URNT15 KNHC 192020
AF300 0102A INVEST HDOB 37 20170619
195800 0930N 05904W 9772 00284 //// +212 //// 112020 021 028 000 01
195830 0930N 05906W 9770 00288 0099 +218 +207 110022 022 026 003 03
195900 0930N 05908W 9771 00288 0100 +224 +204 109024 025 028 001 00
195930 0930N 05911W 9770 00290 0101 +222 +206 107025 026 027 000 00
200000 0930N 05913W 9771 00290 0101 +220 +209 105025 026 027 000 00
200030 0930N 05915W 9770 00291 0101 +220 +210 106027 028 027 002 03
200100 0930N 05917W 9771 00288 0099 +218 +212 107029 030 028 001 01
200130 0930N 05919W 9770 00288 0099 +219 +211 111029 029 029 002 03
200200 0930N 05921W 9771 00288 0100 +220 +211 110029 030 029 002 03
200230 0930N 05923W 9772 00287 0099 +220 +213 113030 030 030 001 00
200300 0930N 05925W 9772 00287 0098 +221 +213 112031 032 032 001 00
200330 0930N 05928W 9770 00287 //// +216 //// 109033 034 032 002 01
200400 0930N 05930W 9770 00286 //// +214 //// 108035 036 035 000 01
200430 0930N 05932W 9772 00284 //// +200 //// 105036 036 038 001 01
200500 0930N 05934W 9768 00287 0098 +213 //// 111034 037 038 003 01
200530 0930N 05936W 9769 00282 0097 +210 //// 109032 034 037 008 01
200600 0930N 05938W 9774 00279 0097 +211 //// 101025 029 038 007 01
200630 0930N 05941W 9771 00282 //// +217 //// 095025 026 032 003 01
200700 0930N 05943W 9771 00284 0093 +223 +222 086023 024 031 003 01
200730 0930N 05945W 9770 00285 0093 +225 +222 085023 024 026 003 00
$$
;
ATL: BRET - Remnants - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 192029
AF300 0102A INVEST HDOB 39 20170619
201800 0930N 06029W 9771 00292 //// +218 //// 046028 030 031 000 01
201830 0930N 06031W 9771 00293 0104 +219 +217 045028 030 029 001 05
201900 0929N 06033W 9777 00284 0103 +220 +217 038026 027 024 002 03
201930 0928N 06034W 9758 00304 0104 +220 +215 031022 026 /// /// 03
202000 0926N 06032W 9780 00287 //// +220 //// 032021 021 030 001 01
202030 0926N 06030W 9763 00301 0105 +219 +218 038021 022 031 000 01
202100 0925N 06029W 9773 00291 0105 +218 //// 040021 022 032 003 01
202130 0925N 06027W 9768 00296 0105 +219 //// 038021 022 032 004 01
202200 0925N 06025W 9772 00292 0104 +220 //// 038022 022 032 005 01
202230 0924N 06023W 9771 00291 0103 +221 //// 033022 022 029 007 01
202300 0924N 06022W 9771 00292 0102 +221 //// 029021 022 030 004 01
202330 0923N 06020W 9774 00288 0102 +221 +220 029022 023 031 001 00
202400 0923N 06018W 9770 00293 0102 +221 +219 028020 021 030 001 01
202430 0922N 06016W 9778 00284 0102 +221 //// 024020 020 031 002 05
202500 0921N 06014W 9768 00292 //// +220 //// 021018 020 030 000 01
202530 0920N 06013W 9772 00288 0101 +222 //// 027019 020 028 006 01
202600 0919N 06011W 9770 00290 0101 +224 +224 019017 018 031 007 00
202630 0918N 06010W 9771 00290 0101 +225 //// 014015 016 031 008 05
202700 0918N 06008W 9766 00292 //// +221 //// 007013 014 029 003 01
202730 0917N 06006W 9772 00286 //// +225 //// 357011 012 030 002 05
$$
;
AF300 0102A INVEST HDOB 39 20170619
201800 0930N 06029W 9771 00292 //// +218 //// 046028 030 031 000 01
201830 0930N 06031W 9771 00293 0104 +219 +217 045028 030 029 001 05
201900 0929N 06033W 9777 00284 0103 +220 +217 038026 027 024 002 03
201930 0928N 06034W 9758 00304 0104 +220 +215 031022 026 /// /// 03
