ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLAUDETTE (04L)

[clfenwi]

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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2009, DB, O, 2009081600, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912009
AL, 91, 2009081600, , BEST, 0, 260N, 830W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

[KWT]

Yep I was expecting this to come along soon, I bet this one pulls a fast one on us, right from under our nose!

[Aric Dunn]

yep ... people should go read the old thread .. to see whats been going on .. thread is gulf development..

[Aric Dunn]

it is quickly organizing... tampa radar is telling the tale..

maybe another humberto ... lol
I would put money on TD 4 in the morning.. as the trend continues and seems to be picking up a little pace..

[KWT]

Well the Gulf is boiling right now so its certainly something that needs to be watched, conditions don't seem too bad right now?

[hurricanefloyd5]

it is quickly organizing... tampa radar is telling the tale..

maybe another humberto ... lol
I would put money on TD 4 in the morning.. as the trend continues and seems to be picking up a little pace..

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

Severe weather possible tomorrow for central florida aric?????

[Aric Dunn]

Well the Gulf is boiling right now so its certainly something that needs to be watched, conditions don't seem too bad right now?

everything is going for it.. .

upper high center on it .. increasing low level convergence.. like you said extremely warm sst's plenty of moisture..... i cannot find one inhibitor at the moment..

[clfenwi]

15/2345 UTC 25.7N 82.9W T1.0/1.0 INVEST -- Atlantic

[dixiebreeze]

That's MUCH too close for comfort, like about 3 hours from us.

[jlauderdal]

Well the Gulf is boiling right now so its certainly something that needs to be watched, conditions don't seem too bad right now?

everything is going for it.. .

upper high center on it .. increasing low level convergence.. like you said extremely warm sst's plenty of moisture..... i cannot find one inhibitor at the moment..

plenty of activity the last 6 hours in my area and still raining, its been impressive for not even an invest up tho this point, it will run out of real estate before it can do much but what a turnaround by the tropics in a week, the walking dead can even come alive sometimes

[KWT]

Hmmm that does seem to have rotation, this could well pull a surprise on us from the looks of things...

[Nederlander]

We may have another humberto on our hands.. I got a direct hit from him.. Went to bed as a td and woke up to a cat 1 going right through us.

I'd like to get a pro mets perspective on this development

[tolakram]

RAMSDIS NWS Radar Floater
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ar_floater



Shortwave loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/flash-ir2.html

Some nearby buoys (that are working):


http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42013


http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

[tolakram]

Here's the Tampa radar loop showing the mid level circulation:

[rrm]

which way is it moving?

[Frank P]

looks off to the NW to me.. or perhaps NW to NNW... hard to tell

[Aric Dunn]

I made a close up radar up the area.. From GR level 3

[hurricanefloyd5]

looks to be moving nw/nnw am I right anyone????

possible severe weather for florida tomorrow if this is forming into a TD#4 right?!!!!

[Javlin]

The middle radar(ramidis) Tolkram looks like were I think the center is tring to form at 26N and 83.5W tuuf to tell though just looks more wrapping there.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-ir4.html

[Recurve]

Floater is on it

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-avn.html