ATL: BRET - Remnants - Discussion
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
PLenty of TS winds from recon.. all it needs is that west wind...
1 likes
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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weathaguyry
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- Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
164800 1026N 05814W 5190 05578 0286 -048 -052 095034 036 038 000 00
164830 1024N 05813W 5350 05348 0272 -028 -049 097037 039 037 000 00
164900 1022N 05813W 5515 05096 0080 -013 -034 105039 041 037 000 00
164930 1020N 05813W 5688 04856 0091 -004 -022 102041 042 039 002 00
165000 1018N 05813W 5857 04617 0094 +008 -009 102038 039 038 004 03
165030 1016N 05812W 5976 04455 0090 +021 -011 097039 039 039 000 00
165100 1014N 05811W 6112 04275 0091 +034 -004 099038 039 038 000 00
165130 1012N 05810W 6267 04073 0103 +042 +004 106037 039 036 000 00
165200 1011N 05810W 6457 03830 0100 +058 +011 106035 036 035 000 00
165230 1009N 05809W 6654 03565 0098 +069 +018 104034 036 033 000 00
165300 1007N 05808W 6849 03327 0107 +074 +036 105032 033 034 000 00
165330 1005N 05808W 7048 03099 0112 +085 +040 104034 035 034 000 00
165400 1004N 05807W 7253 02859 0117 +095 +063 107035 036 034 000 03
165430 1002N 05807W 7443 02645 0119 +108 +065 106033 035 034 003 00
165500 1000N 05807W 7695 02366 0122 +120 +077 104033 035 041 005 00
165530 0958N 05806W 7884 02153 0132 +119 //// 097033 038 049 014 01
165600 0957N 05806W 8080 01947 0153 +117 +117 123036 041 048 018 00
165630 0955N 05805W 8298 01723 0129 +142 +127 117040 041 040 010 00
165700 0954N 05805W 8565 01454 0127 +160 +139 116037 041 038 003 00
165730 0952N 05804W 8838 01184 0129 +166 +156 118035 037 037 004 00
164830 1024N 05813W 5350 05348 0272 -028 -049 097037 039 037 000 00
164900 1022N 05813W 5515 05096 0080 -013 -034 105039 041 037 000 00
164930 1020N 05813W 5688 04856 0091 -004 -022 102041 042 039 002 00
165000 1018N 05813W 5857 04617 0094 +008 -009 102038 039 038 004 03
165030 1016N 05812W 5976 04455 0090 +021 -011 097039 039 039 000 00
165100 1014N 05811W 6112 04275 0091 +034 -004 099038 039 038 000 00
165130 1012N 05810W 6267 04073 0103 +042 +004 106037 039 036 000 00
165200 1011N 05810W 6457 03830 0100 +058 +011 106035 036 035 000 00
165230 1009N 05809W 6654 03565 0098 +069 +018 104034 036 033 000 00
165300 1007N 05808W 6849 03327 0107 +074 +036 105032 033 034 000 00
165330 1005N 05808W 7048 03099 0112 +085 +040 104034 035 034 000 00
165400 1004N 05807W 7253 02859 0117 +095 +063 107035 036 034 000 03
165430 1002N 05807W 7443 02645 0119 +108 +065 106033 035 034 003 00
165500 1000N 05807W 7695 02366 0122 +120 +077 104033 035 041 005 00
165530 0958N 05806W 7884 02153 0132 +119 //// 097033 038 049 014 01
165600 0957N 05806W 8080 01947 0153 +117 +117 123036 041 048 018 00
165630 0955N 05805W 8298 01723 0129 +142 +127 117040 041 040 010 00
165700 0954N 05805W 8565 01454 0127 +160 +139 116037 041 038 003 00
165730 0952N 05804W 8838 01184 0129 +166 +156 118035 037 037 004 00
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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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1900hurricane
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
Plane is descending.
