ATL: ISAIAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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tiger_deF
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5421 Postby tiger_deF » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:05 pm

The interactions that Isaias will have with the trof and the baroclinic forces are going to be very interesting and may potentially help it maintain some strength over land
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5422 Postby emeraldislenc » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:09 pm

Wind and rain really have picked up at Emerald Isle
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5423 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:09 pm

Landfall? Between North Myrtle Beach and Sunset Beach.
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Global model run times (CST):
GFS - 0z: 10:30pm, 6z: 4:30am, 12z: 10:30am, 18z: 4:30pm Euro - 0z: 12:30am 12z: 12:30pm
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5424 Postby Okibeach » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:09 pm

sikkar wrote:http://www.surfchex.com/cams/oak-island-north-carolina/

intense

Wow, definitely gone downhill quick here. Oak Island only had
voluntary evacuation. Betting some are regretting not leaving right now.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5425 Postby emeraldislenc » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:11 pm

I bet it has to be bad their
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5426 Postby Portastorm » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:13 pm

Texting with my brother whose in Sunset Beach. Around 10 pm (Eastern) he said the house was shaking a bit and it was feeling “spooky.” Water in the sound over the road from the island has cut them off from the mainland.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5427 Postby Hammy » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:13 pm

Plane's still going SW--are we not getting another pass through the stronger eastern eyewall before landfall?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5428 Postby NDG » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:15 pm

Incredible strengthening tonight, wow! Great job by those that predicted yesterday.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5429 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:15 pm

Radar velocities indicate sustained hurricane force winds are now onshore.
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Global model run times (CST):
GFS - 0z: 10:30pm, 6z: 4:30am, 12z: 10:30am, 18z: 4:30pm Euro - 0z: 12:30am 12z: 12:30pm
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5430 Postby psyclone » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:19 pm

I kind of expected this thing to crank into a high end cat 1 last night and it appears that's exactly what has happened.. Wishing everyone up there nothing but the best. Hang on and find solace in the fact this storm is on the move..
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5431 Postby Hurricane Mike » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:20 pm

If I were the NHC, I'd go with 100 mph Cat 2 at 11pm. Those FLW are too strong. 117 kts at flight-level? Come on.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5432 Postby wx98 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:22 pm

Hurricane Mike wrote:If I were the NHC, I'd go with 100 mph Cat 2 at 11pm. Those FLW are too strong. 117 kts at flight-level? Come on.

SFMR doesn’t support that. Someone mentioned earlier that the standard FL reduction may not apply here.
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5433 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:26 pm

Radar indicated 138 mph winds 500 feet above the surface near Holden Beach. Embedded tornado?
Last edited by FLpanhandle91 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Global model run times (CST):
GFS - 0z: 10:30pm, 6z: 4:30am, 12z: 10:30am, 18z: 4:30pm Euro - 0z: 12:30am 12z: 12:30pm
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5434 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:27 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5435 Postby wx98 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:28 pm

Bald Head, Oak Island, and Holden Beach are getting hammered right now
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5436 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:29 pm

HurricaneTrack's (Mark Sudduth) weather station measuring some insane winds

Ocean Isle beach

126.8 mph
167 mph gusts
987.76mb
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5437 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:32 pm

tolakram wrote:HurricaneTrack's (Mark Sudduth) weather station measuring some insane winds

Ocean Isle beach

126.8 mph
167 mph gusts
987.76mb


That's got to be off, right? 167 mph?
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5438 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:35 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5439 Postby ava_ati » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:35 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:
tolakram wrote:HurricaneTrack's (Mark Sudduth) weather station measuring some insane winds

Ocean Isle beach

126.8 mph
167 mph gusts
987.76mb


That's got to be off, right? 167 mph?


Yeah, that is a bit hard to believe
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Re: ATL: ISAIAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#5440 Postby Cataegis96 » Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:35 pm

tolakram wrote:HurricaneTrack's (Mark Sudduth) weather station measuring some insane winds

Ocean Isle beach

126.8 mph
167 mph gusts
987.76mb


How reliable is his instrumentation...? This seems way overdone.
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