000
URNT15 KNHC 171607
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 05 20170817
155700 1719N 06242W 4099 07438 0427 -140 -357 116022 023 /// /// 03
155730 1718N 06239W 4094 07447 0428 -138 -366 116022 023 /// /// 03
155800 1718N 06237W 4100 07434 0426 -136 -370 116022 022 /// /// 03
155830 1717N 06234W 4101 07439 0430 -140 -357 116023 024 /// /// 03
155900 1717N 06232W 4098 07444 0433 -140 -360 117022 023 /// /// 03
155930 1716N 06229W 4099 07444 0433 -140 -361 117021 022 /// /// 03
160000 1715N 06227W 4099 07444 0433 -138 -362 115021 022 /// /// 03
160030 1715N 06224W 4098 07446 0434 -140 -362 115020 020 /// /// 03
160100 1714N 06222W 4098 07444 0433 -140 -361 115020 020 /// /// 03
160130 1714N 06219W 4099 07442 0432 -137 -361 114019 020 /// /// 03
160200 1713N 06216W 4101 07441 0433 -135 -362 114018 019 /// /// 03
160230 1713N 06214W 4098 07447 0434 -135 -360 113017 018 /// /// 03
160300 1712N 06211W 4099 07445 0434 -135 -359 111019 019 /// /// 03
160330 1712N 06209W 4099 07444 0434 -135 -361 111018 019 /// /// 03
160400 1711N 06206W 4098 07445 0433 -135 -362 117017 017 /// /// 03
160430 1711N 06203W 4098 07444 0433 -135 -364 113018 018 /// /// 03
160500 1710N 06201W 4098 07444 0432 -133 -362 111017 018 /// /// 03
160530 1710N 06158W 4098 07446 0432 -131 -340 113016 017 /// /// 03
160600 1709N 06156W 4099 07442 0433 -130 -349 114016 016 /// /// 03
160630 1709N 06153W 4098 07447 0433 -134 -336 105016 017 /// /// 03
$$
;
ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171617
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 06 20170817
160700 1708N 06150W 4099 07444 0433 -135 -345 103018 020 /// /// 03
160730 1707N 06148W 4101 07440 0433 -135 -366 102020 021 /// /// 03
160800 1706N 06145W 4098 07444 0433 -134 -374 102020 020 /// /// 03
160830 1705N 06143W 4099 07442 0432 -132 -375 102020 021 /// /// 03
160900 1705N 06141W 4099 07441 0432 -133 -373 102020 021 /// /// 03
160930 1704N 06138W 4098 07444 0431 -135 -374 097021 022 /// /// 03
161000 1703N 06136W 4099 07440 0430 -135 -357 100021 022 /// /// 03
161030 1702N 06133W 4098 07441 0430 -136 -303 104021 022 /// /// 03
161100 1701N 06131W 4100 07439 0430 -135 -308 104021 022 /// /// 03
161130 1700N 06129W 4099 07439 0430 -135 -323 105022 023 /// /// 03
161200 1659N 06126W 4099 07440 0429 -134 -325 105022 023 /// /// 03
161230 1658N 06124W 4099 07439 0428 -135 -331 105022 022 /// /// 03
161300 1657N 06121W 4098 07439 0427 -132 -348 101023 023 /// /// 03
161330 1656N 06119W 4100 07434 0425 -135 -292 096024 024 /// /// 03
161400 1655N 06117W 4099 07435 0424 -135 -280 094024 025 /// /// 03
161430 1654N 06114W 4099 07433 0423 -135 -303 093023 024 /// /// 03
161500 1653N 06112W 4098 07434 0422 -135 -333 092023 023 /// /// 03
161530 1652N 06109W 4099 07431 0421 -135 -365 092024 024 /// /// 03
161600 1651N 06107W 4101 07429 0421 -135 -342 094024 024 /// /// 03
161630 1650N 06105W 4098 07431 0421 -136 -272 092023 024 /// /// 03
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 171617
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 06 20170817
160700 1708N 06150W 4099 07444 0433 -135 -345 103018 020 /// /// 03
160730 1707N 06148W 4101 07440 0433 -135 -366 102020 021 /// /// 03
160800 1706N 06145W 4098 07444 0433 -134 -374 102020 020 /// /// 03
160830 1705N 06143W 4099 07442 0432 -132 -375 102020 021 /// /// 03
160900 1705N 06141W 4099 07441 0432 -133 -373 102020 021 /// /// 03
160930 1704N 06138W 4098 07444 0431 -135 -374 097021 022 /// /// 03
161000 1703N 06136W 4099 07440 0430 -135 -357 100021 022 /// /// 03
