ATL: LEE - Models

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1900hurricane
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ATL: LEE - Models

#1 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Sep 14, 2017 7:31 am

Models and guidance go here.
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Re: ATL: Invest 97L - Models

#2 Postby USTropics » Thu Sep 14, 2017 12:07 pm

This is our likely recurve candidate:

12z UKMET plots
Image

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 11.2N 22.9W
VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 15.09.2017 11.3N 24.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 15.09.2017 11.7N 27.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 16.09.2017 12.0N 29.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 16.09.2017 12.0N 30.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 17.09.2017 12.0N 31.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 17.09.2017 12.1N 32.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 18.09.2017 12.6N 33.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 18.09.2017 13.5N 35.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 19.09.2017 14.5N 37.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 19.09.2017 15.5N 39.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 20.09.2017 16.7N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 20.09.2017 17.7N 42.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


GFS 12z at 120 hours
Image

CMC at 120 hours (97L is the shallow low to the right of 96L)
Image
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#3 Postby CyclonicFury » Tue Sep 19, 2017 1:54 pm

12z ECMWF appears to regenerate this at a high latitude over the open Atlantic.
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