1 likes
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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weathaguyry
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- Age: 20
- Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
- Location: Long Island, NY
Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
165800 0951N 05804W 9115 00920 0127 +185 +172 116034 035 035 005 00
165830 0949N 05804W 9407 00646 0124 +201 +187 113032 034 033 004 03
165900 0948N 05803W 9613 00451 0117 +212 +199 116030 032 036 001 00
165930 0947N 05803W 9668 00395 0113 +216 +210 118030 031 036 003 03
170000 0945N 05802W 9759 00307 0109 +221 +218 123028 030 035 003 01
170030 0944N 05802W 9773 00294 //// +224 //// 122029 030 035 001 01
170100 0943N 05802W 9771 00296 //// +224 //// 121029 030 033 001 01
170130 0941N 05801W 9771 00297 0108 +224 +218 120028 029 036 000 00
170200 0940N 05801W 9769 00299 0108 +226 +214 119030 032 034 001 03
170230 0939N 05801W 9772 00296 //// +221 //// 120030 030 034 001 01
170300 0937N 05800W 9771 00296 0109 +220 //// 121029 030 035 002 01
170330 0936N 05800W 9772 00294 //// +219 //// 125031 032 035 001 05
170400 0935N 05759W 9771 00294 //// +221 //// 126030 032 035 004 01
170430 0934N 05758W 9771 00294 0106 +222 +222 125028 030 033 005 00
170500 0933N 05757W 9773 00293 //// +223 //// 125025 026 037 002 01
170530 0932N 05756W 9771 00296 0107 +225 +224 125026 027 036 001 01
170600 0931N 05755W 9772 00294 0107 +225 +219 126029 029 036 001 00
170630 0930N 05754W 9769 00298 0108 +225 +217 124027 028 036 001 00
170700 0929N 05753W 9769 00297 0107 +225 +218 123028 029 036 000 00
170730 0928N 05752W 9769 00296 0107 +225 +217 126028 030 035 001 00
165830 0949N 05804W 9407 00646 0124 +201 +187 113032 034 033 004 03
165900 0948N 05803W 9613 00451 0117 +212 +199 116030 032 036 001 00
165930 0947N 05803W 9668 00395 0113 +216 +210 118030 031 036 003 03
170000 0945N 05802W 9759 00307 0109 +221 +218 123028 030 035 003 01
170030 0944N 05802W 9773 00294 //// +224 //// 122029 030 035 001 01
170100 0943N 05802W 9771 00296 //// +224 //// 121029 030 033 001 01
170130 0941N 05801W 9771 00297 0108 +224 +218 120028 029 036 000 00
170200 0940N 05801W 9769 00299 0108 +226 +214 119030 032 034 001 03
170230 0939N 05801W 9772 00296 //// +221 //// 120030 030 034 001 01
170300 0937N 05800W 9771 00296 0109 +220 //// 121029 030 035 002 01
170330 0936N 05800W 9772 00294 //// +219 //// 125031 032 035 001 05
170400 0935N 05759W 9771 00294 //// +221 //// 126030 032 035 004 01
170430 0934N 05758W 9771 00294 0106 +222 +222 125028 030 033 005 00
170500 0933N 05757W 9773 00293 //// +223 //// 125025 026 037 002 01
170530 0932N 05756W 9771 00296 0107 +225 +224 125026 027 036 001 01
170600 0931N 05755W 9772 00294 0107 +225 +219 126029 029 036 001 00
170630 0930N 05754W 9769 00298 0108 +225 +217 124027 028 036 001 00
170700 0929N 05753W 9769 00297 0107 +225 +218 123028 029 036 000 00
170730 0928N 05752W 9769 00296 0107 +225 +217 126028 030 035 001 00
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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
As of 17:07 UTC Jun 19, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 9.47°N 57.87°W
Bearing: 135° at 169 kt
Altitude: 296 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 30 kt at 126°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1010.7 mb
Aircraft Position: 9.47°N 57.87°W
Bearing: 135° at 169 kt
Altitude: 296 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 30 kt at 126°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1010.7 mb
0 likes
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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weathaguyry