161030 1702N 06133W 4098 07441 0430 -136 -303 104021 022 /// /// 03
161100 1701N 06131W 4100 07439 0430 -135 -308 104021 022 /// /// 03
161130 1700N 06129W 4099 07439 0430 -135 -323 105022 023 /// /// 03
161200 1659N 06126W 4099 07440 0429 -134 -325 105022 023 /// /// 03
161230 1658N 06124W 4099 07439 0428 -135 -331 105022 022 /// /// 03
161300 1657N 06121W 4098 07439 0427 -132 -348 101023 023 /// /// 03
161330 1656N 06119W 4100 07434 0425 -135 -292 096024 024 /// /// 03
161400 1655N 06117W 4099 07435 0424 -135 -280 094024 025 /// /// 03
161430 1654N 06114W 4099 07433 0423 -135 -303 093023 024 /// /// 03
161500 1653N 06112W 4098 07434 0422 -135 -333 092023 023 /// /// 03
161530 1652N 06109W 4099 07431 0421 -135 -365 092024 024 /// /// 03
161600 1651N 06107W 4101 07429 0421 -135 -342 094024 024 /// /// 03
161630 1650N 06105W 4098 07431 0421 -136 -272 092023 024 /// /// 03
$$
;
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171627
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 07 20170817
161700 1649N 06102W 4098 07431 0420 -135 -256 089024 024 /// /// 03
161730 1648N 06100W 4099 07429 0420 -131 -293 087023 024 /// /// 03
161800 1647N 06057W 4098 07430 0419 -133 -321 091022 023 /// /// 03
161830 1646N 06055W 4098 07429 0418 -131 -324 092021 022 /// /// 03
161900 1645N 06052W 4099 07428 0418 -135 -314 094021 021 /// /// 03
161930 1644N 06050W 4099 07433 0420 -135 -311 090021 022 /// /// 03
162000 1643N 06048W 4102 07426 0420 -135 -339 087022 023 /// /// 03
162030 1642N 06045W 4099 07428 0418 -135 -374 089023 023 /// /// 03
162100 1641N 06043W 4101 07429 0421 -135 -386 090023 024 /// /// 03
162130 1640N 06040W 4102 07428 0422 -136 -388 092022 023 /// /// 03
162200 1639N 06038W 4101 07430 0422 -136 -388 093023 023 /// /// 03
162230 1638N 06036W 4101 07430 0421 -134 -388 093022 024 /// /// 03
162300 1637N 06033W 4101 07426 0420 -135 -389 094021 021 /// /// 03
162330 1636N 06031W 4101 07428 0420 -135 -393 094021 022 /// /// 03
162400 1635N 06028W 4077 07471 0421 -135 -393 094021 021 /// /// 03
162430 1635N 06026W 4065 07494 0421 -139 -395 092021 022 /// /// 03
162500 1634N 06024W 4091 07442 0420 -139 -400 091021 022 /// /// 03
162530 1633N 06021W 4102 07423 0416 -135 -399 093020 020 /// /// 03
162600 1632N 06019W 4101 07424 0415 -136 -397 095021 021 /// /// 03
162630 1631N 06016W 4101 07423 0415 -137 -396 094021 021 /// /// 03
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 171627
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 07 20170817
161700 1649N 06102W 4098 07431 0420 -135 -256 089024 024 /// /// 03
161730 1648N 06100W 4099 07429 0420 -131 -293 087023 024 /// /// 03
161800 1647N 06057W 4098 07430 0419 -133 -321 091022 023 /// /// 03
161830 1646N 06055W 4098 07429 0418 -131 -324 092021 022 /// /// 03
161900 1645N 06052W 4099 07428 0418 -135 -314 094021 021 /// /// 03
161930 1644N 06050W 4099 07433 0420 -135 -311 090021 022 /// /// 03
162000 1643N 06048W 4102 07426 0420 -135 -339 087022 023 /// /// 03
162030 1642N 06045W 4099 07428 0418 -135 -374 089023 023 /// /// 03
162100 1641N 06043W 4101 07429 0421 -135 -386 090023 024 /// /// 03
162130 1640N 06040W 4102 07428 0422 -136 -388 092022 023 /// /// 03
162200 1639N 06038W 4101 07430 0422 -136 -388 093023 023 /// /// 03
162230 1638N 06036W 4101 07430 0421 -134 -388 093022 024 /// /// 03
162300 1637N 06033W 4101 07426 0420 -135 -389 094021 021 /// /// 03
162330 1636N 06031W 4101 07428 0420 -135 -393 094021 022 /// /// 03
162400 1635N 06028W 4077 07471 0421 -135 -393 094021 021 /// /// 03