202000 0926N 06032W 9780 00287 //// +220 //// 032021 021 030 001 01
202030 0926N 06030W 9763 00301 0105 +219 +218 038021 022 031 000 01
202100 0925N 06029W 9773 00291 0105 +218 //// 040021 022 032 003 01
202130 0925N 06027W 9768 00296 0105 +219 //// 038021 022 032 004 01
202200 0925N 06025W 9772 00292 0104 +220 //// 038022 022 032 005 01
202230 0924N 06023W 9771 00291 0103 +221 //// 033022 022 029 007 01
202300 0924N 06022W 9771 00292 0102 +221 //// 029021 022 030 004 01
202330 0923N 06020W 9774 00288 0102 +221 +220 029022 023 031 001 00
202400 0923N 06018W 9770 00293 0102 +221 +219 028020 021 030 001 01
202430 0922N 06016W 9778 00284 0102 +221 //// 024020 020 031 002 05
202500 0921N 06014W 9768 00292 //// +220 //// 021018 020 030 000 01
202530 0920N 06013W 9772 00288 0101 +222 //// 027019 020 028 006 01
202600 0919N 06011W 9770 00290 0101 +224 +224 019017 018 031 007 00
202630 0918N 06010W 9771 00290 0101 +225 //// 014015 016 031 008 05
202700 0918N 06008W 9766 00292 //// +221 //// 007013 014 029 003 01
202730 0917N 06006W 9772 00286 //// +225 //// 357011 012 030 002 05
$$
;
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hurricanes1234
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
Advisory coming out soon, hopefully we get confirmation as to what is really going on inside this system.
And hopefully by then, I don't collapse from suspense...
And hopefully by then, I don't collapse from suspense...
1 likes
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
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1900hurricane
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
Looks like recon is going in for a legit center pass now.
0 likes
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone TWO - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 192038
AF300 0102A INVEST HDOB 40 20170619
202800 0916N 06004W 9769 00287 //// +227 //// 345007 010 029 000 05
202830 0917N 06002W 9769 00288 //// +226 //// 335005 006 027 002 01
202900 0917N 06000W 9774 00284 0095 +229 +228 282001 005 023 002 05
202930 0918N 05959W 9768 00288 0096 +229 +222 172006 007 021 001 00
203000 0919N 05957W 9771 00286 0097 +225 +220 152008 009 019 000 03
203030 0921N 05956W 9768 00288 0097 +223 +219 138010 011 018 000 01
203100 0922N 05954W 9775 00280 0095 +221 +218 130013 013 021 001 01
203130 0923N 05953W 9769 00287 0096 +222 +214 125015 016 019 000 00
203200 0925N 05952W 9769 00288 0097 +224 +217 123016 016 018 001 00
203230 0926N 05950W 9770 00287 0097 +224 +221 125015 016 021 002 01
203300 0927N 05949W 9772 00287 0098 +224 +222 125016 017 023 001 01
203330 0929N 05948W 9772 00287 0098 +227 +219 130018 019 021 001 00
203400 0930N 05946W 9770 00288 0098 +226 +219 132018 019 024 001 00
203430 0931N 05945W 9772 00288 //// +223 //// 138019 020 026 000 01
203500 0933N 05944W 9770 00290 0099 +227 +218 145022 023 028 002 00
203530 0934N 05942W 9772 00288 0102 +222 +220 145026 027 034 018 00
203600 0935N 05941W 9766 00296 0107 +215 +215 130031 032 050 040 00
203630 0937N 05940W 9768 00291 0104 +213 +213 121032 033 053 044 00
203700 0938N 05938W 9787 00273 0102 +213 +213 120032 033 043 027 00
203730 0939N 05937W 9760 00298 0101 +214 +214 122031 033 041 019 00
$$
;
SFMR accurate or on crack?