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Age: 20
- Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
- Location: Long Island, NY
Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF300-0102A-INVEST_zoom.png
As of 17:17 UTC Jun 19, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 9.15°N 57.57°W
Bearing: 135° at 169 kt
Altitude: 299 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 29 kt at 145°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1011.4 mb
170800 0927N 05752W 9775 00294 0108 +224 +216 126029 030 036 001 03
170830 0926N 05751W 9768 00298 0108 +221 +205 126030 031 036 002 00
170900 0925N 05750W 9770 00297 0108 +222 +207 128028 030 035 000 00
170930 0924N 05749W 9774 00293 0108 +222 +211 128028 029 036 001 00
171000 0924N 05748W 9773 00294 0108 +224 +208 125030 031 035 001 00
171030 0923N 05747W 9770 00298 0108 +221 +207 128030 031 034 001 00
171100 0922N 05746W 9768 00298 0108 +220 +214 133030 031 034 001 03
171130 0921N 05745W 9773 00294 0108 +220 +217 134030 031 034 001 00
171200 0920N 05744W 9771 00297 0109 +220 +218 142030 031 031 002 01
171230 0919N 05743W 9764 00301 //// +213 //// 147029 031 033 001 01
171300 0918N 05742W 9779 00292 0110 +219 +213 154030 031 035 001 00
171330 0917N 05741W 9768 00301 0109 +218 +215 151032 032 033 002 01
171400 0916N 05740W 9772 00297 //// +215 //// 151030 031 032 002 05
171430 0915N 05740W 9771 00298 //// +216 //// 155029 031 032 002 01
171500 0914N 05739W 9770 00301 0112 +217 +213 155029 031 035 002 00
171530 0913N 05738W 9771 00299 0111 +216 +215 151029 030 032 003 01
171600 0912N 05737W 9769 00301 //// +215 //// 147028 029 033 002 01
171630 0911N 05736W 9773 00298 //// +217 //// 145028 029 032 002 01
171700 0910N 05735W 9769 00303 //// +216 //// 144026 028 030 003 01
171730 0909N 05734W 9772 00299 0114 +217 //// 145029 029 032 002 05
As of 17:17 UTC Jun 19, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 9.15°N 57.57°W
Bearing: 135° at 169 kt
Altitude: 299 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 29 kt at 145°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1011.4 mb
170800 0927N 05752W 9775 00294 0108 +224 +216 126029 030 036 001 03
170830 0926N 05751W 9768 00298 0108 +221 +205 126030 031 036 002 00
170900 0925N 05750W 9770 00297 0108 +222 +207 128028 030 035 000 00
170930 0924N 05749W 9774 00293 0108 +222 +211 128028 029 036 001 00
171000 0924N 05748W 9773 00294 0108 +224 +208 125030 031 035 001 00
171030 0923N 05747W 9770 00298 0108 +221 +207 128030 031 034 001 00
171100 0922N 05746W 9768 00298 0108 +220 +214 133030 031 034 001 03
171130 0921N 05745W 9773 00294 0108 +220 +217 134030 031 034 001 00
171200 0920N 05744W 9771 00297 0109 +220 +218 142030 031 031 002 01
171230 0919N 05743W 9764 00301 //// +213 //// 147029 031 033 001 01
171300 0918N 05742W 9779 00292 0110 +219 +213 154030 031 035 001 00
171330 0917N 05741W 9768 00301 0109 +218 +215 151032 032 033 002 01
171400 0916N 05740W 9772 00297 //// +215 //// 151030 031 032 002 05
171430 0915N 05740W 9771 00298 //// +216 //// 155029 031 032 002 01
171500 0914N 05739W 9770 00301 0112 +217 +213 155029 031 035 002 00
171530 0913N 05738W 9771 00299 0111 +216 +215 151029 030 032 003 01
171600 0912N 05737W 9769 00301 //// +215 //// 147028 029 033 002 01
171630 0911N 05736W 9773 00298 //// +217 //// 145028 029 032 002 01
171700 0910N 05735W 9769 00303 //// +216 //// 144026 028 030 003 01
171730 0909N 05734W 9772 00299 0114 +217 //// 145029 029 032 002 05
0 likes
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21228
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- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
weird recon past right by to the ne of where the center should be..