162430 1635N 06026W 4065 07494 0421 -139 -395 092021 022 /// /// 03
162500 1634N 06024W 4091 07442 0420 -139 -400 091021 022 /// /// 03
162530 1633N 06021W 4102 07423 0416 -135 -399 093020 020 /// /// 03
162600 1632N 06019W 4101 07424 0415 -136 -397 095021 021 /// /// 03
162630 1631N 06016W 4101 07423 0415 -137 -396 094021 021 /// /// 03
$$
;
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171637
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 08 20170817
162700 1630N 06014W 4100 07424 0415 -135 -394 093021 021 /// /// 03
162730 1629N 06012W 4101 07423 0415 -135 -395 091022 022 /// /// 03
162800 1628N 06009W 4101 07420 0414 -135 -398 089022 022 /// /// 03
162830 1627N 06007W 4101 07420 0414 -131 -399 087022 022 /// /// 03
162900 1626N 06004W 4101 07421 0414 -135 -398 087022 022 /// /// 03
162930 1625N 06002W 4102 07419 0414 -135 -400 088022 022 /// /// 03
163000 1624N 06000W 4105 07417 0414 -135 -400 089022 022 /// /// 03
163030 1623N 05957W 4101 07420 0414 -134 -400 088021 021 /// /// 03
163100 1622N 05955W 4094 07435 0416 -130 -400 083021 022 /// /// 03
163130 1621N 05952W 4095 07432 0416 -132 -397 082021 022 /// /// 03
163200 1620N 05950W 4108 07407 0415 -130 -396 083023 024 /// /// 03
163230 1619N 05948W 4097 07430 0415 -130 -395 083023 024 /// /// 03
163300 1618N 05945W 4099 07425 0415 -133 -395 082022 023 /// /// 03
163330 1617N 05943W 4098 07427 0416 -130 -396 079022 023 /// /// 03
163400 1616N 05940W 4098 07426 0415 -130 -398 079024 024 /// /// 03
163430 1615N 05938W 4099 07425 0416 -130 -397 080025 025 /// /// 03
163500 1614N 05936W 4098 07426 0414 -130 -398 080025 025 /// /// 03
163530 1613N 05933W 4098 07424 0413 -129 -400 082024 025 /// /// 03
163600 1612N 05931W 4099 07423 0412 -130 -400 081025 025 /// /// 03
163630 1611N 05928W 4099 07423 0412 -130 -400 081025 025 /// /// 03
$$
;
I have to go out now but should be back within 30 minutes. If the plane descends, feel free to post.
URNT15 KNHC 171637
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 08 20170817
162700 1630N 06014W 4100 07424 0415 -135 -394 093021 021 /// /// 03
162730 1629N 06012W 4101 07423 0415 -135 -395 091022 022 /// /// 03
162800 1628N 06009W 4101 07420 0414 -135 -398 089022 022 /// /// 03
162830 1627N 06007W 4101 07420 0414 -131 -399 087022 022 /// /// 03
162900 1626N 06004W 4101 07421 0414 -135 -398 087022 022 /// /// 03
162930 1625N 06002W 4102 07419 0414 -135 -400 088022 022 /// /// 03
163000 1624N 06000W 4105 07417 0414 -135 -400 089022 022 /// /// 03
163030 1623N 05957W 4101 07420 0414 -134 -400 088021 021 /// /// 03
163100 1622N 05955W 4094 07435 0416 -130 -400 083021 022 /// /// 03
163130 1621N 05952W 4095 07432 0416 -132 -397 082021 022 /// /// 03
163200 1620N 05950W 4108 07407 0415 -130 -396 083023 024 /// /// 03
163230 1619N 05948W 4097 07430 0415 -130 -395 083023 024 /// /// 03
163300 1618N 05945W 4099 07425 0415 -133 -395 082022 023 /// /// 03
163330 1617N 05943W 4098 07427 0416 -130 -396 079022 023 /// /// 03
163400 1616N 05940W 4098 07426 0415 -130 -398 079024 024 /// /// 03
163430 1615N 05938W 4099 07425 0416 -130 -397 080025 025 /// /// 03
163500 1614N 05936W 4098 07426 0414 -130 -398 080025 025 /// /// 03
163530 1613N 05933W 4098 07424 0413 -129 -400 082024 025 /// /// 03
163600 1612N 05931W 4099 07423 0412 -130 -400 081025 025 /// /// 03
163630 1611N 05928W 4099 07423 0412 -130 -400 081025 025 /// /// 03
$$
;
I have to go out now but should be back within 30 minutes. If the plane descends, feel free to post.
