TO 23/1430Z
       F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT        F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
       
       OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
       A. 6-HRLY FIXES ON HARVEY IF SYSTEM REGENERATES.
       
       

[SouthFLTropics]

Go take a look at the full North America visible. It's pretty cool to see the satellite image go dark from West to East.

And if anyone hasn't been paying attention, go have a look at the Euro and see what it does with 92L and more importantly Harvey...

[TheStormExpert]

Man! Florida lucked out once again with 92L, had it not been for the relentless SAL and dry-air, and shear form those TUTT's and ULL's we would have likely been talking at least a minimal hurricane threat to Florida or even further up the U.S. East Coast this week. It seems that it is turning into more of a good luck thing for Florida and the rest of the U.S. to go so long with very few and in between hurricane impacts of significant major strength. It's now been 4,319 days since Major Hurricane Wilma came roaring ashore SW Florida early on October 24th, 2005. That is a long staggering period that will likely end sooner rather than later I'd think so be prepared!

[Frank P]

Go take a look at the full North America visible. It's pretty cool to see the satellite image go dark from West to East.

And if anyone hasn't been paying attention, go have a look at the Euro and see what it does with 92L and more importantly Harvey...

On a related note here is a photo of the eclipse taken in Biloxi around 1:21 pm... mods if you want to relocate this to another forum OK by me..best I could do without a special filter and blindly shooting as fast as I could...

[Emmett_Brown]

The southern vort in SE Bahamas is gaining a bit of convection again. It's pretty small in size... interested to know if the circulation is making it to the surface.

[SFLcane]

Poof...

[CFLHurricane]

Poof...

Yup. The elongated TPW presentation doesn't look like anything that's spinning up any time soon. Or ever.

However, I do think it does show our TUTT nightmare will be taking a hiatus soon.

[Frank2]

It really is - the eddy at the southern end of the wave since yesterday was squashed this afternoon by a strong easterly surge:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

[painkillerr]

If anything that piece of energy will keep this from consolidating similarly to the two vortices of Hermine last year as it passed Puerto Rico. Except 92L will be over Florida by the time it attempts consolidation instead of being over warm water.

When is it expected to reach the Florida coast?

TONIGHT AND TUESDAY: THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE (92L) IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD MARCH TODAY, REACHING THE NW BAHAMAS THIS
EVENING AND MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON TUESDAY. THIS WAVE
APPEARS TO BE SLOWER-MOVING, AND IT WILL BEGIN INTERACTING WITH THE
TROUGH/FRONTAL AXIS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN US, AND LIKELY STALL
OVER OR NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA.

Thanks!

[HURRICANELONNY]

I'm kind of wondering why they even call it 92l. I think it was an invest for so long they don't know what else to call it.

[Frank P]

its about as pitiful looking invest on satellite that I think I have seen in a long time.... the little wanna be invest that just couldn't pull the trigger...

[Blown Away]

The NHC 8pm update has track arrow pointing towards Jacksonville and most models go into Miami...