AF300 0102A INVEST HDOB 40 20170619
202800 0916N 06004W 9769 00287 //// +227 //// 345007 010 029 000 05
202830 0917N 06002W 9769 00288 //// +226 //// 335005 006 027 002 01
202900 0917N 06000W 9774 00284 0095 +229 +228 282001 005 023 002 05
202930 0918N 05959W 9768 00288 0096 +229 +222 172006 007 021 001 00
203000 0919N 05957W 9771 00286 0097 +225 +220 152008 009 019 000 03
203030 0921N 05956W 9768 00288 0097 +223 +219 138010 011 018 000 01
203100 0922N 05954W 9775 00280 0095 +221 +218 130013 013 021 001 01
203130 0923N 05953W 9769 00287 0096 +222 +214 125015 016 019 000 00
203200 0925N 05952W 9769 00288 0097 +224 +217 123016 016 018 001 00
203230 0926N 05950W 9770 00287 0097 +224 +221 125015 016 021 002 01
203300 0927N 05949W 9772 00287 0098 +224 +222 125016 017 023 001 01
203330 0929N 05948W 9772 00287 0098 +227 +219 130018 019 021 001 00
203400 0930N 05946W 9770 00288 0098 +226 +219 132018 019 024 001 00
203430 0931N 05945W 9772 00288 //// +223 //// 138019 020 026 000 01
203500 0933N 05944W 9770 00290 0099 +227 +218 145022 023 028 002 00
203530 0934N 05942W 9772 00288 0102 +222 +220 145026 027 034 018 00
203600 0935N 05941W 9766 00296 0107 +215 +215 130031 032 050 040 00
203630 0937N 05940W 9768 00291 0104 +213 +213 121032 033 053 044 00
203700 0938N 05938W 9787 00273 0102 +213 +213 120032 033 043 027 00
203730 0939N 05937W 9760 00298 0101 +214 +214 122031 033 041 019 00
$$
;
SFMR accurate or on crack?
0 likes
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WeatherEmperor
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
Just been upgraded to Bret on the NHC website
Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
they finally found it... lol right where it was supposed to be..
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Bocadude85
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
We have Tropical Storm Bret!
1 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: TWO - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Discussion
WE HAVE BRET!!!!!
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My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
wnw at 30 mph ! lol
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
History has been made. 
3 likes
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
You can tell it's a busy day at the NHC because Chris Landsea is writing the advisory package for the #2 system.
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TheAustinMan
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Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Bret is only 2 knots way (forward speed) from tying Chantal 2013 for having the fastest forward motion of any tropical cyclone in deep tropics during the satellite era.
6 likes
- Treat my opinions with a grain of salt. For official information see your local weather service.
Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
First storm east of the Antilles since 1979. Can it survive long enough for 03L to get named? I don't think we've had two storms simultaneously in June since 1968.