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Sciencerocks
- Category 5
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171657
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 10 20170817
164700 1546N 05839W 4099 07426 0415 -140 -420 074021 022 /// /// 03
164730 1545N 05837W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -420 075022 022 /// /// 03
164800 1544N 05835W 4100 07424 0415 -140 -420 078022 023 /// /// 03
164830 1542N 05833W 4099 07425 0415 -140 -420 077021 022 /// /// 03
164900 1541N 05830W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -420 077022 022 /// /// 03
164930 1540N 05828W 4099 07425 0415 -140 -420 077022 022 /// /// 03
165000 1538N 05826W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -421 078023 023 /// /// 03
165030 1537N 05824W 4098 07428 0415 -140 -422 079023 023 /// /// 03
165100 1536N 05821W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -423 078023 023 /// /// 03
165130 1534N 05819W 4098 07426 0415 -140 -423 078024 024 /// /// 03
165200 1533N 05817W 4099 07425 0414 -140 -424 080024 024 /// /// 03
165230 1532N 05815W 4098 07425 0414 -140 -423 082024 024 /// /// 03
165300 1530N 05813W 4099 07422 0413 -140 -424 081024 024 /// /// 03
165330 1529N 05810W 4098 07424 0412 -140 -425 082024 025 /// /// 03
165400 1528N 05808W 4098 07424 0412 -139 -425 081024 024 /// /// 03
165430 1526N 05806W 4098 07427 0414 -140 -427 080024 024 /// /// 03
165500 1525N 05804W 4098 07426 0414 -140 -430 080024 024 /// /// 03
165530 1523N 05802W 4098 07425 0415 -138 -429 082024 025 /// /// 03
165600 1522N 05759W 4099 07425 0415 -138 -430 082024 024 /// /// 03
165630 1521N 05757W 4098 07426 0415 -138 -429 080025 026 /// /// 03
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 171657
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 10 20170817
164700 1546N 05839W 4099 07426 0415 -140 -420 074021 022 /// /// 03
164730 1545N 05837W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -420 075022 022 /// /// 03
164800 1544N 05835W 4100 07424 0415 -140 -420 078022 023 /// /// 03
164830 1542N 05833W 4099 07425 0415 -140 -420 077021 022 /// /// 03
164900 1541N 05830W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -420 077022 022 /// /// 03
164930 1540N 05828W 4099 07425 0415 -140 -420 077022 022 /// /// 03
165000 1538N 05826W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -421 078023 023 /// /// 03
165030 1537N 05824W 4098 07428 0415 -140 -422 079023 023 /// /// 03
165100 1536N 05821W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -423 078023 023 /// /// 03
165130 1534N 05819W 4098 07426 0415 -140 -423 078024 024 /// /// 03
165200 1533N 05817W 4099 07425 0414 -140 -424 080024 024 /// /// 03
165230 1532N 05815W 4098 07425 0414 -140 -423 082024 024 /// /// 03
165300 1530N 05813W 4099 07422 0413 -140 -424 081024 024 /// /// 03
165330 1529N 05810W 4098 07424 0412 -140 -425 082024 025 /// /// 03
165400 1528N 05808W 4098 07424 0412 -139 -425 081024 024 /// /// 03
165430 1526N 05806W 4098 07427 0414 -140 -427 080024 024 /// /// 03
165500 1525N 05804W 4098 07426 0414 -140 -430 080024 024 /// /// 03
165530 1523N 05802W 4098 07425 0415 -138 -429 082024 025 /// /// 03
165600 1522N 05759W 4099 07425 0415 -138 -430 082024 024 /// /// 03
165630 1521N 05757W 4098 07426 0415 -138 -429 080025 026 /// /// 03
$$
;
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Shear is decreasing (for now) NE of Lesser Antilles as the TUTT moves to the west (over Bahamas):
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171707
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 11 20170817
165700 1519N 05755W 4099 07425 0415 -137 -430 082026 026 /// /// 03
165730 1518N 05753W 4098 07426 0415 -140 -430 081026 026 /// /// 03
165800 1517N 05750W 4098 07426 0415 -140 -430 076025 026 /// /// 03
165830 1515N 05748W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -431 076025 026 /// /// 03
165900 1514N 05746W 4098 07426 0415 -143 -434 078027 027 /// /// 03
165930 1513N 05744W 4099 07425 0414 -145 -435 077027 027 /// /// 03
170000 1511N 05742W 4099 07425 0415 -140 -436 079027 028 /// /// 03
170030 1510N 05739W 4099 07425 0417 -140 -435 080028 028 /// /// 03
170100 1509N 05737W 4204 07241 0413 -129 -435 080027 028 /// /// 03
170130 1507N 05735W 4336 07008 0397 -115 -424 079023 027 /// /// 03
170200 1506N 05733W 4476 06762 0382 -102 -282 074023 023 /// /// 03
170230 1505N 05731W 4613 06531 0368 -094 -141 076024 025 /// /// 03
170300 1503N 05729W 4752 06299 0353 -078 -114 066019 022 /// /// 03
170330 1502N 05727W 4893 06070 0338 -063 -111 067020 022 /// /// 03
170400 1501N 05724W 5049 05825 0324 -043 -109 078023 025 /// /// 03
170430 1500N 05722W 5205 05583 0308 -029 -064 091031 033 /// /// 03
170500 1458N 05720W 5363 05346 0292 -018 -059 091032 033 /// /// 03
170530 1457N 05719W 5513 05124 0094 -008 -039 089032 032 /// /// 03
170600 1456N 05717W 5666 04905 0106 -001 -021 083030 032 /// /// 03
170630 1455N 05715W 5822 04686 0115 +008 -006 079029 029 /// /// 03
$$
;
Descending.
