ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[chaser1]

Mannnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn, this sure does look like a category 5 hurricane to me. How much better looking can something like this possibly get?

Sure is pretty damn impressive (and foreboding) looking. The eye appears larger then 25 miles wide to me but I'm sure it's been properly recorded. It's one thing for a relatively small hurricane to rapidly intensify but is altogether harder for a significantly broader hurricane such as Laura to have done like she did.

[northjaxpro]

Does anyone have a fix/guess on the time of landfall yet?

Sometime in the early wee hours of tomorrow morning around 1:00 - 3:00 a.m. Central time for landfall would be my best estimate.

Hate night landfalling hurricanes increases the hazzard risk. if things are not bad enough with Laura

Yeah everything that could go bad is seemingly happening with this monster right now that is for certain unfortunately!

[dantonlsu]

Nice W wobble coming in

[TallyTracker]

Does anyone have a fix/guess on the time of landfall yet?

Sometime in the early wee hours of tomortow morning around 1:00 - 3:00 a.m. Central time for landfall would be my best estimate.

Hate night landfalling hurricanes increases the hazzard risk. if things are not bad enough with Laura

That was the one saving grace with Michael. It hit during the afternoon.

[KWT]

lol a W ring.

https://i.imgur.com/07M5Szq.jpg

Almost fully filled the ring. I have no doubt that this will achieve Cat 5 statius before landfall.

Yep pretty much there, radar also showing its nearly got that classic cat-5 eyewall that we saw with Michael when it made that final push.

Lots of lightning still popping off, got to think this may well be the push it needs to get close to or over the cat-5 boundary.

[SunnyThoughts]

Sometime in the early wee hours of tomortow morning around 1:00 - 3:00 a.m. Central time for landfall would be my best estimate.

Hate night landfalling hurricanes increases the hazzard risk. if things are not bad enough with Laura

That was the one saving grace with Michael. It hit during the afternoon.

If Laura were to slow down, even just a smidge..might be daybreak before eyewall comes ashore. We will see. Rough weather ahead of that though for sure.

[Hurricane Mike]

Video Update on Laura
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j75LCZaVKn0

[Steve]

IR satellite still shows some asymmetries within the eye, so there is still room for intensification with any more combining mesoscale vortices.

That visible though...

[BRweather]

Nice W wobble coming in

There is no wobble occurring right now. Probably an illusion with sun setting and a shadow is appearing on the western eyewall

[Hurrilurker]

Probably only 1 more recon pass before landfall, might miss the lowest pressure/highest winds.

[Beef Stew]

 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1298732117338324992

[wkwally]

Sometime in the early wee hours of tomorrow morning around 1:00 - 3:00 a.m. Central time for landfall would be my best estimate.

Hate night landfalling hurricanes increases the hazzard risk. if things are not bad enough with Laura

Yeah everything that could go bad is seemingly happening with this monster right now that is for certain unfortunately!

And 2020 just keeps steamrolling along

[Steve]

https://i.imgur.com/iIt79Nd.png

Looks to still be throwing gravity waves. wt*?

[Hammy]

Probably only 1 more recon pass before landfall, might miss the lowest pressure/highest winds.

I think they're flying nonstop in this sort of situation, right up to landfall. There's another plane going in as the current one leaves.

[Kazmit]

Probably only 1 more recon pass before landfall, might miss the lowest pressure/highest winds.

Why? Recon is already en route and it still has ~8 hrs until landfall.

[MetroMike]

Getting a Cat 5 right now does not make a whole lots of difference ATM.
Deadly and will change the landscape of areas hit forever.

[supercane4867]

Starting to get some Katrina vibes

[KWT]

Probably only 1 more recon pass before landfall, might miss the lowest pressure/highest winds.

Why? Recon is already en route and it still has ~8 hrs until landfall.

Yeah and AF will be sending another one in fairly soon as well so we will have two flights in the system within the next couple of hours, which is probably the best shot we have at a 5 before the risks of shear start to increase.

As others have said though, not going to be huge differences between 150 and 160 at this point.

[St0rmTh0r]

IR satellite still shows some asymmetries within the eye, so there is still room for intensification with any more combining mesoscale vortices.

That visible though...
https://i.imgur.com/q0j3myG.jpg

Yea this is really feeding off those deep warm waters near 90 degrees! And what is going on in the nw Caribbean? Lots of thunderstorm activity down there!

[tiger_deF]

Starting to get some Katrina vibes

https://i.imgur.com/DhtXN4w.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/hhO9Nbv.jpg

We've really come a long way in imagery technology