ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2444
- Age: 33
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Palm Beach County FL
ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like Pressure is continuing to drop, waiting for drop to confirm.
HWRF and most global models had it continue to intensify until landfall so this is well in line with that. Question is if it will reach the 85 kts winds HWRF predicts.
HWRF and most global models had it continue to intensify until landfall so this is well in line with that. Question is if it will reach the 85 kts winds HWRF predicts.
Last edited by skyline385 on Wed Oct 28, 2020 8:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8911
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
AF307 Extrapolated pressure has bottomed at 975.3 MB
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8911
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:Kazmit wrote:3090 wrote:
Flight level. Around 80kts at the surface.
SFMR saying 65-70 kts at the surface. That 90kt FL wind was a very sharp/short spike in a heavy squall. Average FL winds 65-75 kts. Doesn't look as impressive on satellite as it did a couple hours ago. May have peaked. Shear will be increasing now.
The 90 knots has been somewhat consistant for several minutes at the NE eyewall area.
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- skyline385
- Category 5
- Posts: 2444
- Age: 33
- Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
- Location: Palm Beach County FL
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:wxman57 wrote:Kazmit wrote:Flight level. Around 80kts at the surface.
SFMR saying 65-70 kts at the surface. That 90kt FL wind was a very sharp/short spike in a heavy squall. Average FL winds 65-75 kts. Doesn't look as impressive on satellite as it did a couple hours ago. May have peaked. Shear will be increasing now.
The 90 knots has been somewhat consistant for several minutes at the NE eyewall area.
Just to add to this, the NE Eyewall has consistently been the side with the strongest winds. Here is a drop from almost 5 hours back.
0 likes
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:Kazmit wrote:3090 wrote:
Flight level. Around 80kts at the surface.
SFMR saying 65-70 kts at the surface. That 90kt FL wind was a very sharp/short spike in a heavy squall. Average FL winds 65-75 kts. Doesn't look as impressive on satellite as it did a couple hours ago. May have peaked. Shear will be increasing now.
The winds spiked as they entered the eyewall, which isn't what most would call a 'heavy squall'. The same HDOB also had an 87, 89, and 87kt FL wind, so it's not like 91kt is a solitary outlier. SFMR did peak at 70kt.
5 likes
Kendall -> SLO -> PBC
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Waiting here in Biloxi. Zeta is going to blast through here like a giant weed eater. We’ll be in the clear by midnight and clear, cool, skies by the early AM. Got too many pines on the property so we’ll have to bug out about 3pm. Crazy weather, and I thought the MS Coast had dodged all the bullets of 2020. At least it’s moving fast. I hate hurricanes at night (Camille survivor).
8 likes
Amateur Radio Extra Class licensee / SkyWarn Certified
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
That's a pretty nasty ass tower zipping east to west.
Could allow for winds to increase all the way to landfall.
Could allow for winds to increase all the way to landfall.
0 likes
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
VDM
977mb
Closed circular eye 24nm wide
At least it won't go pin hole
977mb
Closed circular eye 24nm wide
At least it won't go pin hole
1 likes
- HurricaneEnzo
- Category 2
- Posts: 723
- Joined: Wed Mar 14, 2018 12:18 pm
- Location: Newport, NC (Hurricane Alley)
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
I would say it is still strengthening. CDO is becoming much more symmetrical than it was earlier.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir
0 likes
Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Rocketman wrote:Waiting here in Biloxi. Zeta is going to blast through here like a giant weed eater. We’ll be in the clear by midnight and clear, cool, skies by the early AM. Got too many pines on the property so we’ll have to bug out about 3pm. Crazy weather, and I thought the MS Coast had dodged all the bullets of 2020. At least it’s moving fast. I hate hurricanes at night (Camille survivor).
Looks to be an afternoon landfall here which is pretty rare - at least anecdotally. Hoping for the best for those trees and your home.
3 likes
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Rocketman wrote:Waiting here in Biloxi. Zeta is going to blast through here like a giant weed eater. We’ll be in the clear by midnight and clear, cool, skies by the early AM. Got too many pines on the property so we’ll have to bug out about 3pm. Crazy weather, and I thought the MS Coast had dodged all the bullets of 2020. At least it’s moving fast. I hate hurricanes at night (Camille survivor).
I live in Biloxi. When I built my home,the first thing I did was cut down every pine tree that could have fallen on the house during a storm. it doesn't take a strong hurricane to bring those down.
3 likes
-
- Category 1
- Posts: 330
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 5:21 pm
- Location: New Orleans
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
A complete rap around with a cleared out eye may be in progress? Zeta may still be strengthening? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=r ... =undefined
2 likes
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
facemane wrote:Rocketman wrote:Waiting here in Biloxi. Zeta is going to blast through here like a giant weed eater. We’ll be in the clear by midnight and clear, cool, skies by the early AM. Got too many pines on the property so we’ll have to bug out about 3pm. Crazy weather, and I thought the MS Coast had dodged all the bullets of 2020. At least it’s moving fast. I hate hurricanes at night (Camille survivor).
I live in Biloxi. When I built my home,the first thing I did was cut down every pine tree that could have fallen on the house during a storm. it doesn't take a strong hurricane to bring those down.
I hear ya. I bought the lot behind me after Katrina just to clear the pines off it. After taking a couple on my house over the years, got tired of it.
5 likes
- Kazmit
- Category 5
- Posts: 1915
- Age: 21
- Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
- Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
8 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
CDO is looking better, and some hot towers are firing on the shallower side of the eyewall. AF307 just recorded a drop in extrapolated pressures to 974 mbar.
6 likes
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Stormgodess wrote:xironman wrote:Looking at the GFS, Zeta goes from New Orleans to Richmond VA in 18hrs, about as fast as you can drive it.
Saw a wind gust forecast for Alabama with it still packing 60mph gust as it leaves the Northeast corner of the state, early Thurs morning
About what time will TS winds arrive in Atlanta today?
0 likes
NE of Houston
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8911
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:CDO is looking better, and some hot towers are firing on the shallower side of the eyewall. AF307 just recorded a drop in extrapolated pressures to 974 mbar.
Dropsone #22 has recorded the lowest pressure of 977 MB
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- ScottNAtlanta
- Category 5
- Posts: 1998
- Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
- Location: Atlanta, GA
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
mpic wrote:Stormgodess wrote:xironman wrote:Looking at the GFS, Zeta goes from New Orleans to Richmond VA in 18hrs, about as fast as you can drive it.
Saw a wind gust forecast for Alabama with it still packing 60mph gust as it leaves the Northeast corner of the state, early Thurs morning
About what time will TS winds arrive in Atlanta today?
Sometime early tomorrow around 4 to 8am
Last edited by ScottNAtlanta on Wed Oct 28, 2020 9:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
3 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Lowest pressure I can find from Slidell NWS is 29.82 in Galliano down the bayou in south Lafourch Parish which is just about 40 miles NNW of Grand Isle up LA Highway 1. This is something to start watching around 12/1pm as we should know where the center is exactly coming in and what those downstream implications are for NO over to the Panhandle.
3 likes
Re: ATL: ZETA - Hurricane - Discussion
mpic wrote:Stormgodess wrote:xironman wrote:Looking at the GFS, Zeta goes from New Orleans to Richmond VA in 18hrs, about as fast as you can drive it.
Saw a wind gust forecast for Alabama with it still packing 60mph gust as it leaves the Northeast corner of the state, early Thurs morning
About what time will TS winds arrive in Atlanta today?
3 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 57 guests