URNT15 KNHC 171707
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 11 20170817
165700 1519N 05755W 4099 07425 0415 -137 -430 082026 026 /// /// 03
165730 1518N 05753W 4098 07426 0415 -140 -430 081026 026 /// /// 03
165800 1517N 05750W 4098 07426 0415 -140 -430 076025 026 /// /// 03
165830 1515N 05748W 4098 07427 0415 -140 -431 076025 026 /// /// 03
165900 1514N 05746W 4098 07426 0415 -143 -434 078027 027 /// /// 03
165930 1513N 05744W 4099 07425 0414 -145 -435 077027 027 /// /// 03
170000 1511N 05742W 4099 07425 0415 -140 -436 079027 028 /// /// 03
170030 1510N 05739W 4099 07425 0417 -140 -435 080028 028 /// /// 03
170100 1509N 05737W 4204 07241 0413 -129 -435 080027 028 /// /// 03
170130 1507N 05735W 4336 07008 0397 -115 -424 079023 027 /// /// 03
170200 1506N 05733W 4476 06762 0382 -102 -282 074023 023 /// /// 03
170230 1505N 05731W 4613 06531 0368 -094 -141 076024 025 /// /// 03
170300 1503N 05729W 4752 06299 0353 -078 -114 066019 022 /// /// 03
170330 1502N 05727W 4893 06070 0338 -063 -111 067020 022 /// /// 03
170400 1501N 05724W 5049 05825 0324 -043 -109 078023 025 /// /// 03
170430 1500N 05722W 5205 05583 0308 -029 -064 091031 033 /// /// 03
170500 1458N 05720W 5363 05346 0292 -018 -059 091032 033 /// /// 03
170530 1457N 05719W 5513 05124 0094 -008 -039 089032 032 /// /// 03
170600 1456N 05717W 5666 04905 0106 -001 -021 083030 032 /// /// 03
170630 1455N 05715W 5822 04686 0115 +008 -006 079029 029 /// /// 03
$$
;
Descending.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Looking at the goes 16 visible there does seem to be some low level coupling right along the northern coast of Hispaniola. Quite a bit of shear there though so maybe this will just pull moisture up over Florida and not be a major wind event.
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
811 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017
DISCUSSION...
Long range models are indicating yet another tropical wave to affect South Florida
late Tuesday into mid next week, elevating the threat for heavier and more widespread
showers and thunderstorms.
I cut this statement from the lengthy discussion... NWS seeing 92L as a TW heading towards SFL next Tues/Wed...
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Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05...
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171727
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 13 20170817
171700 1428N 05644W 9765 00310 0115 +238 +226 036023 023 /// /// 03
171730 1427N 05643W 9777 00299 0116 +235 +231 028020 022 /// /// 03
171800 1426N 05642W 9772 00302 0113 +235 +232 028020 021 018 000 00
171830 1425N 05641W 9780 00297 0114 +236 +232 030020 020 018 000 05
171900 1424N 05639W 9774 00303 //// +235 //// 028019 020 017 000 01
171930 1424N 05638W 9783 00295 0115 +238 +233 032021 022 018 000 01
172000 1423N 05636W 9776 00301 0116 +235 +234 027021 021 018 000 01
172030 1423N 05635W 9776 00299 0116 +237 +234 029021 022 018 000 01
172100 1423N 05633W 9773 00301 0114 +237 +235 027021 022 018 000 01
172130 1422N 05632W 9770 00302 0113 +238 +235 028021 022 018 000 00
172200 1422N 05630W 9770 00303 0112 +237 //// 028020 022 018 000 01
172230 1422N 05629W 9773 00301 0114 +239 +237 030020 022 017 000 01
172300 1422N 05627W 9769 00303 0113 +240 +237 032019 021 018 000 01
172330 1422N 05626W 9773 00301 0113 +242 +237 033022 024 019 001 00
172400 1421N 05624W 9773 00299 0111 +241 +238 033024 025 022 000 00
172430 1421N 05623W 9780 00292 0111 +243 +237 034024 024 022 000 00
172500 1421N 05621W 9772 00302 0111 +243 +239 038024 024 022 000 00
172530 1421N 05620W 9769 00304 0111 +244 +238 038023 023 024 000 00
172600 1420N 05618W 9774 00298 0111 +245 +238 038022 023 024 000 00
172630 1420N 05617W 9775 00299 0112 +243 +239 039022 023 022 000 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 171727
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 13 20170817
171700 1428N 05644W 9765 00310 0115 +238 +226 036023 023 /// /// 03
171730 1427N 05643W 9777 00299 0116 +235 +231 028020 022 /// /// 03
171800 1426N 05642W 9772 00302 0113 +235 +232 028020 021 018 000 00
171830 1425N 05641W 9780 00297 0114 +236 +232 030020 020 018 000 05
171900 1424N 05639W 9774 00303 //// +235 //// 028019 020 017 000 01
171930 1424N 05638W 9783 00295 0115 +238 +233 032021 022 018 000 01
172000 1423N 05636W 9776 00301 0116 +235 +234 027021 021 018 000 01
172030 1423N 05635W 9776 00299 0116 +237 +234 029021 022 018 000 01
172100 1423N 05633W 9773 00301 0114 +237 +235 027021 022 018 000 01
172130 1422N 05632W 9770 00302 0113 +238 +235 028021 022 018 000 00
172200 1422N 05630W 9770 00303 0112 +237 //// 028020 022 018 000 01
172230 1422N 05629W 9773 00301 0114 +239 +237 030020 022 017 000 01
172300 1422N 05627W 9769 00303 0113 +240 +237 032019 021 018 000 01
172330 1422N 05626W 9773 00301 0113 +242 +237 033022 024 019 001 00
172400 1421N 05624W 9773 00299 0111 +241 +238 033024 025 022 000 00
172430 1421N 05623W 9780 00292 0111 +243 +237 034024 024 022 000 00
172500 1421N 05621W 9772 00302 0111 +243 +239 038024 024 022 000 00
172530 1421N 05620W 9769 00304 0111 +244 +238 038023 023 024 000 00
172600 1420N 05618W 9774 00298 0111 +245 +238 038022 023 024 000 00
172630 1420N 05617W 9775 00299 0112 +243 +239 039022 023 022 000 00
$$
;
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Blown Away wrote:Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
811 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017
DISCUSSION...