9.5n 59.2W ish
9.5n 59.2W ish
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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AJC3
- Admin
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
Reminder: Don't hotlink to images from another web site.
If you're posting recon images from another web site, you need to U/L them to an image hosting site (such as imgur.com) first before posting them here.
If you're posting recon images from another web site, you need to U/L them to an image hosting site (such as imgur.com) first before posting them here.
0 likes
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weathaguyry
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Age: 20
- Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
- Location: Long Island, NY
Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
Wide View: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF300-0102A-INVEST.png
Smaller View: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF300-0102A-INVEST_zoom.png
Flight Data: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF300-0102A-INVEST_timeseries.png
As of 17:27 UTC Jun 19, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 8.78°N 57.47°W
Bearing: 225° at 169 kt
Altitude: 307 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 30 kt at 149°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1012.0 mb
171800 0908N 05733W 9775 00296 0113 +220 //// 141030 031 033 005 01
171830 0908N 05732W 9776 00296 0114 +218 //// 137031 032 039 003 05
171900 0907N 05731W 9769 00302 0114 +216 +216 138033 033 038 005 00
171930 0906N 05730W 9770 00301 0114 +214 //// 140032 033 038 004 01
172000 0905N 05729W 9770 00301 0114 +216 //// 140031 032 036 005 01
172030 0904N 05728W 9769 00303 0115 +220 //// 140031 032 036 006 01
172100 0903N 05727W 9772 00301 0114 +220 //// 141030 032 037 005 01
172130 0902N 05726W 9770 00301 0115 +221 +221 144031 032 037 006 00
172200 0901N 05725W 9772 00303 0117 +219 //// 144031 032 037 009 01
172230 0900N 05724W 9769 00304 0116 +219 //// 144030 031 038 008 05
172300 0859N 05724W 9765 00309 0116 +218 //// 143029 030 033 007 01
172330 0858N 05725W 9770 00302 0115 +220 //// 144028 029 032 007 01
172400 0856N 05725W 9772 00303 0117 +217 //// 146030 030 033 007 01
172430 0855N 05725W 9769 00303 0117 +216 +216 145029 031 034 008 00
172500 0854N 05726W 9771 00304 0118 +216 +216 145029 030 035 009 00
172530 0852N 05726W 9772 00301 0119 +209 +209 145032 032 037 009 00
172600 0851N 05726W 9770 00303 0119 +212 +212 147031 032 036 008 00
172630 0850N 05727W 9771 00302 0119 +212 +212 148031 033 036 008 00
172700 0848N 05727W 9770 00302 0119 +211 +211 148030 033 034 008 00
172730 0847N 05728W 9768 00307 0120 +213 +213 149028 030 036 008 00
Smaller View: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF300-0102A-INVEST_zoom.png
Flight Data: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF300-0102A-INVEST_timeseries.png
As of 17:27 UTC Jun 19, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 8.78°N 57.47°W
Bearing: 225° at 169 kt
Altitude: 307 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 30 kt at 149°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1012.0 mb
171800 0908N 05733W 9775 00296 0113 +220 //// 141030 031 033 005 01
171830 0908N 05732W 9776 00296 0114 +218 //// 137031 032 039 003 05
171900 0907N 05731W 9769 00302 0114 +216 +216 138033 033 038 005 00
171930 0906N 05730W 9770 00301 0114 +214 //// 140032 033 038 004 01
172000 0905N 05729W 9770 00301 0114 +216 //// 140031 032 036 005 01
172030 0904N 05728W 9769 00303 0115 +220 //// 140031 032 036 006 01
172100 0903N 05727W 9772 00301 0114 +220 //// 141030 032 037 005 01
172130 0902N 05726W 9770 00301 0115 +221 +221 144031 032 037 006 00
172200 0901N 05725W 9772 00303 0117 +219 //// 144031 032 037 009 01
172230 0900N 05724W 9769 00304 0116 +219 //// 144030 031 038 008 05
172300 0859N 05724W 9765 00309 0116 +218 //// 143029 030 033 007 01
172330 0858N 05725W 9770 00302 0115 +220 //// 144028 029 032 007 01
172400 0856N 05725W 9772 00303 0117 +217 //// 146030 030 033 007 01
172430 0855N 05725W 9769 00303 0117 +216 +216 145029 031 034 008 00
172500 0854N 05726W 9771 00304 0118 +216 +216 145029 030 035 009 00
172530 0852N 05726W 9772 00301 0119 +209 +209 145032 032 037 009 00
172600 0851N 05726W 9770 00303 0119 +212 +212 147031 032 036 008 00
172630 0850N 05727W 9771 00302 0119 +212 +212 148031 033 036 008 00
172700 0848N 05727W 9770 00302 0119 +211 +211 148030 033 034 008 00
172730 0847N 05728W 9768 00307 0120 +213 +213 149028 030 036 008 00
0 likes
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
How close to the coast are they able to fly? I see possible low cloud inflow from the west but SW of where the plane is fairly close to shore.
