Aric Dunn wrote:bella_may wrote:00z gfs shifted west just a hair. Not even gonna talk about their intesity track because it's irrelevant
cant really talk about any of the models for 00z that are initialized wrong... maybe the 00z euro might have the correct intensity and position.. being that intensity can play a huge role in track.. for instacne the noname system has clearly broken down faster since the pressure field from nate has grown quite a bit.. that means less of a bend back the nw..... more likely a straight north track..
Some of the models did show nate missing the Yucatán and still making landfall close to Nola. It's still moving nnw but who knows at this point lol