Long range models are indicating yet another tropical wave to affect South Florida
late Tuesday into mid next week, elevating the threat for heavier and more widespread
showers and thunderstorms.
I cut this statement from the lengthy discussion... NWS seeing 92L as a TW heading towards SFL next Tues/Wed...
It's hard for the NWS to sound any alarm when BOTH of their most respected models are showing little to no development. However, it is evident by the NHC's discussion and forecast for PTC 9 that they are just throwing the GFS and the EURO a bone right now out of "respect". I have a feeling that behind the scenes at the NHC there are some serious discussions that sound similar to what we are seeing on S2K going on at this moment regarding model credibility.
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Fourth Generation Floridian...With lots of storm knowledge passed down from my elders...
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17
-
gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Up to 60/60:
Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands continues to
show signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward
at near 20 mph. After that, upper-level winds are expected to
become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1200 miles east of the Leeward Islands continues to
show signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is
possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward
at near 20 mph. After that, upper-level winds are expected to
become less conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
Last edited by gatorcane on Thu Aug 17, 2017 12:48 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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CrazyC83
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- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171737
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 14 20170817
172700 1420N 05615W 9774 00302 0113 +243 +239 040024 025 023 000 00
172730 1420N 05614W 9774 00301 0113 +243 +240 042024 025 023 000 00
172800 1419N 05612W 9768 00304 0112 +244 +240 043024 025 023 000 00
172830 1419N 05611W 9779 00293 0112 +245 +236 045024 025 024 001 00
172900 1419N 05609W 9774 00299 0111 +244 +238 045023 024 025 000 00
172930 1418N 05608W 9769 00302 0110 +242 +240 043022 023 024 000 01
173000 1418N 05606W 9775 00296 0109 +244 +240 040023 024 023 000 00
173030 1418N 05605W 9773 00298 0109 +245 +239 047022 023 022 000 00
173100 1417N 05604W 9768 00303 0108 +245 +240 046022 023 022 001 00
173130 1417N 05602W 9776 00295 0107 +245 +242 046021 023 022 000 00
173200 1417N 05601W 9773 00296 0107 +247 +240 047021 023 021 000 01
173230 1416N 05559W 9775 00293 0106 +249 +238 048022 023 022 000 00
173300 1416N 05558W 9775 00293 0105 +250 +237 046023 024 023 001 00
173330 1416N 05556W 9775 00293 0104 +250 +237 045024 025 024 000 00
173400 1415N 05555W 9774 00293 0105 +250 +238 048025 026 024 001 00
173430 1415N 05554W 9767 00298 0103 +249 +236 050026 027 023 000 00
173500 1414N 05552W 9774 00292 0103 +250 +235 053029 030 024 000 00
173530 1413N 05551W 9781 00288 0102 +250 +236 051028 030 023 001 00
173600 1411N 05550W 9772 00295 0102 +250 +236 049028 029 022 000 03
173630 1410N 05550W 9773 00293 0102 +249 +237 049029 030 023 000 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 171737
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 14 20170817
172700 1420N 05615W 9774 00302 0113 +243 +239 040024 025 023 000 00
172730 1420N 05614W 9774 00301 0113 +243 +240 042024 025 023 000 00
172800 1419N 05612W 9768 00304 0112 +244 +240 043024 025 023 000 00
172830 1419N 05611W 9779 00293 0112 +245 +236 045024 025 024 001 00
172900 1419N 05609W 9774 00299 0111 +244 +238 045023 024 025 000 00
172930 1418N 05608W 9769 00302 0110 +242 +240 043022 023 024 000 01
173000 1418N 05606W 9775 00296 0109 +244 +240 040023 024 023 000 00
173030 1418N 05605W 9773 00298 0109 +245 +239 047022 023 022 000 00
173100 1417N 05604W 9768 00303 0108 +245 +240 046022 023 022 001 00
173130 1417N 05602W 9776 00295 0107 +245 +242 046021 023 022 000 00
173200 1417N 05601W 9773 00296 0107 +247 +240 047021 023 021 000 01
173230 1416N 05559W 9775 00293 0106 +249 +238 048022 023 022 000 00
173300 1416N 05558W 9775 00293 0105 +250 +237 046023 024 023 001 00
173330 1416N 05556W 9775 00293 0104 +250 +237 045024 025 024 000 00
173400 1415N 05555W 9774 00293 0105 +250 +238 048025 026 024 001 00
173430 1415N 05554W 9767 00298 0103 +249 +236 050026 027 023 000 00
173500 1414N 05552W 9774 00292 0103 +250 +235 053029 030 024 000 00
173530 1413N 05551W 9781 00288 0102 +250 +236 051028 030 023 001 00
173600 1411N 05550W 9772 00295 0102 +250 +236 049028 029 022 000 03
173630 1410N 05550W 9773 00293 0102 +249 +237 049029 030 023 000 00
$$
;
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northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
Just about time for NHC to have Recon go out and check 92L out very soon. I would have to think they will go out to investigate within the next day or so.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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SouthFLTropics
- Category 5
- Posts: 4156
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- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
- Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
northjaxpro wrote:Just about time for NHC to have Recon go out and check 92L out very soon. I would have to think they will go out to investigate within the next day or so.