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The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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weathaguyry
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Age: 20
- Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
- Location: Long Island, NY
Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
AJC3 wrote:Reminder: Don't hotlink to images from another web site.
If you're posting recon images from another web site, you need to U/L them to an image hosting site (such as imgur.com) first before posting them here.
Is it ok to put the link to the image?
0 likes
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
starting to think this will never be called a TS as recon is finding southeasterly winds where there should be south westerly winds
1 likes
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weathaguyry
- Category 5
- Posts: 1272
- Age: 20
- Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
- Location: Long Island, NY
Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
As of 17:37 UTC Jun 19, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 8.33°N 57.58°W
Bearing: 225° at 169 kt
Altitude: 302 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 29 kt at 137°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1012.2 mb
172800 0846N 05728W 9772 00303 0119 +212 +212 148032 033 037 009 00
172830 0844N 05728W 9770 00304 0121 +210 +210 146034 034 036 010 00
172900 0843N 05729W 9772 00303 0121 +211 +211 146033 033 036 013 00
172930 0842N 05729W 9768 00307 0121 +214 +214 142032 033 036 013 00
173000 0840N 05729W 9771 00304 0121 +217 +217 139029 032 036 009 00
173030 0839N 05730W 9777 00302 0123 +214 +214 141031 034 048 020 03
173100 0838N 05730W 9768 00305 0121 +211 +211 145033 034 043 019 00
173130 0836N 05730W 9776 00299 0121 +211 +211 140032 033 041 020 00
173200 0835N 05731W 9771 00303 0121 +212 +212 136029 031 040 023 00
173230 0834N 05731W 9772 00303 0121 +211 +211 129030 030 041 015 00
173300 0832N 05732W 9771 00304 0120 +213 +213 128030 030 040 011 00
173330 0831N 05732W 9771 00302 0120 +211 +211 139027 030 043 013 00
173400 0830N 05732W 9772 00303 0120 +214 +214 141027 027 036 012 00
173430 0828N 05733W 9771 00301 0120 +216 //// 146027 030 037 006 01
173500 0827N 05733W 9782 00293 0121 +214 +214 162024 025 035 010 00
173530 0826N 05733W 9768 00308 0119 +217 +217 154026 026 034 009 00
173600 0824N 05734W 9773 00303 0121 +216 +216 141025 025 034 011 00
173630 0823N 05734W 9770 00304 0120 +215 +215 130026 027 035 010 00
173700 0821N 05734W 9770 00304 0121 +212 //// 133029 030 036 010 01
173730 0820N 05735W 9774 00302 0122 +207 //// 137029 029 038 005 01
Aircraft Position: 8.33°N 57.58°W
Bearing: 225° at 169 kt
Altitude: 302 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 29 kt at 137°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1012.2 mb
172800 0846N 05728W 9772 00303 0119 +212 +212 148032 033 037 009 00