4 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: BRET - Recon
URNT15 KNHC 192049
AF300 0102A INVEST HDOB 41 20170619
203800 0940N 05936W 9773 00286 0100 +216 //// 121030 031 030 003 01
203830 0941N 05935W 9775 00285 //// +215 //// 119030 031 030 002 01
203900 0942N 05934W 9768 00292 0099 +220 +218 120029 031 030 001 00
203930 0943N 05933W 9772 00287 0099 +220 +214 119030 031 029 000 00
204000 0943N 05933W 9772 00287 0100 +222 +209 116030 031 029 000 03
204030 0945N 05931W 9772 00288 0100 +226 +197 119031 032 026 003 03
204100 0946N 05930W 9770 00291 0100 +225 +201 118030 030 028 000 00
204130 0947N 05929W 9772 00291 0102 +227 +197 118030 031 028 001 03
204200 0948N 05928W 9771 00290 0102 +222 +204 114028 031 027 001 00
204230 0949N 05927W 9771 00292 0102 +220 +210 113027 028 025 002 00
204300 0950N 05926W 9770 00292 0102 +222 +210 112027 028 026 001 03
204330 0951N 05925W 9769 00292 0102 +224 +205 114028 029 026 002 00
204400 0952N 05924W 9771 00290 0101 +222 +211 115028 028 026 001 00
204430 0953N 05923W 9771 00290 0102 +221 +213 113028 028 026 001 00
204500 0954N 05922W 9771 00292 0102 +222 +212 110028 029 026 000 00
204530 0955N 05921W 9768 00293 0102 +221 +214 109028 029 023 002 00
204600 0956N 05920W 9772 00291 0103 +221 +216 109026 029 026 001 00
204630 0957N 05919W 9772 00291 0103 +220 +217 108024 026 025 002 00
204700 0959N 05917W 9770 00293 0103 +220 +217 114024 025 023 003 01
204730 1000N 05916W 9769 00294 0104 +221 +219 117031 034 033 003 01
$$
;
AF300 0102A INVEST HDOB 41 20170619
203800 0940N 05936W 9773 00286 0100 +216 //// 121030 031 030 003 01
203830 0941N 05935W 9775 00285 //// +215 //// 119030 031 030 002 01
203900 0942N 05934W 9768 00292 0099 +220 +218 120029 031 030 001 00
203930 0943N 05933W 9772 00287 0099 +220 +214 119030 031 029 000 00
204000 0943N 05933W 9772 00287 0100 +222 +209 116030 031 029 000 03
204030 0945N 05931W 9772 00288 0100 +226 +197 119031 032 026 003 03
204100 0946N 05930W 9770 00291 0100 +225 +201 118030 030 028 000 00
204130 0947N 05929W 9772 00291 0102 +227 +197 118030 031 028 001 03
204200 0948N 05928W 9771 00290 0102 +222 +204 114028 031 027 001 00
204230 0949N 05927W 9771 00292 0102 +220 +210 113027 028 025 002 00
204300 0950N 05926W 9770 00292 0102 +222 +210 112027 028 026 001 03
204330 0951N 05925W 9769 00292 0102 +224 +205 114028 029 026 002 00
204400 0952N 05924W 9771 00290 0101 +222 +211 115028 028 026 001 00
204430 0953N 05923W 9771 00290 0102 +221 +213 113028 028 026 001 00
204500 0954N 05922W 9771 00292 0102 +222 +212 110028 029 026 000 00
204530 0955N 05921W 9768 00293 0102 +221 +214 109028 029 023 002 00
204600 0956N 05920W 9772 00291 0103 +221 +216 109026 029 026 001 00
204630 0957N 05919W 9772 00291 0103 +220 +217 108024 026 025 002 00
204700 0959N 05917W 9770 00293 0103 +220 +217 114024 025 023 003 01
204730 1000N 05916W 9769 00294 0104 +221 +219 117031 034 033 003 01
$$
;
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hurricanes1234
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Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It's official, we're about to take a direct tropical storm hit, the first time in years and years and years!
Uh oh ...
Uh oh ...
1 likes
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Officially the earliest MDR (south of 20N, east of 70W) tropical storm on record.
https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/876905457020948480
https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/876905457020948480
3 likes
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galaxy401
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Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
TheAustinMan wrote:Bret is only 2 knots way (forward speed) from tying Chantal 2013 for having the fastest forward motion of any tropical cyclone in deep tropics during the satellite era.
It seems like in recent years, there have been many MDR systems that have been moving at very fast speeds. Do any of you know what is causing the rapid motions?
1 likes
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: BRET - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I told you guys it would be the first Cape Verde wave. 
1 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
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