Current POD for tomorrow is only showing PTC 9...But of course that may change with further development of 92L.
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Fourth Generation Floridian...With lots of storm knowledge passed down from my elders...
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 33393
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171747
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 15 20170817
173700 1408N 05549W 9773 00291 0101 +248 +237 051030 031 024 000 00
173730 1407N 05548W 9773 00291 0101 +248 +237 052029 030 024 000 00
173800 1406N 05547W 9775 00287 0100 +247 +237 049029 030 024 000 00
173830 1404N 05547W 9775 00287 0099 +247 +238 049030 030 023 000 00
173900 1402N 05546W 9773 00287 0098 +246 +237 048031 032 024 000 00
173930 1401N 05546W 9773 00287 0098 +245 +241 046030 031 025 000 00
174000 1359N 05545W 9776 00284 0096 +245 +240 045030 031 024 000 00
174030 1358N 05544W 9772 00287 0096 +245 +240 041030 033 022 000 00
174100 1356N 05544W 9773 00282 0094 +245 +239 043028 030 024 000 00
174130 1355N 05543W 9774 00284 0094 +245 +240 043029 029 021 000 00
174200 1353N 05543W 9774 00282 0093 +244 +239 046030 031 022 000 00
174230 1352N 05542W 9773 00284 //// +239 //// 047030 031 024 000 01
174300 1350N 05542W 9773 00281 //// +240 //// 050030 031 023 000 05
174330 1349N 05541W 9776 00280 //// +240 //// 053032 033 022 001 01
174400 1348N 05540W 9772 00281 0090 +240 +238 054031 032 023 000 01
174430 1347N 05539W 9773 00281 0090 +241 +237 052032 034 024 000 01
174500 1346N 05537W 9777 00277 0088 +242 +235 049032 033 027 000 00
174530 1345N 05536W 9773 00279 0087 +240 +235 051033 034 027 000 00
174600 1344N 05535W 9772 00279 0086 +240 +237 051032 033 027 000 00
174630 1343N 05534W 9776 00274 0085 +240 +238 051032 033 027 000 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 171747
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 15 20170817
173700 1408N 05549W 9773 00291 0101 +248 +237 051030 031 024 000 00
173730 1407N 05548W 9773 00291 0101 +248 +237 052029 030 024 000 00
173800 1406N 05547W 9775 00287 0100 +247 +237 049029 030 024 000 00
173830 1404N 05547W 9775 00287 0099 +247 +238 049030 030 023 000 00
173900 1402N 05546W 9773 00287 0098 +246 +237 048031 032 024 000 00
173930 1401N 05546W 9773 00287 0098 +245 +241 046030 031 025 000 00
174000 1359N 05545W 9776 00284 0096 +245 +240 045030 031 024 000 00
174030 1358N 05544W 9772 00287 0096 +245 +240 041030 033 022 000 00
174100 1356N 05544W 9773 00282 0094 +245 +239 043028 030 024 000 00
174130 1355N 05543W 9774 00284 0094 +245 +240 043029 029 021 000 00
174200 1353N 05543W 9774 00282 0093 +244 +239 046030 031 022 000 00
174230 1352N 05542W 9773 00284 //// +239 //// 047030 031 024 000 01
174300 1350N 05542W 9773 00281 //// +240 //// 050030 031 023 000 05
174330 1349N 05541W 9776 00280 //// +240 //// 053032 033 022 001 01
174400 1348N 05540W 9772 00281 0090 +240 +238 054031 032 023 000 01
174430 1347N 05539W 9773 00281 0090 +241 +237 052032 034 024 000 01
174500 1346N 05537W 9777 00277 0088 +242 +235 049032 033 027 000 00
174530 1345N 05536W 9773 00279 0087 +240 +235 051033 034 027 000 00
174600 1344N 05535W 9772 00279 0086 +240 +237 051032 033 027 000 00
174630 1343N 05534W 9776 00274 0085 +240 +238 051032 033 027 000 00
$$
;
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
not surprising. chances went up
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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cycloneye
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ATL: TEN - Recon
Tentative mission for Saturday afternoon.