172830 0844N 05728W 9770 00304 0121 +210 +210 146034 034 036 010 00
172900 0843N 05729W 9772 00303 0121 +211 +211 146033 033 036 013 00
172930 0842N 05729W 9768 00307 0121 +214 +214 142032 033 036 013 00
173000 0840N 05729W 9771 00304 0121 +217 +217 139029 032 036 009 00
173030 0839N 05730W 9777 00302 0123 +214 +214 141031 034 048 020 03
173100 0838N 05730W 9768 00305 0121 +211 +211 145033 034 043 019 00
173130 0836N 05730W 9776 00299 0121 +211 +211 140032 033 041 020 00
173200 0835N 05731W 9771 00303 0121 +212 +212 136029 031 040 023 00
173230 0834N 05731W 9772 00303 0121 +211 +211 129030 030 041 015 00
173300 0832N 05732W 9771 00304 0120 +213 +213 128030 030 040 011 00
173330 0831N 05732W 9771 00302 0120 +211 +211 139027 030 043 013 00
173400 0830N 05732W 9772 00303 0120 +214 +214 141027 027 036 012 00
173430 0828N 05733W 9771 00301 0120 +216 //// 146027 030 037 006 01
173500 0827N 05733W 9782 00293 0121 +214 +214 162024 025 035 010 00
173530 0826N 05733W 9768 00308 0119 +217 +217 154026 026 034 009 00
173600 0824N 05734W 9773 00303 0121 +216 +216 141025 025 034 011 00
173630 0823N 05734W 9770 00304 0120 +215 +215 130026 027 035 010 00
173700 0821N 05734W 9770 00304 0121 +212 //// 133029 030 036 010 01
173730 0820N 05735W 9774 00302 0122 +207 //// 137029 029 038 005 01
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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
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AJC3
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
weathaguyry wrote:AJC3 wrote:Reminder: Don't hotlink to images from another web site.
If you're posting recon images from another web site, you need to U/L them to an image hosting site (such as imgur.com) first before posting them here.
Is it ok to put the link to the image?
That's fine, but if the web site is getting hammered (like I think Tropical Tidbits is getting right now), then noone will be able to see them.
That's what I think has been happening because a bunch of images posted on here showed up as broken image links, so I deleted them.
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
RL3AO wrote:blp wrote:I don't know if anybody mentioned this but looking at the NHC map it no longer weakens to a depression. Maybe it survives and finds a better environment in the WCARB.
[img]http://i.imgur.com/rrRLi8U.pngimg]
Yesterday:
[img]https://s.w-x.co/wu/track-ptc1-21Z-6.18.17-418px.jpg/img]
They still have it dissipating after 48 hours. It doesn't survive 72 hours to have anything plotted on the map.
Good point. I should have checked, I did not know they had an advisory. Trying to get used to this new potential cyclone classification. Its small size is a major problem in dealing with the shear. It won't last long.
48H 21/1200Z 12.6N 70.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
Last edited by blp on Mon Jun 19, 2017 12:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
we have sw winds.. now they have turned back towards the center.... we will know soon..
