ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

recon pass.. pressure rising fast.. winds are not.. looks like an offial cat 5 landfall. but I see nothing to support 160. a few dropsondes readings at higher altitudes and some suspect 140 kt doppler velocites. again none the less its going to be just as destructive !

[GCANE]

[GCANE]

[Hugo1989]

Vieques island is getting just level.. whatever structures are there. I know its pretty militarized.. or it used to be..

No, is not militarized anymore. Vieques is like any other town of the island. They have registered winds of 115 MPH right now.

[GCANE]

Obviously NW Eyewall is the strongest portion of the storm.
Recon just sampled SW side, 52 mm/hr rain rate.
PR is going to take Maria's full fury.
Thoughts and prayers for everyone in the path of this monster.

[Hurrilurker]

With the much larger eye now that the inner has dissipated, it is actually more likely that San Juan may receive a direct hit from it, though it should be slightly weaker.

[txwatcher91]

NE quad FL 146kts... significantly stronger than previous passes.

[Aric Dunn]

it is trying to make a last minute come back.. FL winds have increased. SFMR are still LOW but typically the winds will mix down. and there is land all around SFMR in that area might be suspect.

one thing is for sure the wind field has increased a lot !!

1757N 06528W 6970 02469 //// +135 //// 111090 101 105 000 05
080700 1758N 06527W 6983 02499 9317 +132 +108 113114 115 102 000 00
080730 1758N 06526W 6967 02559 9352 +136 +088 114116 117 099 001 03
080800 1759N 06525W 6965 02594 9389 +133 +084 116111 115 094 000 03
080830 1800N 06524W 6967 02622 9417 +143 +079 116102 108 094 000 03
080900 1801N 06523W 6964 02656 9443 +142 +110 118104 107 097 000 03
080930 1802N 06522W 6963 02686 9475 +140 +114 122110 113 /// /// 03
081000 1803N 06521W 6972 02701 9519 +126 +115 124125 128 /// /// 03
081030 1804N 06520W 6956 02752 9554 +119 +119 124136 138 115 000 05
081100 1804N 06519W 6964 02766 9587 +119 +116 124143 146 111 002 01
081130 1805N 06519W 6969 02787 9613 +122 +108 124141 145 110 001 00
081200 1806N 06518W 6969 02812 9652 +105 +104 124135 140 107 004 01
081230 1807N 06517W 6970 02834 //// +099 //// 124131 134 109 001 05
081300 1808N 06516W 6965 02863 9713 +104 +101 124126 130 104 000 05
081330 1808N 06515W 6966 02881 9725 +109 +102 125121 124 104 000 00
081400 1809N 06514W 6967 02898 9742 +111 +105 124116 119 098 007 00
081430 1810N 06513W 6967 02913 9758 +111 +107 122111 115 099 007 00
081500 1811N 06512W 6961 02935 9789 +111 +111 128103 111 095 009 00
081530 1812N 06511W 6961 02951 9821 +109 +109 137105 107 092 014 00
081600 1813N 06509W 6988 02929 9847 +105 +105 136112 116 082 026 00
081630 1814N 06508W 6956 02979 9860 +101 +101 133111 114 083 026 03
081700 1815N 06507W 6968 02975 9879 +098 +098 127107 114 075 034 03

[Aric Dunn]

Also this wnw wobble the last hour continues .. likely do to land interactions. but that is even more bad news for san juan,,

[txwatcher91]

I’m measuring roughly 26 miles wide on the eye versus about 31 miles 45 minutes ago.. eye is contracting rapidly.

[Aric Dunn]

the outer eye has begun to really really contract fast each few images you can see it... that will increase winds drastically all by itself without the pressure falling..

[djones65]

During most of Maria's existence the 700 mb flight level winds were equal or even less than the measured SFMR surface winds. Since it has just completed the eyewall replacement it is just a matter of time that these 140-146 knot flt level winds mix down to the surface. In my opinion, this justly supports maintaining Maria as a 140 knot category 5 hurricane.

[aperson]

radar showing heaviest rain estimates around 5"/hr

[Aric Dunn]

last pass pressure has stopped climbing. and actually might be lower around 915 since there was 33kts of wind...

[Aric Dunn]

The entire east coast of PR is just being devastated right now.. this is some serious crap right now.. I have not seen such heavy eyewall convection .. it must be crazy.. ( wish I was there ) but saddened by all the destruction that is happeing right now.

[Aric Dunn]

the radar site is about to get the eyewall.. hopefully it can withstand it.

[cheezyWXguy]

the radar site is about to get the eyewall.. hopefully it can withstand it.

The velocity setting is getting pretty screwed up, that's for sure

[Aric Dunn]

the radar site is about to get the eyewall.. hopefully it can withstand it.

The velocity setting is getting pretty screwed up, that's for sure

with the mountains and eveything .. yeah..

though major hurricane force winds are starting to overspread san juan in the next 30 min to hour ..

[txwatcher91]

Some lightning in SW eyewall... looks like the eye is trying to close off fully now.

[Hugo1989]

The entire east coast of PR is just being devastated right now.. this is some serious crap right now.. I have not seen such heavy eyewall convection .. it must be crazy.. ( wish I was there ) but saddened by all the destruction that is happeing right now.

This is happening right now
http://www.telemundopr.com/noticias/loc ... l?asdfasdf