PROBABLE LOW LEVEL INVEST AT 19/1800Z NEAR 19.5 59.5W
(NE OF PUERTO RICO)
PROBABLE LOW LEVEL INVEST AT 19/1800Z NEAR 19.5 59.5W
(NE OF PUERTO RICO)
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion
SouthFLTropics wrote:northjaxpro wrote:Just about time for NHC to have Recon go out and check 92L out very soon. I would have to think they will go out to investigate within the next day or so.
Current POD for tomorrow is only showing PTC 9...But of course that may change with further development of 92L.
Made a thread foe 92L recon as there will be a mission for Saturday afternoon (If Needed)
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=118990
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon
000
URNT15 KNHC 171757
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 16 20170817
174700 1343N 05532W 9771 00277 0084 +240 +239 051032 033 026 000 01
174730 1342N 05531W 9775 00268 0080 +240 +239 055033 035 026 000 01
174800 1341N 05530W 9773 00270 0076 +241 +240 057033 035 026 000 01
174830 1340N 05529W 9772 00270 0075 +244 +240 060034 035 029 000 03
174900 1340N 05527W 9772 00268 0074 +244 +240 063034 035 028 000 00
174930 1339N 05526W 9773 00267 0073 +243 +240 064035 037 030 000 00
175000 1338N 05525W 9774 00265 //// +241 //// 062034 035 027 000 01
175030 1337N 05524W 9780 00259 0072 +244 +241 064035 038 029 001 00
175100 1337N 05523W 9772 00267 0071 +245 +241 065037 038 029 000 00
175130 1336N 05521W 9772 00264 0070 +245 +239 067038 039 029 000 00
175200 1335N 05520W 9772 00264 0069 +244 +241 067038 039 030 000 00
175230 1334N 05519W 9779 00257 0069 +245 +240 065039 040 032 000 00
175300 1334N 05518W 9772 00262 0068 +244 +240 066038 039 033 000 01
175330 1333N 05517W 9772 00262 0067 +244 +241 067039 040 032 000 00
175400 1332N 05516W 9773 00262 //// +242 //// 069039 041 034 000 01
175430 1331N 05514W 9774 00258 0067 +243 +242 071038 040 033 000 01
175500 1331N 05513W 9777 00259 //// +241 //// 073037 038 033 000 01
175530 1330N 05512W 9771 00260 0067 +243 +241 071038 041 030 001 01
175600 1329N 05511W 9776 00257 0066 +243 +243 075040 042 033 000 05
175630 1328N 05510W 9768 00263 //// +242 //// 077039 041 034 000 01
$$
;
Close off a circulation and we have Harvey.
URNT15 KNHC 171757
AF303 0109A INVEST HDOB 16 20170817
174700 1343N 05532W 9771 00277 0084 +240 +239 051032 033 026 000 01
174730 1342N 05531W 9775 00268 0080 +240 +239 055033 035 026 000 01
174800 1341N 05530W 9773 00270 0076 +241 +240 057033 035 026 000 01
174830 1340N 05529W 9772 00270 0075 +244 +240 060034 035 029 000 03
174900 1340N 05527W 9772 00268 0074 +244 +240 063034 035 028 000 00
174930 1339N 05526W 9773 00267 0073 +243 +240 064035 037 030 000 00
175000 1338N 05525W 9774 00265 //// +241 //// 062034 035 027 000 01
175030 1337N 05524W 9780 00259 0072 +244 +241 064035 038 029 001 00
175100 1337N 05523W 9772 00267 0071 +245 +241 065037 038 029 000 00
175130 1336N 05521W 9772 00264 0070 +245 +239 067038 039 029 000 00
175200 1335N 05520W 9772 00264 0069 +244 +241 067038 039 030 000 00
175230 1334N 05519W 9779 00257 0069 +245 +240 065039 040 032 000 00
175300 1334N 05518W 9772 00262 0068 +244 +240 066038 039 033 000 01
175330 1333N 05517W 9772 00262 0067 +244 +241 067039 040 032 000 00
175400 1332N 05516W 9773 00262 //// +242 //// 069039 041 034 000 01
175430 1331N 05514W 9774 00258 0067 +243 +242 071038 040 033 000 01
175500 1331N 05513W 9777 00259 //// +241 //// 073037 038 033 000 01
175530 1330N 05512W 9771 00260 0067 +243 +241 071038 041 030 001 01
175600 1329N 05511W 9776 00257 0066 +243 +243 075040 042 033 000 05
175630 1328N 05510W 9768 00263 //// +242 //// 077039 041 034 000 01
$$
;
Close off a circulation and we have Harvey.
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