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
As of 17:47 UTC Jun 19, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 8.20°N 57.98°W
Bearing: 297° at 266 kt
Altitude: 320 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 14 kt at 201°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1012.5 mb
173800 0819N 05735W 9758 00315 0121 +217 //// 139030 031 037 011 01
173830 0817N 05736W 9776 00298 0122 +212 +212 137029 031 043 028 00
173900 0816N 05736W 9769 00307 0122 +215 +215 139030 031 046 025 00
173930 0815N 05736W 9767 00308 0121 +215 //// 139026 030 037 007 01
174000 0813N 05737W 9772 00303 0119 +217 //// 140026 027 035 005 01
174030 0812N 05737W 9773 00304 0119 +218 //// 136029 030 034 004 05
174100 0811N 05738W 9762 00313 0118 +217 //// 130029 031 031 003 01
174130 0810N 05740W 9772 00304 0118 +218 +217 128029 029 029 004 01
174200 0810N 05742W 9777 00298 0118 +220 +218 131027 029 032 004 01
174230 0809N 05743W 9770 00305 0120 +218 //// 127026 029 032 004 01
174300 0809N 05745W 9776 00303 //// +219 //// 131018 024 029 003 01
174330 0808N 05746W 9766 00312 0117 +228 //// 158013 015 026 002 05
174400 0809N 05748W 9760 00320 0121 +229 +224 158015 015 021 000 03
174430 0809N 05749W 9776 00303 0120 +232 +224 159015 016 020 001 03
174500 0809N 05751W 9765 00314 0121 +232 +225 159015 015 020 000 00
174530 0809N 05753W 9772 00308 0121 +235 +224 168014 015 020 000 03
174600 0809N 05755W 9764 00314 0122 +233 +224 171015 015 021 001 03
174630 0810N 05756W 9772 00304 0120 +231 +228 171016 017 022 005 01
174700 0811N 05757W 9766 00310 0123 +214 //// 172015 017 034 016 05
174730 0812N 05759W 9758 00320 0125 +206 //// 201008 014 025 004 05
Aircraft Position: 8.20°N 57.98°W
Bearing: 297° at 266 kt
Altitude: 320 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 14 kt at 201°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: 1012.5 mb
173800 0819N 05735W 9758 00315 0121 +217 //// 139030 031 037 011 01
173830 0817N 05736W 9776 00298 0122 +212 +212 137029 031 043 028 00
173900 0816N 05736W 9769 00307 0122 +215 +215 139030 031 046 025 00
173930 0815N 05736W 9767 00308 0121 +215 //// 139026 030 037 007 01
174000 0813N 05737W 9772 00303 0119 +217 //// 140026 027 035 005 01
174030 0812N 05737W 9773 00304 0119 +218 //// 136029 030 034 004 05
174100 0811N 05738W 9762 00313 0118 +217 //// 130029 031 031 003 01
174130 0810N 05740W 9772 00304 0118 +218 +217 128029 029 029 004 01
174200 0810N 05742W 9777 00298 0118 +220 +218 131027 029 032 004 01
174230 0809N 05743W 9770 00305 0120 +218 //// 127026 029 032 004 01
174300 0809N 05745W 9776 00303 //// +219 //// 131018 024 029 003 01
174330 0808N 05746W 9766 00312 0117 +228 //// 158013 015 026 002 05
174400 0809N 05748W 9760 00320 0121 +229 +224 158015 015 021 000 03
174430 0809N 05749W 9776 00303 0120 +232 +224 159015 016 020 001 03
174500 0809N 05751W 9765 00314 0121 +232 +225 159015 015 020 000 00
174530 0809N 05753W 9772 00308 0121 +235 +224 168014 015 020 000 03
174600 0809N 05755W 9764 00314 0122 +233 +224 171015 015 021 001 03
174630 0810N 05756W 9772 00304 0120 +231 +228 171016 017 022 005 01
174700 0811N 05757W 9766 00310 0123 +214 //// 172015 017 034 016 05
174730 0812N 05759W 9758 00320 0125 +206 //// 201008 014 025 004 05
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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
On the GOES 15 visible loop you can really see this ramping up, typical curved bands firing and rotating around now.
latest
Source: https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html
latest
Source: https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html
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weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
AJC3 wrote:weathaguyry wrote:AJC3 wrote:Reminder: Don't hotlink to images from another web site.
If you're posting recon images from another web site, you need to U/L them to an image hosting site (such as imgur.com) first before posting them here.
Is it ok to put the link to the image?
That's fine, but if the web site is getting hammered (like I think Tropical Tidbits is getting right now), then noone will be able to see them.
That's what I think has been happening because a bunch of images posted on here showed up as broken image links, so I deleted them.
Ok, the links I am using are working fine, so as long as they work I'll keep using them
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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
Winds look to be 45 kt based on the Recon data. Could it make a run at hurricane status before the shear destroys it?
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