ATL: CINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Stormcenter]

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

[SunnyThoughts]

NWS keeps extending our flash flood watch here. Earlier it was until 7pm Thursday, now it is issued until 1am Friday. I hope those pumps work efficiently in New Orleans, because I think they are gonna need it. I hope she starts moving soon to get the rain up and out asap. Areas farther North in inland areas going to be under the gun too.

[tarheelprogrammer]

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

I noticed that at first. I thought it was my eyes playing tricks on me, but I believe it did jog SSE some.

[HurricaneBrain]

Stationary. Looks like a wobble to me.

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

[tarheelprogrammer]

Good thing that ULL appeared. Without it this could of been a much worse situation than it already is. It could of been a hurricane stalled out there, and plenty of time to organize. I will pray for those in the areas that flood. Stay safe everyone. We here in the Carolinas know all about floods recently. Sadly.

[weathaguyry]

As of 19:12 UTC Jun 20, 2017:
Aircraft Position: 27.78°N 88.90°W
Bearing: 333° at 263 kt
Altitude: 938 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 50 kt at 162°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: N/A

190300 2732N 08919W 9664 00324 //// +236 //// 153040 042 027 002 01
190330 2733N 08917W 9657 00329 //// +231 //// 154040 043 030 002 01
190400 2733N 08916W 9662 00325 //// +234 //// 152040 041 028 002 01
190430 2734N 08914W 9668 00320 //// +237 //// 151041 042 028 001 01
190500 2734N 08913W 9660 00330 //// +241 //// 153039 041 026 003 01
190530 2735N 08911W 9664 00326 //// +235 //// 151041 042 027 003 01
190600 2736N 08910W 9658 00331 //// +230 //// 153043 044 029 001 01
190630 2736N 08908W 9664 00326 //// +232 //// 154046 047 030 000 01
190700 2737N 08907W 9662 00329 //// +236 //// 154045 046 029 001 05
190730 2738N 08905W 9663 00328 //// +230 //// 154044 045 028 001 01
190800 2738N 08904W 9662 00329 //// +233 //// 156045 046 028 001 05
190830 2739N 08902W 9665 00328 //// +236 //// 156045 046 027 001 01
190900 2739N 08900W 9662 00330 //// +237 //// 156046 047 027 002 01
190930 2740N 08859W 9663 00330 //// +232 //// 156047 047 027 000 01
191000 2741N 08857W 9661 00331 //// +234 //// 157046 046 025 001 01
191030 2741N 08856W 9659 00335 //// +235 //// 158045 046 027 000 01
191100 2742N 08854W 9664 00330 //// +235 //// 160043 045 026 000 05
191130 2743N 08853W 9663 00330 //// +232 //// 157052 054 021 002 05
191200 2745N 08853W 9382 00587 //// +220 //// 162051 052 /// /// 09
191230 2747N 08854W 9011 00938 //// +200 //// 162047 050 /// /// 05

[weathaguyry]

Anybody else want to take over?

Never mind, it looks like the mission has ended

[GalvestonWXGeek]

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

Interesting. And this morning at 10am, according to you, the motion was to the North. What a crazy storm this is.

[SoupBone]

I can see the center of the track being moved between Port Arthur and Houston. Doesn't really change the impact of Cindy however.

I think the track will move west next update.

Agreed. High Island area?

It changes the impact for the greater Houston area. A SWLA/SETX landfall would be a different solution compared to one right over Galveston because she is so lopsided. If this were a typical structured system, I would completely agree with you.

[Stormcenter]

Satellites don't lie. I recall many stating it was not stationary when it fact it was and now no longer is.

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

Interesting. And this morning at 10am, according to you, the motion was to the North. What a crazy storm this is.

[RL3AO]

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

It's making a large cyclonic loop. Just like it did yesterday. Better develop some new convection soon though or that new strong vortex might wash out like yesterdays did.

[Frank P]

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

I noticed that at first. I thought it was my eyes playing tricks on me, but I believe it did jog SSE some.

Kinda reminds me of the little eddy's that happen to pinwheel around the broad circulation of the low pressure in developing storms.. strange looking for sure, been watching that for quite some time...definitely a southern wobble or something...

[Ntxw]

yeah 'center' is pretty exposed with the shear.

[tolakram]

12Z Euro, and this is not hi rez so pressure will be lower as reported above.

[cycloneye]

Panama City Beach.

 https://twitter.com/paigecox07/status/877243130625617920

[davidiowx]

Shear is really kicking her butt right now... it is looking pretty bad at the moment.

[RL3AO]

One of the problems it is having is the inflow from the southeast, which is probably more buoyant and wanting to rise, is getting directed into the convection to the NE of the low and not into the low itself. Maybe if the low can start pivoting to the NE as it goes through the cyclonic loop, it might attract more of that SE flow into the center leading to new thunderstorm development over the center.

[SunnyThoughts]

Satellites don't lie. I recall many stating it was not stationary when it fact it was and now no longer is.

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

Interesting. And this morning at 10am, according to you, the motion was to the North. What a crazy storm this is.

What I find so compelling is the extent of the feeder extending all the way down into the Caribbean.

[tolakram]

Tweets and images from Ryan Maue
 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/877226773913767937




ECMWF 12z landfalls TS Cindy into Houston ... could be some strong winds ... keep watch on the coast ... 990 mb is minor hurricane pressure

saved image

[Steve]

Looks like Cindy wants to take a dive SSE. Yeah she is doing exactly what the models said she would.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

Several models hinted at that. NAM 12km yesterday had a reverse N shape move and then a couple of loops. Obviously there are factors that influenced those anticipated motions. There was also a move due north for a while before a loop and then a return to a WNW-NW motion before again going North inland. Who knows?