ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

[3090]

Not what you want to see. Eyewall in the low levels seems to be closed and perfectly symmetrical

Perfect looking donut. You are right. NOT what you want to see. Still a good amount of time to intensify. A high end CAT 1 is not out of the question, or mid level CAT 2.

[Kazmit]

https://i.imgur.com/A2I5uNX.gif

Definitely ramping up now. Strange that the pressure rose, apparently.

[3090]

https://i.imgur.com/A2I5uNX.gif

Interesting to see the core bleed off all of the moisture from the feeder bands and attempting to consolidate all of the energy.

[Stormgodess]

How accurate has this IBM/Graff model been??? Its showing Zeta still packing 120mph wind gusts in Gulfport 3hrs after landfall , and 90mph gusts in Mobile at 9pm 4hrs after landfall?

[slamdaddy]

How accurate has this IBM/Graff model been??? Its showing Zeta still packing 120mph wind gusts in Gulfport 3hrs after landfall , and 90mph gusts in Mobile at 9pm 4hrs after landfall?


https://i.postimg.cc/jjM9Z2RL/zeta2.png

https://i.postimg.cc/26BwhSyp/zeta7p.png

https://i.postimg.cc/1tx6xcmT/zeta-3.png

bad intel perhaps ?

[ColdMiser123]

How accurate has this IBM/Graff model been??? Its showing Zeta still packing 120mph wind gusts in Gulfport 3hrs after landfall , and 90mph gusts in Mobile at 9pm 4hrs after landfall?


https://i.postimg.cc/jjM9Z2RL/zeta2.png

https://i.postimg.cc/26BwhSyp/zeta7p.png

https://i.postimg.cc/1tx6xcmT/zeta-3.png

It shows more deepening than most guidance, hence the higher wind gusts. Shows 962 at landfall.

[tiger_deF]

Dual hot towers are firing to the East and West of the warm core feature at the center of Zeta. Likely indicative of strengthening.


While the waters get colder, I would not discount the ideal upper level conditions. Baroclinic forcing and ventilation will likely allow it to strengthen and maintain intensity even in suboptimal conditions

[ElectricStorm]

Looks like it's really ramping up now on IR Has a chance to make a run for Cat 2 before landfall

[shiny-pebble]

New hot towers firing in the NE quad should close the eyewall off if not already closed. When does the next plane go in? I doubt this is still a tropical storm.

[ElectricStorm]

This should be upgraded at the next advisory the way it's looking now

[Hypercane_Kyle]

AF309 enroute to Zeta.

My guess is they'll find a hurricane.

[ElectricStorm]

AF309 enroute to Zeta.

My guess is they'll find a hurricane.

I think that's the one that stopped transmitting a few hours ago. Are they sending it out again?

[SconnieCane]

Really is fascinating watching the evolution of Zeta on an IR loop today as that great big spiral band gradually shrinks and the previously anemic CDO fires back up.

[underthwx]

AF309 enroute to Zeta.

My guess is they'll find a hurricane.

Hey Kyle...may I ask you....what is AF309?...

[Hypercane_Kyle]

AF309 enroute to Zeta.

My guess is they'll find a hurricane.

I think that's the one that stopped transmitting a few hours ago. Are they sending it out again?

Yeah, you're right. Stopped transmitting at 21:39 UTC.

[ElectricStorm]

AF309 enroute to Zeta.

My guess is they'll find a hurricane.

Hey Kyle...may I ask you....what is AF309?...

It's the Air Force recon mission. They are always AF30X format

[hipshot]

AF309 enroute to Zeta.

My guess is they'll find a hurricane.

Hey Kyle...may I ask you....what is AF309?...

I think it is a modified C130 for hurricane hunting and is Air Force (AF). The other are Navy P3's and some other higher altitude
recon aircraft.

[ColdMiser123]

Multiple rotating hot towers now present around the center of circulation, I would be shocked if this was not intensifying at this point.

[MississippiWx]

Multiple rotating hot towers now present around the center of circulation, I would be shocked if this was not intensifying at this point.

The structure of Zeta is excellent. Upper level winds are very conducive for strengthening. If these hot towers keep building, watch out.